# Who do you think WILL win the presidency in 2020?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [March 2, 2020, 7:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817 "2020-03-02T19:48:12Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 11\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![asahi](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/asahi/32/8693_2.png) [@asahi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/asahi)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/41 "2020-03-04T02:27:51Z")

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> [@divemaster](#):
>
> If Biden is the nominee, I think he’ll win. It’ll be close, but I think he’ll flip enough states, with perhaps 1-2 to spare.
> 
> If Sanders is the nominee, I think he gets slaughtered. Trump wins handily.

I don’t think Sanders gets slaughtered, but he gets beaten somewhat comfortably by someone who might otherwise be defeated comfortably. Sanders won’t be another McGovern or Mondale or Goldwater, but he could be another Kerry.

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**Author:** ![racepug](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f1d935/32.png) [@racepug](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/racepug)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 2:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/42 "2020-03-04T02:37:32Z")

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> [@Inigo\_Montoya](#):
>
> Trump will win.
> 
> Trump is who we are, and who we will be until a real crisis (not some rando virus or economic downturn) bashes some reality into our collective heads and we refuse to indulge charlatans. Biden is boring. He can put us back to where Trump took over, IF congress will cooperate with him. But where Obama left us was “in the mood for Trump”, so screw that. Sanders is who we need AFTER a real crisis bashes some reality into our collective heads. His way requires cooperation and personal sacrifice, but we as a society are…Trump.

This.

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**Author:** ![Kobal2](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kobal2/32/20_2.png) [@Kobal2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kobal2)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 3:02am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/43 "2020-03-04T03:02:25Z")

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> [@bump](#):
>
> My thinking is like this:
> 
> Bernie would lose to Trump. Why? Because if he’s in the race, he represents a stark choice between his brand of “socialism” and Trump’s brand of… whatever it is, but it’s not socialist.

The word you’re looking for is “fascism”.

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**Author:** ![Spiderman](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/spiderman/32/230_2.png) [@Spiderman](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Spiderman)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/44 "2020-03-04T03:10:16Z")

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Bernie would get slaughtered. He’s way too far left to get the vote of the moderates who don’t like 46-1. Someone more centrist, like Biden, is the lesser of two evils.

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**Author:** ![RioRico](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/f04885/32.png) [@RioRico](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RioRico)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 6:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/45 "2020-03-04T06:13:14Z")

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> [@Spiderman](#):
>
> Bernie would get slaughtered. He’s way too far left to get the vote of the moderates who don’t like 46-1. Someone more centrist, like Biden, is the lesser of two evils.

I’ve long identified as a rad-lib. 1980 was the last time I voted for a Dem presidential candidate. I supported Bernie in the 2016 primary. But Tramp is anxious to run against Bernie, not Biden. Policy promises are nice. But evicting Tramp from DC takes priority over all else. I fear that when Biden gets the nomination, Tramp will pull some terrible trick to maintain his grip on power. I sure hope I’m wrong.

If the election isn’t compromised, Biden wins. Otherwise the orange terror runs rampant.

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 6:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/46 "2020-03-04T06:16:31Z")

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> [@Urbanredneck](#):
>
> Sanders if the democrats allow him.
> 
> …

The democrats dont “allow” anything. **It’s the voters dammit.**

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**Author:** ![DrDeth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/b487fb/32.png) [@DrDeth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DrDeth)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 6:19am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/47 "2020-03-04T06:19:13Z")

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> [@Nars\_Glinley](#):
>
> Right now, my money is on Biden. He’s long been called “Pennsylvania’s third Senator.” If he can get it to flip from 2016, I think he’s the favorite.

Yes, Biden has the best chance of beating Trump. Joe will lose only if Sanders takes his ball and goes home. This is, sadly- quite likely.  
Sanders can also. Bernie will lose only if the Kremlin and the GOP spring some sort of surprise. This is, sadly- quite likely.

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**Author:** ![DJ\_Motorbike](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/90ced4/32.png) [@DJ\_Motorbike](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DJ_Motorbike)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2020, 8:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/48 "2020-03-04T20:22:34Z")

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> [@Hari\_Seldon](#):
>
> 2000 years ago there was a prominent Jewish socialist and you know what they did to him.

He got what he deserved.

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**Author:** ![Gyrate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gyrate/32/3588_2.png) [@Gyrate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gyrate)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2020, 10:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/49 "2020-03-05T10:52:05Z")

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One thing we can be sure of: no matter whether the Democrats run with Biden or Sanders (or, although unlikely, Warren), if that person loses to Trump, all we’ll hear for the next four years is “You should have picked the _other_ person!”

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**Author:** ![BeepKillBeep](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/9e8a1a/32.png) [@BeepKillBeep](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BeepKillBeep)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2020, 11:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/50 "2020-03-05T11:55:25Z")

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Prior to COVID-19, I would have said Trump. Now, I’m less certain. As can be expected, the Trump administration is displaying their usual levels of ineptness, and Trump himself is being his usual incompetent self. Of course, this will not budge the needle on the 40% that adore Dear Leader, but for the small number of people that can swing an election, it could be critical. Now, I personally think that coronavirus will burn out in May/June. If it doesn’t, and it kills a substantial number of people (or creates real economic loss on middle America), then that could cause Trump to lose.

So, overall, my prediction is still Trump, but COVID-19 + incompetence could equal a loss.

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**Author:** ![Sterling\_Archer](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/f1d935/32.png) [@Sterling\_Archer](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sterling_Archer)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2020, 1:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-do-you-think-will-win-the-presidency-in-2020/848817/51 "2020-03-05T13:42:02Z")

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> [@DJ\_Motorbike](#):
>
> He got what he deserved.

Yikes. Not funny.

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