# Which House races are you watching closely today? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 6, 2018, 3:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081 "2018-11-06T15:51:50Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 7:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/21 "2018-11-06T19:39:38Z")
Really hoping to see Roskam go down in the district immediately west of me. ---
**Author:** ![Blalron](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/35a633/32.png) [@Blalron](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Blalron)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 7:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/22 "2018-11-06T19:40:11Z")
West Virginia’s 3rd District. I’m rooting for Richard Ojeda, a progressive Democrat running in a heavily pro-Trump district. Some polls have shown him running ahead of the Republican. If a progressive can win there, they can potentially win anywhere. ---
**Author:** ![Calatin](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/439d5e/32.png) [@Calatin](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Calatin)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 8:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/23 "2018-11-06T20:12:58Z")
> [@bump](#): > > I want to see if Colin Allred can give Pete Sessions an actual run for his money in Texas 32. From what I’ve seen in recent polls, Allred is doing better than Sessions, but the latest poll I saw had it “Too close to call.” ---
**Author:** ![Scoobysnax](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/c4cdca/32.png) [@Scoobysnax](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Scoobysnax)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 9:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/24 "2018-11-06T21:17:22Z")
I am watching my district which is CA-45. I really want Mimi to be shown the door. ---
**Author:** ![PaperBlob](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/58956e/32.png) [@PaperBlob](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PaperBlob)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 10:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/25 "2018-11-06T22:26:30Z")
I’m a crazy dreamer hoping to see Ted Cruz go down in Texas. Aside from that, my own district (NJ-3) is a toss-up right now, so pretty interesting. I’m hoping to see Tom MacArthur lose. He played a big role in resurrecting the Republican health care bill last year, which fortunately was voted down in the Senate. ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 11:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/26 "2018-11-06T23:15:16Z")
> [@Melcalc](#): > > VA-02, VA-05, VA-07, and VA-10, as they’re all in my state. Living in the 10th, I can tell you Comstock is a goner, but the other three range from R+3 to R+6, and I hope they’ll flip today. Hopefully they’ll serve as bellwethers for Democratic performance(they all close at 7:00 Eastern). As a Virginia expat, I’m following VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07 as well (like you, I’m not worried about VA-10). Also FL-15, where my in-laws live, looks to be close, and KS-02 and KS-03 (got family roots out there) a bit later in the evening. Also NC-09 and NC-13. Other than those eight races, just the general run of things. For comparison purposes, I’ll be referring to [538’s final House forecasts](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=midterms-header). ---
**Author:** ![puzzlegal](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/puzzlegal/32/3827_2.png) [@puzzlegal](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puzzlegal)\ **Post date:** [November 6, 2018, 11:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/27 "2018-11-06T23:47:40Z")
I’ll be following Iowa 3 (Republican David Young vs. Democrat Cindy Axne) and Virginia 2 (Republican Scott Taylor vs. Democrat Elaine Luria). Because I spent an hour trying to make phone calls for the Dems in those districts. I only reached one live voter in that hour, so I’m sure I didn’t do any good, but I spent some time researching the candidates and now I care. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/28 "2018-11-07T00:05:38Z")
> [@BobLibDem](#): > > Paul Ryan’s old seat in WI > Steve KKKing in Iowa. > Devil Nunes in CA. These are my biggies. Also looking at the Illinois IL-14 (Underwood replacing Hultgren in the exurbs) IL-6 (Casten replacing Roskam in the exurbs) and IL-13 (Dirksen Londrigan replacing Davis in the UI, ISU areas). These are all probably a stretch, but I think Dirksen Londrigan probably has the best shot if the college kids step up. The 2 exurban districts will probably come down to the white housewives vs the white husbands. ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/29 "2018-11-07T00:46:41Z")
> [@Melcalc](#): > > VA-02, VA-05, VA-07, and VA-10, as they’re all in my state. Living in the 10th, I can tell you Comstock is a goner And it’s been called: Jennifer Wexton will be your Congressperson. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/30 "2018-11-07T02:09:15Z")
> [@RTFirefly](#): > > As a Virginia expat, I’m following VA-02, VA-05, and VA-07 as well (like you, I’m not worried about VA-10). Also FL-15, where my in-laws live, looks to be close, and KS-02 and KS-03 (got family roots out there) a bit later in the evening. Also NC-09 and NC-13. > > Other than those eight races, just the general run of things. For comparison purposes, I’ll be referring to [538’s final House forecasts](https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2018-midterm-election-forecast/house/?ex_cid=midterms-header). So where are we? As mentioned, Jennifer Wexton bumped off Comstock in VA-10; Leslie Cockburn fell short in VA-05, and ditto Kristen Carlson in FL-15. Right now, Spanbarger and Luria have narrow leads in VA-07 and VA-02 with most of the vote in. ---
**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 2:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/31 "2018-11-07T02:34:37Z")
Also IL Underwood up by 5 with 41% in! ---
**Author:** ![dropzone](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dropzone/32/7515_2.png) [@dropzone](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/dropzone)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 3:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/32 "2018-11-07T03:33:36Z")
> [@Dinsdale](#): > > Really hoping to see Roskam go down in the district immediately west of me. Oddly, he’s immediately west, and east, of me, too. That’s one gerrymandered district that he STILL couldn’t hold. ---
**Author:** ![Omniscient](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/omniscient/32/3290_2.png) [@Omniscient](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Omniscient)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 4:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/33 "2018-11-07T04:48:06Z")
Sad to see that the Iron Stache fell short. ---
**Author:** ![China\_Guy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/779978/32.png) [@China\_Guy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/China_Guy)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 5:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/34 "2018-11-07T05:10:33Z")
CA-46. Lou Correa D 60-40% with only 60k votes counted. No idea how many. Orange County - home of the Duke and Milhouse Nixon could finally flip. I’m not guilty “vote buying” but I did send an 18 year old lesbian freshman to university in Orange County… ---
**Author:** ![madmonk28](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/madmonk28/32/20811_2.png) [@madmonk28](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/madmonk28)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 6:22am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/35 "2018-11-07T06:22:49Z")
> [@Lance\_Turbo](#): > > Dave Brat R (incumbent) v Abigail Spanberger D in VA-07 is interesting and looks to be close. > > Brat is the Teabagger/Carpetbagger who famously upset Eric Cantor in a primary a while back. Spanberger is ex-CIA and grew up in the district. He also made the comment that women voters were “all up in his grill.” His dismissiveness of his constituents was repugnant. ---
**Author:** ![RTFirefly](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/c77e96/32.png) [@RTFirefly](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RTFirefly)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 12:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/36 "2018-11-07T12:37:48Z")
> [@madmonk28](#): > > He also made the comment that women voters were “all up in his grill.” His dismissiveness of his constituents was repugnant. Spanbarger got all up in his grill, and grabbed that House seat out from under him. 🙂 ---
**Author:** ![bump](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/7c8e57/32.png) [@bump](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bump)\ **Post date:** [November 7, 2018, 3:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/37 "2018-11-07T15:29:04Z")
> [@Calatin](#): > > From what I’ve seen in recent polls, Allred is doing better than Sessions, but the latest poll I saw had it “Too close to call.” Allred won! Not by too much, but he did win. Sessions is out after 20-something years in the House. ---
**Author:** ![markdash](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba8739/32.png) [@markdash](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/markdash)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2018, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/38 "2018-11-16T02:00:20Z")
> [@markdash](#): > > CA-39. Ed Royce’s old district. Grew up there, parents still live there. Supposedly a coinflip based on polling; longtime R district but trending left lately (went for Clinton in 2016). Well this has gotten verrrrry interesting over the last week, and today finally flipped from Kim (R) to Cisneros (D) after continued tallying of mail and provisional ballots! ---
**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2018, 2:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/39 "2018-11-16T02:38:06Z")
> [@markdash](#): > > Well this has gotten verrrrry interesting over the last week, and today finally flipped from Kim (R) to Cisneros (D) after continued tallying of mail and provisional ballots! Just checked and NYT still has Kim ahead by 122 votes. But the gap has been narrowing pretty steadily. ---
**Author:** ![jasg](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/f0a364/32.png) [@jasg](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jasg)\ **Post date:** [November 16, 2018, 3:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081/40 "2018-11-16T03:31:31Z")
> [@Tamerlane](#): > > Just checked and NYT still has Kim ahead by 122 votes. But the gap has been narrowing pretty steadily. Down to 48 as of [5pm today](https://vote.sos.ca.gov/returns/us-rep/district/39).With quite a few [uncounted](https://elections.cdn.sos.ca.gov/statewide-elections/2018-general/unprocessed-ballots-report.pdf) ballots in LA, Orange and San Bernadino counties. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081.md?page=1) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-house-races-are-you-watching-closely-today/824081.md?page=3)