# Who will be the first Trump cabinet member to leave after he's inaugurated

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Tags:** trump\
**Created:** [December 3, 2024, 4:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122 "2024-12-03T16:15:22Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 2

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**Author:** ![Buck\_Godot](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/buck_godot/32/6573_2.png) [@Buck\_Godot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Buck_Godot)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2024, 5:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/21 "2024-12-04T17:07:12Z")

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I don’t think Kennedy will make it through the approval process. Kennedy name is on the list purely as payback for getting out of the race endorsing Trump. Unlike the other nominees Trump put forth, Kennedy’s is all his own. Neither Trump nor the Republican establishment care one way or another about vaccines or floridation. So I doubt they will waste any political capital in pushing for his confirmation.

Trump can just can say to him “well I kept my end of the deal and nominated you, if the senate didn’t confirm you its not my fault.”

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**Author:** ![Superdude](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/superdude/32/13450_2.png) [@Superdude](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Superdude)\
**Post date:** [December 4, 2024, 6:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/22 "2024-12-04T18:37:52Z")

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There’s a chance that [Pete Hegseth](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/trumps-pick-defense-secretary-pete-hegseth-peril-senate-republicans-rcna182738) doesn’t make it through the confirmation hearings.

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**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\
**Post date:** [December 7, 2024, 11:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/23 "2024-12-07T23:25:43Z")

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> [@PhillyGuy](#):
>
> AG is the one Trump will be most certain to have on speed dial. No matter what Pam Bondi does, it may not be enough. So that’s my guess.

Also she’s visually wrong. Not the ‘central casting’ look Trump likes–a manly man with steel jaw standing firm behind the DOJ podium, making all the girls swoon, while announcing investigations of all those miscreants who ever failed to praise and adore Trump.

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [December 7, 2024, 11:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/24 "2024-12-07T23:52:51Z")

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> [@Superdude](#):
>
> There’s a chance that [Pete Hegseth](https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/congress/trumps-pick-defense-secretary-pete-hegseth-peril-senate-republicans-rcna182738) doesn’t make it through the confirmation hearings.

It seems likely to me that he will not get confirmed. If he is confirmed, he’ll have made some promises that he can hardly be expected to follow through on, this being the big one so far:

[Hegseth promises to stop drinking if confirmed  
 ](https://abcnews.go.com/Politics/pete-hegseth-back-scrutiny-grows-misconduct-allegations/story?id=116444894)  
This is a good reason to predict Hegseth will be first to go. He might have to quit to go to rehab. And I do not see him lasting four years. But I am sticking with my Bondi first prediction.

Re Hegseth, I notice that he only pledges to stop drinking if confirmed, not if he gets the job another way. Maybe he thinks that his chances for a recess or acting appointment are greater, so the cold turkey pledge will never be tested.

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**Author:** ![enipla](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/54ee81/32.png) [@enipla](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/enipla)\
**Post date:** [December 8, 2024, 1:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/25 "2024-12-08T13:25:17Z")

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> [@Sherrerd](#):
>
> Also she’s visually wrong.

But she’s pretty. And a Trump boot licker.

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**Author:** ![Chefguy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chefguy/32/138_2.png) [@Chefguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chefguy)\
**Post date:** [December 8, 2024, 1:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/26 "2024-12-08T13:29:58Z")

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I think Musk will get bored very quickly and move on to his next enthusiasm.

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**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [December 8, 2024, 2:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/27 "2024-12-08T14:17:58Z")

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He’s going to have a hard time finding a project to beat bringing the United States government to its knees and destroying millions of lives… 🤔 World War III maybe?

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**Author:** ![Sherrerd](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/sherrerd/32/8_2.png) [@Sherrerd](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Sherrerd)\
**Post date:** [December 8, 2024, 9:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/28 "2024-12-08T21:21:09Z")

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> [@enipla](#):
>
> But she’s pretty. And a Trump boot licker.

Yes, those are good traits from Donald’s point of view. But as @PhillyGuy suggested, she may not announce investigations of Enemies as quickly as Donald requires. And if thereby–and by virtue of being an inferior gender–she doesn’t project “strength” in his eyes, she may fail to retain his favor.

I mean, she’s _59_. That’s pretty thin ice, Trump-approval-wise.

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**Author:** ![Hari\_Seldon](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hari_seldon/32/5173_2.png) [@Hari\_Seldon](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hari_Seldon)\
**Post date:** [December 11, 2024, 9:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/29 "2024-12-11T21:08:40Z")

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> [@Horatius](#):
>
> I think “Gaetz” is better used as a threshold level of awfulness, the threshold beyond which even Republicans won’t support the person. So far, everyone else is still below One Gaetz. We could calibrate fractional Gaetz values based on how many confirmation votes they get.

I think the milli-Gaetz is needed as no one is likely to exceed one full Gaetz.

This is like the milli-Helen, the unit of female beauty required to launch one ship.

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**Author:** ![Gatopescado](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/gatopescado/32/5711_2.png) [@Gatopescado](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gatopescado)\
**Post date:** [December 14, 2024, 9:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/30 "2024-12-14T21:06:55Z")

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I agree with him losing interest immediately. But he won’t leave. He’ll just 1/2 Ass it and move on to fuck up something new.

Cheato won’t have the balls to fire him.

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**Author:** ![joebuck20](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/74df32/32.png) [@joebuck20](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/joebuck20)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 6:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/31 "2025-04-21T18:30:13Z")

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Might be Hegseth. Surprised he’s lasted this many Scaramuccis.

[White House looking to replace Pete Hegseth as defense secretary : NPR](https://www.npr.org/2025/04/21/nx-s1-5371312/trump-white-house-pete-hegseth-defense-department)

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**Author:** ![ThelmaLou](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/thelmalou/32/390_2.png) [@ThelmaLou](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ThelmaLou)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 8:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/32 "2025-04-21T20:06:27Z")

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> [@Chefguy](#):
>
> I think Musk will get bored very quickly and move on to his next enthusiasm.

From the Washington Post today (April 21):

> As the billionaire [Musk] prepares to exit government later this year and his influence appears to be waning, the conflicting messages and confusion have had a predictable result.

Is this true? Is he going to walk away from the smoking wreckage he has brought about?

* * *

* * *

From this article (which is interesting in its own right) about how govt agencies have been ignoring Musk’s stupid “5 things” email, with apparently no consequences.

> **The ‘5 things’ emails are going by the wayside as Musk readies his exit**  
> [https://wapo.st/42H9aab](https://wapo.st/42H9aab)

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**Author:** ![gnoitall](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/bb73d2/32.png) [@gnoitall](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/gnoitall)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 9:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/33 "2025-04-21T21:31:01Z")

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If you’re so bad at your basic job that you embarrass **this** administration, you have attained new depths of incompetence.

I’m glad thus walking OPSEC violation is being jettisoned.

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**Author:** ![Chefguy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chefguy/32/138_2.png) [@Chefguy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chefguy)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 9:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/34 "2025-04-21T21:46:47Z")

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I also think that nasty little number who is the press secretary won’t last out six months of the pressure of having to answer for the sins of her boss. She’s too confrontational and just plain nasty, and at some point someone is going to tell her so.

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**Author:** ![DavidNRockies](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/davidnrockies/32/6279_2.png) [@DavidNRockies](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/DavidNRockies)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 9:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/35 "2025-04-21T21:54:03Z")

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Odds are her cross (necklace) will burst into flames as kind of a heads-up to the press corps.

I keep waiting…

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**Author:** ![Son\_of\_a\_Rich](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/son_of_a_rich/32/5439_2.png) [@Son\_of\_a\_Rich](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Son_of_a_Rich)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 10:33pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/36 "2025-04-21T22:33:04Z")

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Definitely Kegbreath. His fail sideburns enrage me as much as his politics.

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**Author:** ![PhillyGuy](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ed655f/32.png) [@PhillyGuy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/PhillyGuy)\
**Post date:** [April 21, 2025, 11:59pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/37 "2025-04-21T23:59:00Z")

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> [@joebuck20](#):
>
> Might be Hegseth. Surprised he’s lasted this many Scaramuccis.
> 
> [White House looking to replace Pete Hegseth as defense secretary : NPR](https://www.npr.org/2025/04/21/nx-s1-5371312/trump-white-house-pete-hegseth-defense-department)

This probably is true, but – NPR says it only has one anonymous source. Don’t journalists usually want two before writing the story? And why did the source call NPR instead of a media outlet that more commonly receives leaks (NY Times, WaPo, AP, CNN)?

I do not like being paranoid, but is there a possibility the leaker called NPR, with false news, to discredit it?

I don’t know anything about NewsNation (and would like to learn). For what it is worth, their sources say:

[Pete Hegseth’s job safe for now](https://www.newsnationnow.com/us-news/military/pete-hegseth-job-safe-sources/)

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**Author:** ![EddyTeddyFreddy](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/eddyteddyfreddy/32/18796_2.png) [@EddyTeddyFreddy](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EddyTeddyFreddy)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2025, 1:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/38 "2025-04-22T01:04:28Z")

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News Nation isn’t Fox but it does lean enough rightward to be noticeable. And note the weasel words: “for now.” I’ve been reading reports that there are more revelations coming about Hegseth that will be worse than Signalgate.

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**Author:** ![Q.Q.Switcheroo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/q.q.switcheroo/32/5713_2.png) [@Q.Q.Switcheroo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Q.Q.Switcheroo)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2025, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/39 "2025-04-22T01:58:57Z")

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> [@EddyTeddyFreddy](#):
>
> I’ve been reading reports that there are more revelations coming about Hegseth that will be worse than Signalgate.

He’s not _Welsh_, is he?!

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**Author:** ![Horatius](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/horatius/32/3572_2.png) [@Horatius](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Horatius)\
**Post date:** [April 22, 2025, 11:38am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-be-the-first-trump-cabinet-member-to-leave-after-hes-inaugurated/1011122/40 "2025-04-22T11:38:14Z")

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> [@EddyTeddyFreddy](#):
>
> I’ve been reading reports that there are more revelations coming about Hegseth that will be worse than Signalgate.

There pretty much has to be. Signalgate is mostly about incompetence and corruption, but look at how this guy talks and acts, even when he knows he’s in the spotlight of the world press. No way someone this _publicly_ hostile, aggressive, deranged and insulting isn’t doing even worse things in private.

He might have looked good to Trump when he was on TV ranting about stuff, but imagine meeting him in person, and finding out he’s ever worse in real life.

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