# Which "summer" movie will make the most 2016 **URL:** \ **Category:** Cafe Society\ **Created:** [March 21, 2016, 2:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768 "2016-03-21T14:30:51Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 3
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [April 14, 2016, 2:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/41 "2016-04-14T02:32:57Z")
If I’d known the reviews for CA:CW were going to be this good, I would have given it a little more thought. It appears the world isn’t quite tired of superhero movies yet. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [May 2, 2016, 3:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/42 "2016-05-02T15:01:54Z")
It seems that Batman v Superman is horribly disappointing in the Box Office. It recently surpassed the first Iron Man, I believe. The fact that it is only now grossing a second tier Marvel hero says how lackluster the film was. It still hasn’t pulled in as much as Iron Man 3. The Jungle Book seems to be during surprisingly well. Just out a couple of weeks it’s already at a domestic total of 252m. The Huntsman is bombing completely. I’m not surprised at that in the least. ---
**Author:** ![Rhiannon8404](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rhiannon8404/32/17929_2.png) [@Rhiannon8404](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Rhiannon8404)\ **Post date:** [May 2, 2016, 3:41pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/43 "2016-05-02T15:41:19Z")
I voted for Alice because I _want_ it to do well. I have no idea how it will actually do. It’s the very last film Alan Rickman worked on. ---
**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\ **Post date:** [May 2, 2016, 4:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/44 "2016-05-02T16:11:19Z")
Cap 3(aka Avengers 3, aka Iron Man Whatever, aka Spider-Man reboot)-Unlike Supes/Bats, we actually know these guys and are interested in how they’ll handle whatever the situation is, the writers haven’t fucked with the characters and origins like they have with the DC movie, and there is lightness to balance to dark. ---
**Author:** ![TBG](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/c89c15/32.png) [@TBG](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TBG)\ **Post date:** [May 3, 2016, 11:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/45 "2016-05-03T23:35:15Z")
> [@Mixolydian](#): > > I’m playing the longshot that Sausage Party becomes a cult hit. > > How could you go wrong with a title like that? Never even heard of it before this thread, but they’ve already gone wrong with the title itself. It should be Sausagefest. ---
**Author:** ![panache45](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/panache45/32/64_2.png) [@panache45](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/panache45)\ **Post date:** [May 4, 2016, 5:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/46 "2016-05-04T05:02:53Z")
[_Florence Foster Jenkins_](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Florence_Foster_Jenkins_%28film%29). Among other things, we’ll get to see Simon Helberg’s forehead. ---
**Author:** ![Reluctant\_A](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/839c29/32.png) [@Reluctant\_A](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Reluctant_A)\ **Post date:** [May 4, 2016, 7:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/47 "2016-05-04T19:46:30Z")
I voted for _Civil War_, based solely on the fact that it’s the only movie on that list that I’m actually going to watch. ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [May 4, 2016, 7:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/48 "2016-05-04T19:57:11Z")
No dark horse love for “Swiss Army Man”, in which Daniel Radcliffe plays a farting corpse? ---
**Author:** ![Dewey\_Finn](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dewey_finn/32/4222_2.png) [@Dewey\_Finn](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dewey_Finn)\ **Post date:** [May 4, 2016, 7:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/49 "2016-05-04T19:59:26Z")
I think the movie-going public is just tired of movies featuring farting corpses. ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [May 5, 2016, 10:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/50 "2016-05-05T22:36:50Z")
It does seem to be a bloated market. ---
**Author:** ![RandMcnally](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/b782af/32.png) [@RandMcnally](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RandMcnally)\ **Post date:** [May 9, 2016, 1:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/51 "2016-05-09T13:15:46Z")
The opening results are in for Civil War: Domestic: $181,791,000 26.8% - Foreign: $496,600,000 73.2% = Worldwide: $678,391,000 I’m not surprised it did so well. I wouldn’t be surprised, in fact, if it beats out Age of Ultron (this is a much better movie). It’ll definitely outpace Superman v Batman. The Jungle Book is doing very well: Domestic: $284,985,265 36.7% - Foreign: $491,200,000 63.3% = Worldwide: $776,185,265 ---
**Author:** ![MovieMogul](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/f08c70/32.png) [@MovieMogul](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MovieMogul)\ **Post date:** [June 29, 2016, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/52 "2016-06-29T18:02:13Z")
Seems like a good time to provide some updates. Cite: BoxOfficeMojo (all figures domestic). Titles in **Bold** received at least one vote in the poll. **Captain America: Civil War - $404M** The Jungle Book - $358M **Batman v Superman: DoJ - $330M Finding Dory - $296M X-Men: Apocalypse - $151M** The Angry Birds Movie - $105M TMNT: Out of the Shadows - $77M **Alice through the Looking Glass - $74M** Central Intelligence - $71M My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $59M Barbershop: The Next Cut - $54M Now You See Me 2 - $53M The Huntsman: Winter’s War - $48M **Independence Day: Resurgence - $47M Warcraft - $45M** Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping - $9M Clearly, the film people underestimated the most was the recent “live action” remake of a Disney animated property. The one that was most overestimated was the sequel to a Tim Burton success (not directed by Burton), which is unlikely to break $100M. Note that **Dory** was only $10M shy of **CA:CW** ’s numbers after 2 weeks, so it has a good chance of giving Marvel a run for its money as the final winner. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\ **Post date:** [June 29, 2016, 6:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/53 "2016-06-29T18:27:10Z")
> [@MovieMogul](#): > > Seems like a good time to provide some updates. Cite: BoxOfficeMojo (all figures domestic). Titles in **Bold** received at least one vote in the poll. > > **Captain America: Civil War - $404M** > The Jungle Book - $358M > **Batman v Superman: DoJ - $330M > Finding Dory - $296M > X-Men: Apocalypse - $151M** > The Angry Birds Movie - $105M > TMNT: Out of the Shadows - $77M > **Alice through the Looking Glass - $74M** > Central Intelligence - $71M > My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $59M > Barbershop: The Next Cut - $54M > Now You See Me 2 - $53M > The Huntsman: Winter’s War - $48M > **Independence Day: Resurgence - $47M > Warcraft - $45M** > Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping - $9M > Clearly, the film people underestimated the most was the recent “live action” remake of a Disney animated property. The one that was most overestimated was the sequel to a Tim Burton success The fact that POPSTAR was on that list _at all_ is arguably a pretty big overestimation. Heck, THE SHALLOWS, starring Blake Lively’s rear end, wasn’t listed, but pulled in more money partway through its first weekend than POPSTAR got in its whole run! ---
**Author:** ![Infovore](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/infovore/32/420_2.png) [@Infovore](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Infovore)\ **Post date:** [June 29, 2016, 6:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/54 "2016-06-29T18:32:54Z")
The one that surprised me is _Warcraft_. It laid an egg in the US, but did big numbers overseas (especially in China). $44M in the US vs. $368M internationally. I personally thought it stunk (and I’m a WoW player). But apparently the Chinese love it. ---
**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\ **Post date:** [June 29, 2016, 10:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/55 "2016-06-29T22:39:02Z")
> [@MovieMogul](#): > > Seems like a good time to provide some updates. Cite: BoxOfficeMojo (all figures domestic). Titles in **Bold** received at least one vote in the poll. > > **Captain America: Civil War - $404M** > The Jungle Book - $358M > **Batman v Superman: DoJ - $330M > Finding Dory - $296M > X-Men: Apocalypse - $151M** > The Angry Birds Movie - $105M > TMNT: Out of the Shadows - $77M > **Alice through the Looking Glass - $74M** > Central Intelligence - $71M > My Big Fat Greek Wedding 2 - $59M > Barbershop: The Next Cut - $54M > Now You See Me 2 - $53M > The Huntsman: Winter’s War - $48M > **Independence Day: Resurgence - $47M > Warcraft - $45M** > Popstar: Never Stop Never Stopping - $9M > Clearly, the film people underestimated the most was the recent “live action” remake of a Disney animated property. The one that was most overestimated was the sequel to a Tim Burton success (not directed by Burton), which is unlikely to break $100M. > > Note that **Dory** was only $10M shy of **CA:CW** ’s numbers after 2 weeks, so it has a good chance of giving Marvel a run for its money as the final winner. As a reminder, the metric was worldwide box office…I’m not sure how much that changes the answers, though. ---
**Author:** ![Equipoise](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/equipoise/32/151_2.png) [@Equipoise](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Equipoise)\ **Post date:** [June 30, 2016, 4:42am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/56 "2016-06-30T04:42:12Z")
> [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](#): > > The fact that POPSTAR was on that list _at all_ is arguably a pretty big overestimation. Heck, THE SHALLOWS, starring Blake Lively’s rear end, wasn’t listed, but pulled in more money partway through its first weekend than POPSTAR got in its whole run! Which is a damned shame. My husband and I thought POPSTAR was hilarious. Central Intelligence too. (Edit to add, Keanu too) We see a lot of serious movies and blockbusters. Sometimes it’s nice to just laugh and have fun. I haven’t seen The Shallows yet. It’s on my list. ---
**Author:** ![Richard\_John\_Marcej](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/5f9b8f/32.png) [@Richard\_John\_Marcej](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Richard_John_Marcej)\ **Post date:** [June 30, 2016, 4:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/57 "2016-06-30T04:47:07Z")
> [@Equipoise](#): > > Which is a damned shame. My husband and I thought POPSTAR was hilarious. Central Intelligence too. We see a lot of serious movies and blockbusters. Sometimes it’s nice to just laugh and have fun. I haven’t seen The Shallows yet. It’s on my list. I saw **The Shallows** the other day. I thought it was pretty good. Besides being physically attractive I thought Lively did a hell of a good job, considering she had to carry about 98% of the film. I don;'t think it was good as the last film I saw, **The Lobster** , but it was a nice, tense summer film. ---
**Author:** ![muldoonthief](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/muldoonthief/32/3188_2.png) [@muldoonthief](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/muldoonthief)\ **Post date:** [July 25, 2016, 6:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/58 "2016-07-25T18:42:03Z")
FWIW, _Finding Dory_ is noa comfortable $54 million ahead of _Captain America_. _Star Trek_ had a great opening, but probably not enough to catch up. So _Suicide Squad_ is the only feasible challenger left at this point, and it’s pretty unlikely to even pass Captain America IMHO. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_other_waldo_pepper/32/12370_2.png) [@The\_Other\_Waldo\_Pepper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Other_Waldo_Pepper)\ **Post date:** [September 5, 2016, 11:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/59 "2016-09-05T23:11:14Z")
> [@muldoonthief](#): > > FWIW, _Finding Dory_ is noa comfortable $54 million ahead of _Captain America_. Like someone pointed out upthread, though, wasn’t this supposed to be about the worldwide gross? Because – as Labor Day weekend comes to a close – it looks like **Captain America** is still ahead of **Finding Dory** (and everything else) worldwide. (And, again: **The Shallows** , which didn’t even get on this poll, has apparently grossed more than **Popstar** and **Keanu** and **Barbershop: The Next Cut** _put together_.) Still, the really glaring item missing from that list looks to have been **Jason Bourne** , which (a) only had one week at #1 before **Suicide Squad** came along, but (b) is now at ~$380m and still going, which is more than the majority of the poll options. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Stainless\_Steel\_Rat](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/the_stainless_steel_rat/32/5727_2.png) [@The\_Stainless\_Steel\_Rat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Stainless_Steel_Rat)\ **Post date:** [September 6, 2016, 12:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768/60 "2016-09-06T00:46:27Z")
A couple of other poll options not mentioned: **Ghostbusters** is at $126M domestic and $219M worldwide, while **The Secret Life of Pets** did a whopping $359M domestic and $762M worldwide (and not surprisingly, a sequel is planned…) [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768.md?page=2) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/which-summer-movie-will-make-the-most-2016/749768.md?page=4)