# Who's your Super Bowl Pick? **URL:** \ **Category:** The Game Room\ **Created:** [January 24, 2011, 6:11am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748 "2011-01-24T06:11:43Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 20\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![running\_coach](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/running_coach/32/15836_2.png) [@running\_coach](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/running_coach)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 7:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/21 "2011-01-24T19:30:49Z")
You forgot The Puppy Bowl option. ---
**Author:** ![Guinastasia](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/guinastasia/32/5751_2.png) [@Guinastasia](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Guinastasia)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 10:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/22 "2011-01-24T22:46:12Z")
I have to bet on my Steelers – I’d be a traitor otherwise. But I cannot say for certain – I don’t want to jinx it. (I’m really superstitious when it comes to sports) ---
**Author:** ![Gangster\_Octopus](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/g/a8b319/32.png) [@Gangster\_Octopus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Gangster_Octopus)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 10:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/23 "2011-01-24T22:57:11Z")
> [@Guinastasia](#): > > I have to bet on my Steelers – I’d be a traitor otherwise. But I cannot say for certain – I don’t want to jinx it. (I’m really superstitious when it comes to sports) Nothing you do will affect the outcome, sheesh! That’s because it will all come down to me wearing my lucky Packers Jersey. 😃 ---
**Author:** ![Hamlet](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/hamlet/32/2818_2.png) [@Hamlet](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hamlet)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 11:00pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/24 "2011-01-24T23:00:27Z")
> [@John\_DiFool](#): > > I thus parse the above as showing that the offenses are pretty even, but Pittsburgh’s D as significantly better. So GB being favored (as a wild card team to boot) is a bit puzzling. Maybe it’s a strength of schedule thing? The line is about getting the most bets, not who is going to win. I have a huge mancrush on Dom Capers and think he’s the greatest thing since sliced bread, the wheel, and fire combined. I like to think that he will have a gameplan to take advantage of the weaknesses in Steelers offense to shore up that iffy run defense. I’m worried that the Steelers will be able to control the game by running the ball, and counting on Dom to be able to contain the run, as well as stop jerkwad from extending plays. Packers will win. ---
**Author:** ![RickJay](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/bb73d2/32.png) [@RickJay](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RickJay)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 11:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/25 "2011-01-24T23:08:24Z")
Pittsburgh 20, Green Bay 14. ---
**Author:** ![Chronos](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/chronos/32/134_2.png) [@Chronos](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Chronos)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 11:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/26 "2011-01-24T23:29:44Z")
To be clear, this poll is about who we think probably _will_ win, not who we would _like_ to win, correct? I don’t know enough to have an informed opinion on that. For whom we’re rooting for, though, I like both teams, but I like Pittsburgh better (comes of having family in western PA), so that’s the way I’ll be rooting. ---
**Author:** ![Mince](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ecd19e/32.png) [@Mince](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mince)\ **Post date:** [January 24, 2011, 11:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/27 "2011-01-24T23:47:53Z")
> [@Hamlet](#): > > The line is about getting the most bets, not who is going to win. The line is about getting the most bets while getting people to bet equivalent value on both teams. The favorite is _usually_ the better team. Though -2.5 on a neutral field is not really favored. I did notice that it dropped to -2 on [_USA TODAY_’s](http://www.usatoday.com/sports/gaming/sheridan.htm) listings, indicating that more people are betting on Pittsburgh. I bet it will approach even or Pitt -1 before kickoff. ---
**Author:** ![The\_Peyote\_Coyote](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/t/5f8ce5/32.png) [@The\_Peyote\_Coyote](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/The_Peyote_Coyote)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 12:08am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/28 "2011-01-25T00:08:02Z")
Pittsburgh will win. I have spoken. ---
**Author:** ![UncleNito](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/7cd45c/32.png) [@UncleNito](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UncleNito)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 1:58am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/29 "2011-01-25T01:58:34Z")
> [@John\_DiFool](#): > > Amazingly, the Packers are 2 1/2 point favorites. Let me check the stats… > > Point differential virtually identical, as is the point/opp ratio. > Steelers rank 14th and 2nd in offensive and defensive yards, Packers 9th and 5th. > Steelers have a +23 turnover differential, Packers +12 > Yards/pass on offensive and defense about identical (6.9/5.3 Pitt., 7.1/5.4 GB), but yards/run is a huge advantage for the Steelers (4.1/3.0 vs. 3.8/4.7). I consider yards/pass to be more important however. > > I thus parse the above as showing that the offenses are pretty even, but Pittsburgh’s D as significantly better. So GB being favored (as a wild card team to boot) is a bit puzzling. Maybe it’s a strength of schedule thing? Full disclosure, I’m a Packer fan. If GB and Pitt’s season-long numbers really are that close, then I’m happier with the Packers’ chances than I was before. The Packers were downright mediocre the first half of the season, before they had filled in all the injury gaps. I know “momentum” is imaginary, and I know it’s a mistake to read too much into the most recent N games. And I know Big Ben was suspended early in the year for his youthful indiscretions, but Pitt was winning anyway and they aren’t really a QB-driven team. Long story short, I’d be interested to see the comparison since, say, Thanksgiving or so. I think the Packers will be able to grip it and rip it in Dallas. If they can score a few TDs quickly, which I’ve seen them do against good teams, the running game is less of a concern. My biggest concern is that McCarthy will try to go into ball-control mode and let them back into the game, like he did against Philly and Chicago. If they keep slinging it around like they did in Atlanta, attempting to run just enough to keep the D honest, that’s a scary-good offense against anyone. Pack by 7. ---
**Author:** ![magnusblitz](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b4bc9f/32.png) [@magnusblitz](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/magnusblitz)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 2:47am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/30 "2011-01-25T02:47:04Z")
Packers, just because they seem to be an indoor dome team (as seen in their thrashing of Atlanta). But both these teams are very similar - good QBs who can make things happen on the move, long-bomb threats at WR, stifling defense. Should be a very close game. ---
**Author:** ![Little\_Nemo](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/little_nemo/32/3120_2.png) [@Little\_Nemo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Little_Nemo)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 2:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/31 "2011-01-25T02:53:32Z")
Green Bay. Just a feeling. And Pittsburgh fans can take heart from the fact that my predictions for this year’s playoffs have been abyssmal. ---
**Author:** ![Uncle\_Brother\_Walker](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/f08c70/32.png) [@Uncle\_Brother\_Walker](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Uncle_Brother_Walker)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 3:03am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/32 "2011-01-25T03:03:20Z")
I \*want \*the Packers to win. I don’t have stats or facts to back up my opinion, but that’s where I stand. I despise the nastystinkycheatingdirtyrotten “Stillers”. Their fans can’t even pronounce the team name correctly, so they deserve the big let down. ---
**Author:** ![JohnT](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/johnt/32/15048_2.png) [@JohnT](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/JohnT)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 3:04am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/33 "2011-01-25T03:04:00Z")
Pittsburgh ---
**Author:** ![Mince](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ecd19e/32.png) [@Mince](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Mince)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 3:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/34 "2011-01-25T03:10:50Z")
> [@Uncle\_Brother\_Walker](#): > > I want the Packers to win. > > I don’t have stats or facts to back up my opinion,… I do. I asked my Magic 8-ball twice if the Steelers would win. The first time it came back with “Ask again later.” I waited 20 minutes (I didn’t want to piss the thing off) and got “Signs point to yes.” So there you go. Facts and stats to support my position that the Steelers will win. ---
**Author:** ![EllisDee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ellisdee/32/4531_2.png) [@EllisDee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EllisDee)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/35 "2011-01-25T13:48:17Z")
Packers. The way I see it, the only question is whether the Steelers keep it close or get blown out. ---
**Author:** ![crypto](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/c/b3f665/32.png) [@crypto](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/crypto)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 5:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/36 "2011-01-25T17:25:40Z")
> [@Mince](#): > > I do. I asked my Magic 8-ball twice if the Steelers would win. The first time it came back with “Ask again later.” I waited 20 minutes (I didn’t want to piss the thing off) and got “Signs point to yes.” > > So there you go. Facts and stats to support my position that the Steelers will win. This is about as definitive as it can get. The Magic 8 Ball is never wrong. [QUOTE=Ellis Dee] The way I see it, the only question is whether the Steelers keep it close or get blown out. [/QUOTE] Just out of curiosity, why do you think the Steelers will get blown out? The Bears held that powerful offense to 2 touchdowns. (the defense scored on that short interception in the 4th quarter. ) The Bears 3rd string QB put 14 points on the board against their defense. I just don’t see a Packer blowout. ---
**Author:** ![EllisDee](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ellisdee/32/4531_2.png) [@EllisDee](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/EllisDee)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 6:25pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/37 "2011-01-25T18:25:04Z")
Largely because of the field conditions and weather. ---
**Author:** ![IvoryTowerDenizen](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ivorytowerdenizen/32/17937_2.png) [@IvoryTowerDenizen](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/IvoryTowerDenizen)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 6:31pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/38 "2011-01-25T18:31:29Z")
I voted for Pittsburgh, which should be quite a relief to all you Packers fans. If I root for a team that’s it for them. ---
**Author:** ![lieu](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/c2a13f/32.png) [@lieu](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lieu)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 6:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/39 "2011-01-25T18:39:47Z")
> [@Mtgman](#): > > Jerry Jones spent hundreds of millions of dollars secretly building in all sorts of subtle defenses into the new stadium. What’s funny is that one poster here will actually consider this in his excuse if his team loses… again. I’ll be happy with just a well fought game but a Pack victory might also elicit something approximating a smile from me. Go good guys. ---
**Author:** ![E.Thorp](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/e/898d66/32.png) [@E.Thorp](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/E.Thorp)\ **Post date:** [January 25, 2011, 9:28pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748/40 "2011-01-25T21:28:40Z")
Although I hate the Steelers more than I’ve ever hated anything, I never bet against them. **E.** , Packers fan _pro tempore_ [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748.md?page=1) [Next page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/whos-your-super-bowl-pick/568748.md?page=3)