# Who is favored in the Walker/Warnock runoff for the Georgia Senate seat? (Updated: Warnock wins)

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [November 10, 2022, 1:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691 "2022-11-10T13:44:55Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 7

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**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 12:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/121 "2022-11-17T00:45:24Z")

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Forget about his own race or Democrats vs. Republicans. What Herschel Walker really wants to know is who is favored in the runoff between vampires and werewolves.

> **[Herschel Walker veers off speech to rant about werewolves, vampires](https://www.businessinsider.com/herschel-walker-veers-off-speech-to-rant-about-werewolves-vampires-2022-11?amp)**
>
> In a speech to supporters, Walker marveled at how "a werewolf can kill a vampire," and said vampires were "cool people."

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**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/122 "2022-11-17T01:33:28Z")

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So he is team Edward? (That’s the vampire, right?)

Brian  
ETA he actually preferred werewolves, so team other guy

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 1:46am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/123 "2022-11-17T01:46:45Z")

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> [@FlikTheBlue](#):
>
> Forget about his own race or Democrats vs. Republicans. What Herschel Walker really wants to know is who is favored in the runoff between vampires and werewolves.
> 
> [Herschel Walker Veers Off Speech to Rant About Werewolves, Vampires](https://www.businessinsider.com/herschel-walker-veers-off-speech-to-rant-about-werewolves-vampires-2022-11?amp)

This is getting a ton of play today, but explaining the plot of Fright Night is probably the most relatable thing I’ve seen from him.

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**Author:** ![N9IWP](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/n9iwp/32/3154_2.png) [@N9IWP](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/N9IWP)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/124 "2022-11-17T02:08:41Z")

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Except no werewolves in Fright Night.

Brian

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**Author:** ![susan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/susan/32/17537_2.png) [@susan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/susan)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/125 "2022-11-17T02:27:36Z")

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Team Jacob, my friend.

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**Author:** ![Ann\_Hedonia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ann_hedonia/32/319_2.png) [@Ann\_Hedonia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ann_Hedonia)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/126 "2022-11-17T02:29:16Z")

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That was hysterical.

I watched the whole thing trying to find the political angle. I thought I had it when he insinuated that the vampire looked like Warnock, but then he went on and on about how nothing could kill the vampire but faith …….or werewolves. Plus he complimented the vampire on being cool.

Wow. Just Wow.

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**Author:** ![Acsenray](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/acsenray/32/4519_2.png) [@Acsenray](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Acsenray)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/127 "2022-11-17T03:03:32Z")

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He clearly thinks he is the most entertaining person in the world. Like Jake LaMotta doing standup.

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**Author:** ![Lance\_Turbo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/lance_turbo/32/6156_2.png) [@Lance\_Turbo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lance_Turbo)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 12:18pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/128 "2022-11-17T12:18:14Z")

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> [@N9IWP](#):
>
> Except no werewolves in Fright Night.

I didn’t say it was accurate. I said it was relatable.

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**Author:** ![snowthx](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/snowthx/32/10660_2.png) [@snowthx](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/snowthx)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 1:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/129 "2022-11-17T13:56:42Z")

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If you close your eyes and listen to the rambling, you might think it’s Keenan Thompson doing a SNL sketch of a Walker campaign speech.

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**Author:** ![Acsenray](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/acsenray/32/4519_2.png) [@Acsenray](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Acsenray)\
**Post date:** [November 17, 2022, 6:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/130 "2022-11-17T18:00:06Z")

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> [@snowthx](#):
>
> you might think it’s Keenan Thompson doing a SNL sketch of a Walker campaign speech.

Oooo. Yes.

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**Author:** ![DSeid](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/dseid/32/20194_2.png) [@DSeid](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DSeid)\
**Post date:** [December 3, 2022, 2:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/131 "2022-12-03T02:00:35Z")

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> [@DSeid](#):
>
> the national heavyweights spending much effort? Also no

> **[With Big G.O.P. Names Largely Staying Away, Walker Stresses His Georgia Roots...](https://www.nytimes.com/2022/12/02/us/politics/walker-georgia-runoff-campaign.html)**
>
> Before the November election, Mr. Walker had help from Republicans far and wide. Now, he’s relying heavily on Gov. Brian Kemp of Georgia to pull him ahead of Senator Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent.

Dollar side too.

> **[Runoff watch: Warnock doubles up Walker’s fundraising haul ](https://www.nbcnews.com/news/amp/shows/meetthepress/blog/rcna58925)**
>
> The Georgia Democrat raised $52.2 million between Oc. 20 and Nov. 16.

Kemp’s turnout apparatus is solid though.

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**Author:** ![SuntanLotion](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/suntanlotion/32/16165_2.png) [@SuntanLotion](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/SuntanLotion)\
**Post date:** [December 3, 2022, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/132 "2022-12-03T02:08:39Z")

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How smart are the voters? I guess we’ll see.

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**Author:** ![hajario](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hajario/32/171_2.png) [@hajario](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/hajario)\
**Post date:** [December 3, 2022, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/133 "2022-12-03T23:19:30Z")

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Another poll with very good news.

> **[Raphael Warnock has a 4-point lead over Herschel Walker in the Georgia Senate...](https://www.businessinsider.com/raphael-warnock-leads-herschel-walker-georgia-senate-runoff-poll-2022-12?utm_source=reddit.com)**
>
> The poll, conducted by SurveyUSA for 11Alive, showed Warnock with 50% support among likely voters in Georgia, while Walker received 46% support.

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**Author:** ![digs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/digs/32/14889_2.png) [@digs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/digs)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/134 "2022-12-04T00:51:26Z")

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> [@snowthx](#):
>
> If you close your eyes and listen to the rambling, you might think it’s Keenan Thompson doing a SNL sketch of a Walker campaign speech.

What’s up with that?

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**Author:** ![DesertDog](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/desertdog/32/11503_2.png) [@DesertDog](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DesertDog)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 8:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/135 "2022-12-04T20:42:53Z")

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> [@hajario](#):
>
> Another poll with very good news.

Well, it’s better than being behind, but why in hell isn’t a lead well into double digits? What is _wrong_ with those people?

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**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 8:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/136 "2022-12-04T20:53:36Z")

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Have any jurisdictions in Georgia removed Walker from the ballot for being constitutionally ineligible to the position, since he’s a resident of a different state?

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 8:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/137 "2022-12-04T20:59:11Z")

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No because all he has to do is say he made a mistake in Texas, pay the taxes he owes there, and he’s a resident of Georgia. It’s not really any kind of gotcha aside from meaning he shouldn’t have received tax breaks for claiming residency in Texas.

It’d be nice if that really made him ineligible but it doesn’t.

> **[Herschel Walker dismisses Texas home, says he's lived in Georgia whole life](https://www.newsweek.com/herschel-walker-dismisses-texas-home-says-hes-lived-georgia-whole-life-1764421)**
>
> The Senate hopeful reportedly claimed a Dallas property as his primary residence in 2021 and 2022 to receive a tax break.

> As reported by CNN, Walker’s Texas tax break is unlikely to present any legal issues for his campaign’s legitimacy. Georgia law has 15 rules for determining residency when running for political office that are flexible. In addition, the U.S. Constitution requires only that a candidate resides in the state where they are running when and if they are elected. Instead, the issue could cause yet another image problem for the campaign.

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**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 9:04pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/138 "2022-12-04T21:04:13Z")

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> [@Atamasama](#):
>
> all he has to do is say he made a mistake in Texas, pay the taxes he owes there, and he’s a resident of Georgia.

Although, I note he has not done this yet. Of course, what he’ll REALLY do is keep his Texas residency for tax purposes after he loses and will not pay any additional taxes.

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**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2022, 10:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/139 "2022-12-04T22:15:04Z")

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> [@Euphonious\_Polemic](#):
>
> Of course, what he’ll REALLY do is keep his Texas residency for tax purposes after he loses and will not pay any additional taxes.

That is the most likely scenario. The residency requirement in this case would only matter when it comes time to take office. It means nothing before then, due to Georgia’s flexible laws.

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<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mallard](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b9bd4f/32.png) [@Mallard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mallard)\
**Post date:** [December 5, 2022, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/140 "2022-12-05T23:57:55Z")

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> [@Nars\_Glinley](#):
>
> With neither candidate reaching the required 50% of the vote due to a Libertarian candidate syphoning off 2%, there will be a runoff election on December 3rd. Who currently has the better position?
> 
> _Poll ([view on site](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/140))_
> 
> At this point, I have to give the edge to Warnock. I think that Kemp being on the ballot helped Walker more than Abrams did Warnock. I’m not sure why I feel that way other than gut instinct.
> 
> I also can’t see Walker getting a majority of the vote of those that supported Oliver, the Libertarian.
> 
> I like the Democrat’s chances of holding this seat.
> 
> It’s also possible that it’s too early to tell since the rest of the seats haven’t been decided yet. People might vote differently if it’s to give or prevent one side from having a clear majority.

I’m not an American but from what I’ve read on US politics is that “libertarians” usually espouse right wing views. Given that the libertarian support was more than the difference between the democrat & Republican candidate, and with the libertarian candidate now out, doesn’t this by-election essentially ensure a win for the Republican candidate? (Assuming the republicans get their vote out)

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