# Which long time red state might turn blue in November? **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [June 15, 2020, 3:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681 "2020-06-15T03:01:49Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 7\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![HMS\_Irruncible](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hms_irruncible/32/7394_2.png) [@HMS\_Irruncible](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/HMS_Irruncible)\ **Post date:** [June 22, 2020, 12:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/41 "2020-06-22T12:27:11Z")
> [@ThisIsTheEnd](#): > > PA, MI, WI. Get them back and you win. Secure MN. Go for FL. > > Wasting time and money in AZ, GA, NC is like me sending love notes to Sofia Vergara. What’s important is that these states are close enough to flip _if Trump doesn’t contest them_. If the Trump campaign has to spend money contesting states that were a lock in 2016, it consumes funds needed to contest the battleground states. Ask Hillary Clinton what happens when you don’t contest the battleground states vigorously enough. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [June 22, 2020, 12:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/42 "2020-06-22T12:35:17Z")
> [@blindboyard](#): > > Highlight text, then click reply. Thanks!! ---
**Author:** ![ThisIsTheEnd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thisistheend/32/4713_2.png) [@ThisIsTheEnd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThisIsTheEnd)\ **Post date:** [June 23, 2020, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/43 "2020-06-23T23:57:28Z")
Right, so Trump has to contest AZ, GA, NC and he will. Biden doesn’t. What was her campaign manager’s name again? Oh yeah, Mook. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [June 24, 2020, 12:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/44 "2020-06-24T12:51:22Z")
Well, FWIW, Amy Walter and Nate Silver both say things are looking bleak for POTUS in the Electoral College: [US election 2020: The electoral map just keeps getting worse for Trump | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2020/06/23/politics/trump-2020-electoral-map/index.html) ---
**Author:** ![xenophon41](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/xenophon41/32/253_2.png) [@xenophon41](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/xenophon41)\ **Post date:** [June 24, 2020, 12:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/45 "2020-06-24T12:54:55Z")
> [@JKellyMap](#): > > > [@blindboyard](#): > > > > Highlight text, then click reply. > > . > Thanks!! Appears to work for the nested quotes as well. ---
**Author:** ![JKellyMap](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jkellymap/32/15880_2.png) [@JKellyMap](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JKellyMap)\ **Post date:** [June 24, 2020, 12:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/46 "2020-06-24T12:58:08Z")
Long way to go yet. If, say, three highly rated pollsters find a 7-point-or-more Biden lead in late September in at least three of these four states — North Carolina, Pennsylvania, Florida, and Michigan — then I’ll start to breathe a LITTLE easier. But I’ll still be anxious. ---
**Author:** ![Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/7cd45c/32.png) [@Elendil\_s\_Heir](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Elendil_s_Heir)\ **Post date:** [July 3, 2020, 3:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681/47 "2020-07-03T15:31:47Z")
The GOP worries they may be losing Florida seniors: [Florida coronavirus: Anxiety over Trump's chances with senior voters increases as the virus spreads | CNN Politics](https://www.cnn.com/2020/07/03/politics/florida-senior-voters-trump/index.html) [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-long-time-red-state-might-turn-blue-in-november/855681.md?page=2)