# Who will be POTUS after the November 2028 elections?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [March 3, 2026, 7:45pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165 "2026-03-03T19:45:21Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 3

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**Author:** ![Tamerlane](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tamerlane/32/7602_2.png) [@Tamerlane](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Tamerlane)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 8:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/41 "2026-03-04T08:30:41Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> He’s always struck me as being the real life equivalent of the bad guy real estate developer in a '90s kids movie, the one who wants to tear down the beloved school/sports field/community center in order to build luxury condos.

Nah, he’s [Tommy Carcetti](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Tommy_Carcetti). Vaguely oily and ambitious, but from the center-left. He’s the one who would jump on the bandwagon of opposing the evil real estate developer on TV to earn political capital on the one hand, but on the other might be quietly willing to exploit a legal loophole in a much more subtle and less-damaging way so he could expand the family winery operation across a county border or somesuch. I suspect he honestly believes in many of his issues, but he usually has his ear to the ground.

Again, Newsom is not Republican-lite. He’s essentially a bog standard California middle-of-the-road liberal, albeit oily and ambitious. He’s just not an unalloyed progressive.

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**Author:** ![Der\_Trihs](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/der_trihs/32/233_2.png) [@Der\_Trihs](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Der_Trihs)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 9:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/42 "2026-03-04T09:50:19Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> I don’t think Vance has much chance of getting the nomination, let alone winning, unless absolutely nobody else runs. He has zero charisma and no clearly-defined beliefs of his own.

Which is why he’d be the most likely winner after Trump (who automatically wins if alive, even if _non compos mentis_), as he’d be Trump’s VP and too much of a nonentity to threaten Trump’s ego. If Trump dies, he likely coasts to victory on the momentum of Trump’s personality cult. His lack of convictions would make him a great mouthpiece for the hard right, and more reliable than the erratic Trump.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 9:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/43 "2026-03-04T09:55:04Z")

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> [@Der\_Trihs](#):
>
> If Trump dies, he likely coasts to victory on the momentum of Trump’s personality cult.

Trump’s cult of personality is going to die with him. The only way Vance successfully succeeds him is if he’s the one to give the Secret Speech afterwards.

> **[On the Cult of Personality and Its Consequences](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/On_the_Cult_of_Personality_and_Its_Consequences)**
>
> "On the Cult of Personality and Its Consequences" (Russian: «О культе личности и его последствиях», romanized: "O kul'te lichnosti i yego posledstviyakh") was a report by Soviet leader Nikita Khrushchev, First Secretary of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, made to the 20th Congress of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union on 25 February 1956. Though popularly known as the Secret Speech (Russian: секретный доклад Хрущёва, romanized: sekretnyi doklad Khrushchyova), "secret" is something

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**Author:** ![Chad\_Sudan](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chad_sudan/32/4509_2.png) [@Chad\_Sudan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chad_Sudan)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 10:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/44 "2026-03-04T10:27:06Z")

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> [@Smapti](#):
>
> He’s always seemed slimy and opportunistic to me, going back to 2003 when he was mayor of San Francisco and started issuing marriage licenses to gay couple, knowing they wouldn’t be recognized as valid under state law.

That strikes you as “slimy and opportunistic”?? It struck me as courageous and principled.

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**Author:** ![Smapti](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/smapti/32/17938_2.png) [@Smapti](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Smapti)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 10:29am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/45 "2026-03-04T10:29:47Z")

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> [@Chad\_Sudan](#):
>
> It struck me as courageous and principled.

It was a publicity stunt. He’s more than demonstrated since then that he’s willing to throw any demographic under the bus if he thinks it’ll benefit him personally.

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**Author:** ![glee](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/b5a626/32.png) [@glee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/glee)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 11:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/46 "2026-03-04T11:45:45Z")

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Vladimir Putin. 😨

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 4:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/47 "2026-03-04T16:13:30Z")

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Could we please discuss the person you think will win, and not argue against someone else’s choice? Also, the person who will supposedly control the President is not part of this, so Putin is out. This is only about who you think will be President, like it or not, when the 2028 election is over.

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**Author:** ![Happy\_Lendervedder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/happy_lendervedder/32/8488_2.png) [@Happy\_Lendervedder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Happy_Lendervedder)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 4:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/48 "2026-03-04T16:28:32Z")

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JB Pritzker

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**Author:** ![Thing.Fish](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thing.fish/32/9168_2.png) [@Thing.Fish](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Thing.Fish)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 4:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/49 "2026-03-04T16:47:17Z")

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Agree with others, if “Democrat TBA” is not an acceptable choice, then JD Vance has the best chance of any one individual.

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**Author:** ![Aspenglow](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/aspenglow/32/76_2.png) [@Aspenglow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Aspenglow)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 5:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/50 "2026-03-04T17:08:48Z")

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Moderating:

> [@Smapti](#):
>
> It was a publicity stunt. He’s more than demonstrated since then that he’s willing to throw any demographic under the bus if he thinks it’ll benefit him personally.

Please respect the OP’s wishes and stay on topic. You’re in these hijacks often, @Smapti, and we notice. Pay attention to the actual topic. This goes for everyone, not just @Smapti.

> [@Czarcasm](#):
>
> Could we please discuss the person you think will win, and not argue against someone else’s choice? Also, the person who will supposedly control the President is not part of this, so Putin is out. This is only about who you think will be President, like it or not, when the 2028 election is over.

Please don’t junior mod, even if we’re not available to respond to your flag right away.

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**Author:** ![Czarcasm](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/czarcasm/32/4050_2.png) [@Czarcasm](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Czarcasm)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 5:10pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/51 "2026-03-04T17:10:31Z")

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Got it. Sorry.

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**Author:** ![BlankSlate](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/blankslate/32/80_2.png) [@BlankSlate](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BlankSlate)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 5:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/52 "2026-03-04T17:21:24Z")

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Chris Murphy

VP Whitmer

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 6:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/53 "2026-03-04T18:06:20Z")

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I give less than a one percent chance of Murphy/Whitmer being the exact ticket.

But it’s a smart guess.

With low certainty, I think the Democrats will win the presidency in 2028. And if they do, it is going to have been a time for a change year. So if the Democrats are actually going to win, there’s a more than normal chance of them nominating a dark horse like Murphy.

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**Author:** ![Guest-starring\_Id](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guest-starring_id/32/21736_2.png) [@Guest-starring\_Id](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guest-starring_Id)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 7:42pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/54 "2026-03-04T19:42:10Z")

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Hopefully either Navarro or Miller.  
Just kidding.  
Pritzker.

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**Author:** ![Dr.Drake](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/ad7895/32.png) [@Dr.Drake](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dr.Drake)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 8:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/55 "2026-03-04T20:32:26Z")

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I think it will be Newsom.

I do not want it to be Newsom, but I think he’s the best at telling the public what it wants to hear from the D side.

I think the election will be Newsom vs Rubio. I think it will be close. I will be voting for Pritzker in the primary and holding my nose to vote for Newsom—all of this subject to change depending on what happens in the next 2½ years.

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**Author:** ![Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/kolak_of_twilo/32/73_2.png) [@Kolak\_of\_Twilo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Kolak_of_Twilo)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 8:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/56 "2026-03-04T20:34:01Z")

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Too early but at this point I would guess Newsom with Beshear as VP.

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**Author:** ![Apodder](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/apodder/32/17727_2.png) [@Apodder](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Apodder)\
**Post date:** [March 4, 2026, 11:36pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/57 "2026-03-04T23:36:13Z")

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Nope, I think you’re absolutely, heartbreakingly, right. Everyone saying he’s dying, he has dementia, what’s wrong with his hands/neck/ankles, etc. are deluding themselves that he’s on his way out the door, health-wise. He has the best healthcare of anyone and they’ll keep him going at all costs. And he’ll keep a death grip (heh) on the office at all costs.

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**Author:** ![Krispy\_Original](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/ec9cab/32.png) [@Krispy\_Original](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Krispy_Original)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2026, 12:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/58 "2026-03-05T00:00:37Z")

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Captain/Astronaut/Senator/President Mark Kelly

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**Author:** ![Sigene](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/df788c/32.png) [@Sigene](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sigene)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2026, 12:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/59 "2026-03-05T00:08:05Z")

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Marco Rubio

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**Author:** ![Moriarty](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/moriarty/32/49_2.png) [@Moriarty](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Moriarty)\
**Post date:** [March 5, 2026, 1:12am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-potus-after-the-november-2028-elections/1028165/60 "2026-03-05T01:12:19Z")

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> [@Fretful\_Porpentine](#):
>
> (If a thread like this had existed on March 3,1974, I don’t think anybody would have predicted Jimmy Carter – although it would have been trivially easy to see that Nixon was in trouble.)

You forgot Jerry Ford. (If he were alive, he’d be crushed)

Me pick is Gavin Newsom (helped by Matthew McConaughey’s portrayal on SNL - and I’m not joking)

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