# Who wants to guess the box office take for HP7.2 this weekend?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089>\
**Category:** Cafe Society\
**Created:** [July 15, 2011, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089 "2011-07-15T02:07:50Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 2:07am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/1 "2011-07-15T02:07:50Z")

</div>

This is going to be a stellar weekend for WB, possibly the best on record for years to come, if not decades. [$158 million](http://www.latimes.com/business/la-fi-ct-harry-potter-20110715,0,722069.story) is the number to beat by the Dark Knight.

I think it will surge right past this.

All anyone and everyone ( who is cool and withit) is talking about is HP7.2 .

Place your bets right here.

Win Nothing but the satisfaction you were RIGHT!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 6:01am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/2 "2011-07-15T06:01:26Z")

</div>

I guess everyone is at the movie still.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![jackdavinci](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/jackdavinci/32/3259_2.png) [@jackdavinci](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/jackdavinci)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 7:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/3 "2011-07-15T07:05:37Z")

</div>

I was supposed to go tonight but it was sold out.

For reference, earlier openings were 125, 78, 77, 94, 103, 88, and 90. So I seriously doubt it will break 130, especially since it’s not an extended weekend - the previous one was quite a large spike and probably represents nearly all we can expect in terms of extra turn out.

As far as overall take, previously we had 295, 302, 292, 250, 290, 262, 318. Unlike opening weekends, total take doesn’t seem to have the same sharp upswing. So people might be rushing out the first week, but overall not many more people are going than previously.

I think Batman is safe.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Kent\_Clark](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kent_clark/32/105_2.png) [@Kent\_Clark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kent_Clark)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 5:16pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/4 "2011-07-15T17:16:20Z")

</div>

This morning the local news reported that there were 28,000 seats available at the various theaters in the area who had midnight showings, and that they had all sold out.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TheBoltEater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/779978/32.png) [@TheBoltEater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheBoltEater)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 6:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/5 "2011-07-15T18:02:16Z")

</div>

> [@jackdavinci](#):
>
> I think Batman is safe.

I’m not so sure about that. HP7B is on a boatload of screens and - importantly - is in 3D, so ticket prices will be higher than they were for The Dark Knight. If I have to guess though… I think it’ll be close, but not pass TDK.

I’ll go with a nice round $150 million.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 6:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/6 "2011-07-15T18:35:27Z")

</div>

> [@TheBoltEater](#):
>
> I’ll go with a nice round $150 million.

Boxofficemojo says anything under $147 million would be a disappointment(though it notes that this is really the 2nd half of a movie and it can not lose money).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![YogSothoth](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/y/8edcca/32.png) [@YogSothoth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/YogSothoth)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 6:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/7 "2011-07-15T18:45:37Z")

</div>

I’m going to guess $110m because the really crazy fans will have seen it on Thursday

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TheBoltEater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/779978/32.png) [@TheBoltEater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheBoltEater)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/8 "2011-07-15T18:46:04Z")

</div>

Variety is reporting that HP7B just destroyed the old record for midnight sales with “a ginormous $43.5 million from more than 3,800 U.S. locations.” “Twilight - Eclipse” had the old record at $30 million.  
ETA: Of course, for the record, we’re talking about North American Domestic box office for all these numbers. HP7B has already done a further $82.5 million in just 2 days in “foreign markets”.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Quimby](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/22d042/32.png) [@Quimby](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Quimby)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2011, 8:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/9 "2011-07-15T20:52:21Z")

</div>

Is Kajillion Bazillion a real number? Because it will be that.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TheBoltEater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/779978/32.png) [@TheBoltEater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheBoltEater)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2011, 12:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/10 "2011-07-16T00:12:04Z")

</div>

Wow, can I change my guess? The latest from Variety…

> [@](#):
>
> As of 1 p.m. Pacific time Friday, “Harry Potter and the Deathly Hallows: Part 2” had already collected $24 million in dayside domestic reciepts (including pre-sales), running briskly ahead of three-day box office champ “The Dark Knight,” which had collected $12.4 million at that same point in 2008.
> 
> If “Part 2” keeps that pace through Friday evening – nearly doubling “The Dark Knight” – its first-day grosses (which include $43.5 in midnight sales) could far exceed $80 million, which would be a staggering opening-day record all unto itself.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eyebrows_0f_doom/32/3119_2.png) [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eyebrows_0f_Doom)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2011, 5:34am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/11 "2011-07-16T05:34:30Z")

</div>

I just wanted to say that HP7.2 is playing on \*15 \*screens at \*one \*local theater (the AMC on 42nd St) including showings at 3:00am(!!) tonight, late Friday night/Sat morning! I’ve never seen that before!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2011, 9:37am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/12 "2011-07-16T09:37:12Z")

</div>

I went to the 7p Friday night show here after work and was expecting it to be packed.

It wasn’t.  
But when we came out, the Imax and 3D movie lines were pretty strong.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eyebrows_0f_doom/32/3119_2.png) [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Eyebrows_0f_Doom)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2011, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/13 "2011-07-16T16:28:00Z")

</div>

Friday’s numbers: [$92.1 million](http://www.thewrap.com/movies/article/final-harry-potter-shatters-midnight-box-office-record-435m-haul-29128). :eek:

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [July 16, 2011, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/14 "2011-07-16T17:08:03Z")

</div>

> [@Eyebrows\_0f\_Doom](#):
>
> Friday’s numbers: [$92.1 million](http://www.thewrap.com/movies/article/final-harry-potter-shatters-midnight-box-office-record-435m-haul-29128). :eek:

Beating the previous one day record by nearly $20 million. Amazing total.

It helps that it really is a great movie.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![DMark](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/e68b1a/32.png) [@DMark](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DMark)\
**Post date:** [July 17, 2011, 6:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/15 "2011-07-17T18:13:00Z")

</div>

Harry Potter breaks all box office records: $476 million world wide this weekend, and $168 million in the US.  
[Story here](http://www.hollywoodreporter.com/news/box-office-report-harry-potter-212332).

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![TheBoltEater](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/779978/32.png) [@TheBoltEater](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TheBoltEater)\
**Post date:** [July 17, 2011, 6:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/16 "2011-07-17T18:14:17Z")

</div>

Still early, and these are only projections, but Box Office Mojo is saying that it’s going to be **$168,550,000!** Way to go Harry - it couldn’t have happened to a nicer wizard.  
edit - wow, what timing.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Shirley\_Ujest](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/45deac/32.png) [@Shirley\_Ujest](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Shirley_Ujest)\
**Post date:** [July 17, 2011, 7:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/17 "2011-07-17T19:07:19Z")

</div>

[It keeps on surging.](http://www.usatoday.com/life/movies/news/2011-07-18-box-office-july-18_n.htm)

Accio Money!

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [July 17, 2011, 7:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/18 "2011-07-17T19:30:51Z")

</div>

These are amazing numbers ; 476 million world wide is insane and I wonder what the second-largest WW opening is. Harry Potter is a global cultural phenomenon unlike anything ever seen before, at least for films and books; LOTR for example didn’t have quite the same appeal in Asia.

I don’t think this will seriously challenge Avatar at the top either in the US or WW but it should challenge Titanic for the no.2 spot. I haven’t visited the BOM forums for a while but I imagine they are going crazy over there.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Lantern](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/d26b3c/32.png) [@Lantern](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Lantern)\
**Post date:** [July 17, 2011, 7:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/19 "2011-07-17T19:34:46Z")

</div>

> [@Lantern](#):
>
> These are amazing numbers ; 476 million world wide is insane and I wonder what the second-largest WW opening is.

BOM [answers](http://www.boxofficemojo.com/alltime/world/worldwideopenings.htm)my question, the next highest is 394m for the Half-Blood Prince. Look how big the gap between 1 and 2 is compared to the others.

---

<div class="post-metadata">

**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\
**Post date:** [July 19, 2011, 3:41am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089/20 "2011-07-19T03:41:10Z")

</div>

> [@jackdavinci](#):
>
> I was supposed to go tonight but it was sold out.
> 
> For reference, earlier openings were 125, 78, 77, 94, 103, 88, and 90. So I seriously doubt it will break 130, especially since it’s not an extended weekend - the previous one was quite a large spike and probably represents nearly all we can expect in terms of extra turn out.
> 
> As far as overall take, previously we had 295, 302, 292, 250, 290, 262, 318. Unlike opening weekends, total take doesn’t seem to have the same sharp upswing. So people might be rushing out the first week, but overall not many more people are going than previously.
> 
> I think Batman is safe.

I see your point, but man, were we wrong!

😃

[Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-wants-to-guess-the-box-office-take-for-hp7-2-this-weekend/589089.md?page=2)
