# Which "summer" movie will make the most 2016 **URL:** \ **Category:** Cafe Society\ **Created:** [March 21, 2016, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768 "2016-03-21T14:30:51Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/1 "2016-03-21T14:30:51Z")
I swear, these things are getting earlier every time. I put "summer"in quotations because it’s obviously not summer (it friggin snowed in Boston today. That’s crap). But I decided to start this because I wanted to get Batman Vs Superman in the mix. Here are the threads from previous years: [2015](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=754351) [2014](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=719654) [2013](http://boards.straightdope.com/sdmb/showthread.php?t=687844) I learned a valuable lesson last year: don’t be too sure. I would have put money that the Avengers was going to be the top. Well, it wasn’t. This year I’m not so sure. Poll to come. P.S. I’m talking worldwide box office. ---
**Author:** ![Sir\_T-Cups](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ed655f/32.png) [@Sir\_T-Cups](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sir_T-Cups)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 3:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/2 "2016-03-21T15:00:42Z")
Wow, first to vote and reply. Never done that before… To me, it was a toss-up between Cap 3 and Secret Life of Pets. I ended up going with Pets because I think it will reach further with the kiddos than Cap will even though they are both aiming towards that demographic. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 3:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/3 "2016-03-21T15:10:45Z")
> [@Sir\_T-Cups](#): > > Wow, first to vote and reply. Never done that before… > > To me, it was a toss-up between Cap 3 and Secret Life of Pets. I ended up going with Pets because I think it will reach further with the kiddos than Cap will even though they are both aiming towards that demographic. That’s up there, but Finding Dory is going to give it a run for its money, at least. You have a bit of nostalgia along with the fact that it’s a sequel to one of Pixar’s best. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 3:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/4 "2016-03-21T15:54:51Z")
Man, this was a slam-dunk last year. And then it wasn’t. I’m going off-road here with Alice Through the Looking Glass. ---
**Author:** ![Snowboarder\_Bo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowboarder_bo/32/229_2.png) [@Snowboarder\_Bo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snowboarder_Bo)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 4:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/5 "2016-03-21T16:26:10Z")
Suicide Squad ftw ---
**Author:** ![AlsoNamedBort](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/alsonamedbort/32/3213_2.png) [@AlsoNamedBort](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AlsoNamedBort)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 4:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/6 "2016-03-21T16:40:55Z")
Independence Day 2 has the biggest chance to pull a Jurassic World upset here. Otherwise it will be Cap 3. ---
**Author:** ![G0sp3l](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/c68b51/32.png) [@G0sp3l](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/G0sp3l)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 5:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/7 "2016-03-21T17:45:07Z")
I expect Civil War to walk away with this followed by X-Men and Suicide Squad. I expect Bats vs Supes to lay a gigantic egg. ---
**Author:** ![Gordon\_Urquhart](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/db5fbb/32.png) [@Gordon\_Urquhart](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gordon_Urquhart)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 6:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/8 "2016-03-21T18:43:27Z")
I voted for _Captain America: Civil War_, and I think it will outpace the runner-up (which I think will be _Finding Dory_) by at least 20%. ---
**Author:** ![Sir\_T-Cups](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/ed655f/32.png) [@Sir\_T-Cups](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sir_T-Cups)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 6:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/9 "2016-03-21T18:47:29Z")
> [@Maserschmidt](#): > > Man, this was a slam-dunk last year. And then it wasn’t. > > I’m going off-road here with Alice Through the Looking Glass. I doubt people even know this movie exists…much less is going to go to it enough to beat the toons and Cap ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 7:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/10 "2016-03-21T19:47:11Z")
I’ll go with Finding Dory. But even though I follow movies pretty closely, I’ve never heard of a couple of these. They’re remaking Ben-Hur again? And what the hell is Sausage Party or Popstar? And it’s depressing how few are original films. Almost all are sequels, the latest in a franchise or a remake. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 8:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/11 "2016-03-21T20:17:09Z")
> [@Dewey\_Finn](#): > > I’ll go with Finding Dory. But even though I follow movies pretty closely, I’ve never heard of a couple of these. They’re remaking Ben-Hur again? And what the hell is Sausage Party or Popstar? > > And it’s depressing how few are original films. Almost all are sequels, the latest in a franchise or a remake. Yup, they remade the movie. I think it’s going to bomb. Sausage Party is an animated film with the Freaks and Geeks guys. Popstar is the Lonely Island guys. I’m rather stoked for that one. ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 8:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/12 "2016-03-21T20:20:23Z")
That’s the other half of the prediction game; which of these movies, particularly the big-budget comic-book adaptions, is going to flop? I think last year Warner Bros had a long string of flops. ---
**Author:** ![silenus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/silenus/32/166_2.png) [@silenus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/silenus)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/13 "2016-03-21T20:22:58Z")
_Civil War_ in a walk. None of the others will get within 15% of its gross. ---
**Author:** ![MovieMogul](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f08c70/32.png) [@MovieMogul](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MovieMogul)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 8:23pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/14 "2016-03-21T20:23:56Z")
FINDING NEMO is the biggest money-maker Pixar has ever had (adjusting for inflation), so I’m betting on the sequel. ---
**Author:** ![drm](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/a88e57/32.png) [@drm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/drm)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 10:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/15 "2016-03-21T22:09:01Z")
It will certainly be a franchise, but that doesn’t narrow things down. Between Xmen, Civil War, and Batman v Superman, I’m going Xmen because of Memorial Day. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 10:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/16 "2016-03-21T22:47:55Z")
> [@Maserschmidt](#): > > Man, this was a slam-dunk last year. And then it wasn’t. > > I’m going off-road here with Alice Through the Looking Glass. > [@Sir\_T-Cups](#): > > I doubt people even know this movie exists…much less is going to go to it enough to beat the toons and Cap Did you know the first Alice movie (2010) almost out-earned the first two Captain America movies combined? ---
**Author:** ![Idle\_Thoughts](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/838e76/32.png) [@Idle\_Thoughts](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Idle_Thoughts)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 10:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/17 "2016-03-21T22:49:42Z")
Finding Dory. ---
**Author:** ![Richard\_John\_Marcej](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/5f9b8f/32.png) [@Richard\_John\_Marcej](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_John_Marcej)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 10:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/18 "2016-03-21T22:56:38Z")
> [@Sir\_T-Cups](#): > > Wow, first to vote and reply. Never done that before… > > To me, it was a toss-up between Cap 3 and Secret Life of Pets. I ended up going with Pets because I think it will reach further with the kiddos than Cap will even though they are both aiming towards that demographic. I might have answered _ **“Secret Lives of Pets”** _ after seeing the first trailer. It looked unique, different and really funny. Unfortunately as more info and trailers are being released it’s looking like every “enemies at first then become friends” animated film that have become before. ---
**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\ **Post date:** [March 21, 2016, 10:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/19 "2016-03-21T22:58:58Z")
Cap 3. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [March 23, 2016, 2:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/20 "2016-03-23T14:26:12Z")
The reviews for Bat v Supes are coming back very mediocre. I don’t think this will have an affect on the opening weekend. People who’ve been waiting for this movie will see it no matter what’s being said. It may affect the tail, though. [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768.md?page=2)