# Which 2014 Summer Film Will Make the Most? **URL:** \ **Category:** Cafe Society\ **Created:** [March 30, 2014, 10:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938 "2014-03-30T22:37:05Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 30, 2014, 10:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/1 "2014-03-30T22:37:05Z")
I asked which movie would make the most in 2013 [last year](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=687844) and the answer was undoubtedly “Iron Man 3.” This year I don’t think we’ll have as much of a front-runner. We have multiple superhero movies (two from Marvel studios, another two are Marvel comics), sequels to some big movies (How To Train Your Dragon) and a myriad of others. Which do you think will make the most in four weeks? Any you think are going to be a bust? Dark horses? ---
**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 12:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/2 "2014-03-31T00:01:31Z")
Im voting for Spiderman 2, even though I won’t see it and hate the character and the reboot. Cap2 and Days have a shot, but Spidey is too popular with the masses. If there is truly a merciful god, Guardians will be excellent and a runaway smash. ---
**Author:** ![FoieGrasIsEvil](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/foiegrasisevil/32/16638_2.png) [@FoieGrasIsEvil](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FoieGrasIsEvil)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 12:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/3 "2014-03-31T00:32:14Z")
> [@silenus](#): > > Im voting for Spiderman 2, even though I won’t see it and hate the character and the reboot. Cap2 and Days have a shot, but Spidey is too popular with the masses. If there is truly a merciful god, Guardians will be excellent and a runaway smash. Yeah, I think it will be between Spiderman and Captain America…although since Winter Soldier comes out in a couple days I don’t think it’s really a “Summer movie”… 😛 ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 1:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/4 "2014-03-31T01:16:14Z")
I’ll guess the X-Men movie. But I don’t see an original movie among any of those. Everything is either a sequel, reboot or book adaption. Actually, on review, it looks like Jupiter Ascending is an original concept; not based on a book, graphic novel or comic book. ---
**Author:** ![Wolverine](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/ba9def/32.png) [@Wolverine](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Wolverine)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 1:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/5 "2014-03-31T01:32:08Z")
New rule: any movie that comes out before Easter is not a summer movie. I do think Captain America will do well, but it’s a too early in the year to grab the crown. In the past 2 years, the biggest “summer” movie has been an MCU movie in May and not April. Also, are we only considering U.S. Domestic box office or Worldwide? U.S. - X-Men Worldwide - Transformers (China can’t get enough of them plus robot dinosaurs) ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 1:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/6 "2014-03-31T01:47:39Z")
Domestic. I tried to edit it in the op but I was outside my window. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 2:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/7 "2014-03-31T02:22:09Z")
> [@RandMcnally](#): > > Domestic. I tried to edit it in the op but I was outside my window. Wait, this is US domestic only? ---
**Author:** ![GuanoLad](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guanolad/32/42_2.png) [@GuanoLad](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/GuanoLad)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 3:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/8 "2014-03-31T03:46:29Z")
Either Captain America or Guardians of the Galaxy. As GotG is a slightly riskier prospect, I went with Cap2, especially as the early buzz for it is terrific. Plenty of the others listed should do well, though. It’s potentially a strong year for VFX extravaganzas. ---
**Author:** ![Kiros](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/439d5e/32.png) [@Kiros](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kiros)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/9 "2014-03-31T04:05:57Z")
We just did our movie league auction draft last night, actually. Spidey 2 and X-Men went for the highest prices, but I think there may have been some fanboy-ism going on with the X-Men pick. I’ve got Spidey projected for the most on my rankings, at around 250m US Domestic. Taking the analytics out of it, I think there’s a pretty good chance that Cap’n A puts up a pretty huge number this coming weekend, with the strong early reviews and as the first blockbuster release in quite a while. Bonus points if the miserable weather continues for much of the country. Force me to make a pick and I think I’ll take the Winter Soldier. GotG is interesting because it’s the highest variance movie of the summer. I’ve got it projected for 160m, +/- 100m. Which is about the most useless projection ever, but this far out on such a… nontraditional… property, it’s sort of hard to say. I do think Transformers is the favorite for the worldwide title, given how well the big dumb CGI action movies always seem to play internationally. ---
**Author:** ![Spoke](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a88e57/32.png) [@Spoke](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spoke)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 5:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/10 "2014-03-31T05:52:23Z")
I went with How to Train Your Dragon 2. Never underestimate kiddie flicks. ---
**Author:** ![Evil\_Captor](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/f17d59/32.png) [@Evil\_Captor](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Evil_Captor)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 6:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/11 "2014-03-31T06:41:10Z")
I voted for Jupiter Ascending. It looks fucking DELICIOUS from the trailer … an original Galactic Empire SF story, by the Wachowski’s, yet. CANNOT WAIT for this one. ---
**Author:** ![Bakhesh](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/3da27b/32.png) [@Bakhesh](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bakhesh)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 9:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/12 "2014-03-31T09:52:57Z")
i saw Cap 2 on Friday, and can confirm that it is great fun. Even though its an early release, I think the word of mouth on this movie will be very good. ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 2:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/13 "2014-03-31T14:49:39Z")
It’s likely going to be Spidey 2, but I went with Transformers. You cannot underestimate the American public’s appetite for Michael Bay robot movies. ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 2:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/14 "2014-03-31T14:55:32Z")
Yes, but will Americans (or for that matter anyone) be eager to see a Transformers movie without the acting talents of Shia LaBeouf? ---
**Author:** ![DCnDC](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dcndc/32/2842_2.png) [@DCnDC](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DCnDC)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 3:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/15 "2014-03-31T15:22:24Z")
The _X-Men_ series hasn’t produced a decent movie since _X2_, and hasn’t cracked $200M since _The Last Stand_. _Amazing Spider-Man_ was terrible, and while it made $262M, that was the lowest of all the recent Spider-Man films, by a lot (Spider-Man 3 made $336M). _Transformers_ has always done very well; each movie has done well over $300M, despite being colossal piles of steaming shit. I’d \*like \*to go with _Captain America_, but the first only made $176M, and while _Thor 2_ seems to have gotten a boost from the popularity of _The Avengers_, that movie (_Avengers_) was 2 years ago and I don’t think _The Winter Soldier_ will be able to top much past $200M. I have to go with _Transformers_. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 4:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/16 "2014-03-31T16:51:45Z")
After I voted I really think How to Train will win. The original made about half a billion dollars. ---
**Author:** ![Quimby](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/22d042/32.png) [@Quimby](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quimby)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 5:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/17 "2014-03-31T17:11:24Z")
Probably Transformers. Seeing them listed, I suspect my favorite will be Captain America 2. ---
**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 5:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/18 "2014-03-31T17:23:28Z")
I went with How to Train Your Dragon 2. Those kids movies just kill at the box office and sequels even more so. ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 8:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/19 "2014-03-31T20:31:44Z")
I went out on a limb and voted _Guardians of the Galaxy_, though I wouldn’t be too surprised to see _Winter Soldier_ beat it. As others have said, _GotG_ is a big unknown. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [March 31, 2014, 8:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938/20 "2014-03-31T20:44:26Z")
> [@RandMcnally](#): > > After I voted I really think How to Train will win. The original made about half a billion dollars. Only 218M domestic. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-2014-summer-film-will-make-the-most/684938.md?page=2)