# Who will win Survivor this season? **URL:** \ **Category:** Cafe Society\ **Created:** [May 16, 2014, 10:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577 "2014-05-16T10:47:10Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 9\ **Page:** 1
**Author:** ![Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mean_mr.mustard/32/3865_2.png) [@Mean\_Mr.Mustard](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mean_Mr.Mustard)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 10:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/1 "2014-05-16T10:47:10Z")
We’re down to four competitors, seems like a good time to make our picks. Who will win? mmm ---
**Author:** ![Munch](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/munch/32/5281_2.png) [@Munch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Munch)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 11:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/2 "2014-05-16T11:45:49Z")
I went with Tony. I’ve been thinking about why he’d want to vote for Trish last episode, when she was seemingly his only ally. That may be the case, but Spencer is a huge immunity challenge threat, and Trish doesn’t move the needle against him. Kass and Woo offer the best chance to get rid of him. Should Spencer not win the immunity, he’s gone. And if he does, I think he wins. But his chances are decidedly less than Tony’s. ---
**Author:** ![sohvan](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/96bed5/32.png) [@sohvan](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/sohvan)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 12:03pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/3 "2014-05-16T12:03:50Z")
The Jury seems fairly bitter. I’d say Spencer has the best chance at winning if he’s in the final followed by Woo. That also makes Spencer very likely to be voted out unless he wins the next 1-2 immunities. Woo is not a very smart player, but he’s well liked so he might win against Tony. Tony will win if it’s a final two between him and Kass. I predict Spencer will not win immunity at 4, and gets voted out. Woo gets voted out at 3, and Tony wins the whole thing. ---
**Author:** ![stpauler](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/9d8465/32.png) [@stpauler](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/stpauler)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 12:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/4 "2014-05-16T12:21:59Z")
Kass has screwed over everyone in this game and that’s why I’m hedging my bets on her. She’s played this season so fast and loose and selfish that I really believe she has stuck to that mantra of outwitting everyone somehow. ---
**Author:** ![Mahaloth](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/mahaloth/32/1079_2.png) [@Mahaloth](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mahaloth)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 1:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/5 "2014-05-16T13:00:03Z")
Woo ---
**Author:** ![Jas09](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/j/d07c76/32.png) [@Jas09](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Jas09)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 2:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/6 "2014-05-16T14:32:01Z")
I really think it’s 50/50 or so. If Spencer wins the final immunity (I’m assuming a final 3) then he wins. If someone else wins it, Tony wins. The only wrench is just how much people like Woo vs. think he’s a dumb coattail rider. Obviously the edit has played up the “dumb” aspect: “Hey Woo, have any thoughts?” “Yeah, I definitely do… what do you guys think?”. But the “nice guy that didn’t piss anybody off” aspect has worked before. ---
**Author:** ![madmonk28](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/madmonk28/32/20811_2.png) [@madmonk28](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/madmonk28)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 2:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/7 "2014-05-16T14:37:27Z")
I went with Spencer, but Tony might just dig deep and win immunity, in which case he wil llikely win. Say what you want about Tony, but he is playing to win. ---
**Author:** ![interface2x](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/c0e974/32.png) [@interface2x](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/interface2x)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 5:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/8 "2014-05-16T17:35:34Z")
I think Tony will win, but I want Spencer to win. ---
**Author:** ![magnusblitz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b4bc9f/32.png) [@magnusblitz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/magnusblitz)\ **Post date:** [May 16, 2014, 6:05pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/who-will-win-survivor-this-season/688577/9 "2014-05-16T18:05:07Z")
If Spencer makes to the end, he wins, no questions asked. I still think Kass can out-argue Tony, though the general consensus seems to be that Kass has no chance and Tony will beat everyone but Spencer. I think Woo has no chance. He just doesn’t seem to have a thought in his head, and I can’t see him giving any good answers at the jury TC. Though, as **Jas09** has said, this might just be the producers playing it up (but they usually play it up because it gets reflected in the jury vote/questions…) Even if Tony and Kass are unlikeable, I don’t think they let Woo (a coat-tail rider) win over either of them. Also, it’d be pretty funny if Kass won, guaranteeing the Probst question to Spencer about his “zero chance of winning the game” comment after he flip at the merge.