# Who is favored in the Walker/Warnock runoff for the Georgia Senate seat? (Updated: Warnock wins) **URL:** \ **Category:** Politics & Elections\ **Created:** [November 10, 2022, 1:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691 "2022-11-10T13:44:55Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 9
**Author:** ![rocking\_chair](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/rocking_chair/32/2918_2.png) [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/161 "2022-12-07T01:06:05Z")
Some of the small republican counties are 99% in walker is mostly holdin within a point or two of where he was in nov… ---
**Author:** ![Atamasama](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/atamasama/32/12961_2.png) [@Atamasama](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Atamasama)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/162 "2022-12-07T01:06:06Z")
> [@Nars\_Glinley](#): > > Also, I’m afraid that the early voting lead wasn’t as high as I’d hoped. Late voting tends to favor Democrats, which helped fuel the election fraud mania. “We were winning then it went away!!!” That’s what happens when you tell your voters that mail-in voting is unsafe. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/163 "2022-12-07T01:33:42Z")
Currently: 52% of votes counted Raphael Warnock (i) D 984,197 votes 50.9% Herschel Walker R 950,225 votes 49.1% It’s dropped a lot, but if you look at the county by country vote, the large Dem-leaning counties haven’t counted a lot of the vote yet. > **[Live Election Results: Raphael Warnock Wins the Georgia Senate Runoff](https://www.newyorker.com/news/election-2022/live-results-map-warnock-walker-georgia-senate?fbclid=IwAR0uW5mNBDZbjXiA-7mP2XDsoLRyGIMV1NzyMC8ljy7NAvBuQFJ296b1KK4)** > > The Democratic incumbent’s victory over Herschel Walker gives Democrats fifty-one seats in the Senate. ---
**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/164 "2022-12-07T01:37:08Z")
I can’t see how it’s that fucking close. Even at this early point. Republicans will vote for a fucking lamp post if you put an (R) after the name. ---
**Author:** ![FlikTheBlue](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/fliktheblue/32/10972_2.png) [@FlikTheBlue](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/FlikTheBlue)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:40am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/165 "2022-12-07T01:40:05Z")
> [@Horatius](#): > > It’s dropped a lot, but if you look at the county by country vote, the large Dem-leaning counties haven’t counted a lot of the vote yet. There’s still some rural counties that haven’t reported in by the CNN map. Dade, Lumpkin, White, and Banks county in the northern area are still at 0%. So is Dodge county in the middle part of the state. Yes, I have a bit of paranoia kicking in that Walker might somehow pull this out. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:48am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/166 "2022-12-07T01:48:38Z")
Yeah, but those places aren’t that big. > Lumpkin County is a county located in the north central portion of the U.S. state of Georgia. As of the 2020 census, the population was 33,488. Dekalb county is only reporting about 5% right now, and has a population of 764,382. It’s currently breaking 87% for Warnock. Even if Lumpkin goes 100% for Walker, Dekalb will wipe that out. ---
**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/167 "2022-12-07T01:58:08Z")
> [@Horatius](#): > > Dekalb county is only reporting about 5% right now, and has a population of 764,382. 43% now and Warnock is back up. ---
**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:06am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/168 "2022-12-07T02:06:37Z")
So if Walker loses, will Trump’s “Truth” strategy be “RIGGED ELECTION!” or “I barely knew the guy.” ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/169 "2022-12-07T02:07:31Z")
Both, in the same sentence, of course. Along with some word so badly mistyped that nobody can tell what he was trying to say, and which all of his followers say is obvious. ---
**Author:** ![bobot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bobot/32/21622_2.png) [@bobot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bobot)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/170 "2022-12-07T02:08:38Z")
And CAPITALIZATION for some words! ---
**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:09am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/171 "2022-12-07T02:09:29Z")
538 has it basically tied, but the analysts say the trends favor Warnock. Fingers crossed. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/172 "2022-12-07T02:11:32Z")
> [@Nars\_Glinley](#): > > So if Walker loses, will Trump’s “Truth” strategy be “RIGGED ELECTION!” or “I barely knew the guy.” “Of course they rigged it, they rig everything, but if I _had_ known him, they would have rigged it so he lost by even more votes, because they hate Trump so much!” ---
**Author:** ![elucidator](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/8edcca/32.png) [@elucidator](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/elucidator)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/173 "2022-12-07T02:11:33Z")
Looks like the vote-changing satellites aren’t doing the job. Trust a liberal to depend on Italian technology. ---
**Author:** ![Euphonious\_Polemic](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/euphonious_polemic/32/3002_2.png) [@Euphonious\_Polemic](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Euphonious_Polemic)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/174 "2022-12-07T02:12:09Z")
Good Lord. As others have said, this should not even be close. Faithless cheater, abortion facilitator, liar, dumb as a box of rocks, possible mental impairment… And half of Georgia seems proud of this. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:14am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/175 "2022-12-07T02:14:43Z")
The big counties around Atlanta are reporting between about 45-65% counted, and they are breaking heavily for Warnock. He’ll get hundreds of thousands more votes as they report in. Meanwhile, most of the smaller Walker-leaning counties are at 80-99% reporting. Warnock is going to come out well ahead, unless something very weird happens in Atlanta. ---
**Author:** ![Dinsdale](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/97f17d/32.png) [@Dinsdale](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dinsdale)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:24am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/176 "2022-12-07T02:24:58Z")
All right. I’ll trust you on that. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/177 "2022-12-07T02:27:55Z")
It’s starting to creep back up: 77% of votes counted Raphael Warnock (i) D 1,412,027 votes 50.4% Herschel Walker R 1,389,973 votes 49.6% Still way closer than any sane country should be, but then, the US hasn’t been sane in well over a decade. If then. ---
**Author:** ![Nars\_Glinley](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/nars_glinley/32/8177_2.png) [@Nars\_Glinley](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nars_Glinley)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/178 "2022-12-07T02:29:05Z")
> [@Horatius](#): > > > [@Nars\_Glinley](#): > > > > So if Walker loses, will Trump’s “Truth” strategy be “RIGGED ELECTION!” or “I barely knew the guy.” > > “Of course they rigged it, they rig everything, but if I _had_ known him, they would have rigged it so he lost by even more votes, because they hate Trump so much!” 9/10. You forgot to put quotation marks around Trump. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:32am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/179 "2022-12-07T02:32:57Z")
> [@Nars\_Glinley](#): > > 9/10. You forgot to put quotation marks around Trump. …and he’d quote something from the Constitution of Georgia. The one in Europe. Even if it doesn’t have a constitution. ---
**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\ **Post date:** [December 7, 2022, 2:35am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691/180 "2022-12-07T02:35:26Z")
> [@Horatius](#): > > Georgia Ah, [here we go](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Constitution_of_Georgia_(country)#2017%E2%80%932018_Amendments): > According to the new legislation, direct presidential elections are to be abolished and the country will transfer to fully proportional parliamentary representation in 2024. Trump could go crazy with that! [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691.md?page=8) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-is-favored-in-the-walker-warnock-runoff-for-the-georgia-senate-seat-updated-warnock-wins/974691.md?page=10)