# Why can't the patriot shoot down Hamas missles?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [January 4, 2009, 9:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851 "2009-01-04T21:52:11Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![scout159](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/53a042/32.png) [@scout159](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scout159)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 9:52pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/1 "2009-01-04T21:52:11Z")

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I know Israel has bought patriot missile defense system from U.S. Is the Hamas missiles too small for it to destroy? What would be the minimum requirements for this system to be effective?

Swiss manufacture it, French hoard it,Italians squander it,  
Americans say it’s money, Hindus say it does not exist  
You know what I say-I say time is a crook–  
peter lorre 1954

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**Author:** ![friedo](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/f/8edcca/32.png) [@friedo](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/friedo)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 9:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/2 "2009-01-04T21:56:15Z")

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Hamas doesn’t have any missiles that I’m aware of. Their largest ordinance appears to be old Soviet artillery shells and shoulder-fired rockets.

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**Author:** ![scout159](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/53a042/32.png) [@scout159](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/scout159)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 10:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/3 "2009-01-04T22:11:08Z")

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Palestinian groups have until now generally fired three versions of Qassams, improvised steel rockets filled with explosives and fuel. They can travel between one and five miles. Qassam-3’s travel the farthest and are the largest, at about four feet in length. The rockets lack a guidance system and are launched from Gaza towns by terrorists who reportedly use the rocket’s trajectory and known travel distance to aim at Jewish neighborhoods near the Gaza border. About 20 percent of Qassams do not explode upon impact.

The imported missiles, Katyushas, are better guided, travel farther and cause more damage because they have a warhead of up to 20 kilograms, roughly the weight of a cannon shell from one of Israel’s Merkava tanks.

Hamas has fired at least 5,500 rockets since seizing Gaza in 2007

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**Author:** ![puppygod](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/ce7236/32.png) [@puppygod](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/puppygod)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 10:15pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/4 "2009-01-04T22:15:40Z")

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> [@scout159](#):
>
> [SIZE=“2”]I know Israel has bought patriot missile defense system from U.S. Is the Hamas missiles too small for it to destroy? What would be the minimum requirements for this system to be effective?

It’s not “too small” problem. It’s wrong-tool-for-that-task problem. Patriot is designed as costly, sophisticated air defense system launching Mach5, 5 meter long, millions-of-dollar missiles. Hamas “missiles” are mostly hand-made Quassam rockets, 2 meter long, with twenty kg of payload, and costing some hundred dollars and a bottle of moonshine each. Even if Patriot were capable of intercepting them, it’s kinda like using anti-tank rocket launcher for destroying some militant on bicycle.

ETA: By “Katyusha” you probably think Grad artillery rockets. They are unguided, but more accurate than Quassam. Not larger than Quassam-3 though.

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**Author:** ![Q.E.D](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/q/51bf81/32.png) [@Q.E.D](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Q.E.D)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 10:17pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/5 "2009-01-04T22:17:13Z")

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Could also be because the Patriot is essentially a [piece of shit](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIM-104_Patriot#Success_rate_vs._accuracy).

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**Author:** ![samclem](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a9a28c/32.png) [@samclem](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/samclem)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 10:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/6 "2009-01-04T22:34:22Z")

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**scout159**. Minor point here. You’re new, but your signature is a problem, which I’ve taken the liberty of correcting in two posts

1. Signatures are allowed once per post.

2. Signatures are at most 4 lines.

No biggie–it just happens to be a hot topic the last few days.

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**Author:** ![tim314](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tim314/32/3468_2.png) [@tim314](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/tim314)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 10:58pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/7 "2009-01-04T22:58:07Z")

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> [@friedo](#):
>
> Hamas doesn’t have any missiles that I’m aware of. Their largest ordinance appears to be old Soviet artillery shells and shoulder-fired rockets.

Stupid question here: Isn’t a missile just a rocket with an explosive warhead? Why aren’t shoulder-fired rocket weapons considered missiles?

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**Author:** ![ivn1188](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/e480ec/32.png) [@ivn1188](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ivn1188)\
**Post date:** [January 4, 2009, 11:07pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/8 "2009-01-04T23:07:32Z")

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> [@Q.E.D](#):
>
> Could also be because the Patriot is essentially a [piece of shit](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIM-104_Patriot#Success_rate_vs._accuracy).

That is inaccurate. The Patriot system was designed to kill aircraft. It does that better than any other system in the world except for our Aegis system (which sometimes uses the pac-3 missile anyway).

The mission to kill ballistic missiles was a new one for the Patriot. The pac-2 missiles were almost untested against real ballistic missile threats, and not against missiles as large as scuds. There aren’t really any portable and highly effective ABM missile systems to compare patriot against anyway.

The modern pac-3 missiles are far more effective against ballistic missiles in tests so far by multiple countries.

Calling the patriot system a piece of shit is akin to calling the A-10 a failure because loading them with sidewinders and having them intercept mig-29s isn’t incredibly effective. But when they are all you have, it’s worth a try.

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**Author:** ![Markxxx](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/5daacb/32.png) [@Markxxx](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Markxxx)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 12:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/9 "2009-01-05T00:51:41Z")

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MSNBC said Hamas missiles are pretty much junk too. They said they are akin to making a pipe bomb. In otherwords like a pipe bomb is a unsophisticated type of bomb so are the missiles used by Hamas.

Very much unlike the missiles used by Hezbolla

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**Author:** ![carnivorousplant](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnivorousplant/32/3563_2.png) [@carnivorousplant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carnivorousplant)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 1:44am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/10 "2009-01-05T01:44:31Z")

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Are the Hamas rockets in flight long enough for any counter measure to acquire them as a target?

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**Author:** ![Squink](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/b5e925/32.png) [@Squink](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Squink)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 1:55am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/11 "2009-01-05T01:55:48Z")

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[Israeli Missile Defense: Not Katyusha-Ready](http://www.noahshachtman.com/archives/002595.html)

> [@](#):
>
> Israel has a two-tiered missile defense system. The first, the Arrow Weapon System, is to intercept ballistic missiles in their final phase of flight.  
> …  
> Israel also has an early version of the U.S. Patriot missile defense system. The Patriot Advanced Capability (PAC)-2 is designed to defend against ballistic missile targets in their terminal phase as well; also, it would provide defense via a blast-fragmentation warhead… The Patriot differs from the Arrow in that it aims at targets which are at lower altitudes.
> 
> [But] neither missile defense system has been used is because they are not designed to intercept short-range rockets. It is estimated that of the 13,000 or so rockets and missiles in Hezbollah’s arsenal, 11,000 of them are of the Katyusha type. These rockets have a short range, maybe up to nine miles or so, and a small warhead of roughly 40 pounds. Based on vintage Soviet technology, these rockets can be rolled out of a hiding place, shot, and rolled back in before any detection can be made. Their flight is over in seconds, making tracking difficult, much less shooting anything down. A system would have to be in exactly the right place to detect the missile once it is launched, then the defensive system would have to make a nearly instantaneous decision to respond, after which the interceptor would have to get to the target quickly enough to destroy it. It is an exceedingly difficult proposition when the flight times are as short as those launched by Hezbollah.

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**Author:** ![Dog80](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/6bbea6/32.png) [@Dog80](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dog80)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 2:30am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/12 "2009-01-05T02:30:36Z")

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> [@ivn1188](#):
>
> > [@Q.E.D](#):
> >
> > Could also be because the Patriot is essentially a [piece of shit](http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/MIM-104_Patriot#Success_rate_vs._accuracy).
> 
> That is inaccurate. The Patriot system was designed to kill aircraft. It does that better than any other system in the world except for our Aegis system (which sometimes uses the pac-3 missile anyway).
> 
> The mission to kill ballistic missiles was a new one for the Patriot. The pac-2 missiles were almost untested against real ballistic missile threats, and not against missiles as large as scuds. There aren’t really any portable and highly effective ABM missile systems to compare patriot against anyway.
> 
> The modern pac-3 missiles are far more effective against ballistic missiles in tests so far by multiple countries.
> 
> Calling the patriot system a piece of shit is akin to calling the A-10 a failure because loading them with sidewinders and having them intercept mig-29s isn’t incredibly effective. But when they are all you have, it’s worth a try.

Also, I’ve read somewhere that the Scuds used in the first Gulf War were so old and badly rusted that they would break into several pieces upon descent. That made interception extremely difficult.

Eventually Patriot crews found that the pieces containing the warheads would follow a more stable trajectory and manually aimed at those pieces only. This practice somewhat increased the interception success rate.

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**Author:** ![carnivorousplant](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnivorousplant/32/3563_2.png) [@carnivorousplant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carnivorousplant)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 2:39am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/13 "2009-01-05T02:39:38Z")

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> [@Dog80](#):
>
> That made interception extremely difficult.

I recall that even when the missile was destroyed, the warhead would sometimes come down in a populated area.

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**Author:** ![Bear\_Nenno](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/bear_nenno/32/3358_2.png) [@Bear\_Nenno](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Bear_Nenno)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 2:50am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/14 "2009-01-05T02:50:10Z")

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> [@tim314](#):
>
> Stupid question here: Isn’t a missile just a rocket with an explosive warhead? Why aren’t shoulder-fired rocket weapons considered missiles?

Missles have guidance systems. Rockets do not.

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**Author:** ![carnivorousplant](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/carnivorousplant/32/3563_2.png) [@carnivorousplant](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/carnivorousplant)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 3:00am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/15 "2009-01-05T03:00:25Z")

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> [@Bear\_Nenno](#):
>
> Missles have guidance systems. Rockets do not.

Wait a sec. A ballistic missile follows a ballistic path, like a football. If it has a guidance system and corrects its course, is it still ballistic?

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**Author:** ![mks57](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b9bd4f/32.png) [@mks57](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mks57)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 3:16am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/16 "2009-01-05T03:16:26Z")

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> [@carnivorousplant](#):
>
> Wait a sec. A ballistic missile follows a ballistic path, like a football. If it has a guidance system and corrects its course, is it still ballistic?

The warhead follows a ballistic trajectory. The missile has an active guidance system and follows whatever course is needed to get out of the atmosphere and reach the release point for the warhead.

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**Author:** ![ivn1188](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/e480ec/32.png) [@ivn1188](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ivn1188)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/17 "2009-01-05T03:23:15Z")

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> [@carnivorousplant](#):
>
> I recall that even when the missile was destroyed, the warhead would sometimes come down in a populated area.

Ballistic missiles travel in a ballistic arc (mostly). Unless you turn the missile into really small pieces, a missile in terminal phase is going to come down in the same general area as the target. “Populated areas” aren’t point targets. This, combined with the difficulty of fully neutralizing a warhead, makes ABM duties very tough.

RE: guidance – the missile isn’t in powered flight the whole way, but it can still have terminal guidance, just like laser guided bombs. If it didn’t, small vagaries in air resistance or wind would make the missile a lot less accurate.

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**Author:** ![Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/e8c25b/32.png) [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Really_Not_All_That_Bright)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 4:52am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/18 "2009-01-05T04:52:39Z")

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> [@Bear\_Nenno](#):
>
> Missles have guidance systems. Rockets do not.

Weren’t the first air-to-air missiles unguided?

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**Author:** ![mks57](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/b9bd4f/32.png) [@mks57](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/mks57)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 5:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/19 "2009-01-05T05:10:14Z")

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> [@Really\_Not\_All\_That\_Bright](#):
>
> Weren’t the first air-to-air missiles unguided?

The Germans deployed an air-to-air rocket late in World War II.

> **[R4M](https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/R4M_rocket)**
>
> R4M, abbreviation for Rakete 4 Kilogramm Minenkopf (English: Rocket, 4 kilogram, Mine-head), also known by the nickname Orkan (English: Hurricane) due to its distinctive smoke trail when fired, was a folding-fin air-to-air rocket used by the Luftwaffe at the end of World War II.
> The R4M was used on several late war German combat aircraft, most notably the Messerschmitt Me 262, and could be fired from open ramps under aircraft wings or from tubes inside under-wing rocket pods. It featured a high ...

The first air-to-air missiles that I can think of were the sidewinder (IR) and sparrow (radar).

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**Author:** ![si\_blakely](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d9b06d/32.png) [@si\_blakely](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/si_blakely)\
**Post date:** [January 5, 2009, 7:53am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-cant-the-patriot-shoot-down-hamas-missles/479851/20 "2009-01-05T07:53:15Z")

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I pretty sure the IDF has developed a laser-based missile defense system possibly capable of tracking and destroying rockets. The system has not been deployed due to a combination of factors - toxic waste being one problem (chemical laser), debris showers being another (the difference between an exploding rocket and a falling one is not always that great).

And given the current ease of deployment of the rockets, any defense system can be overwhelmed by sufficient multiple launches.

And while the current British naval point defense missile system can hit “a cricket ball travelling at mach 4” (quoted by a current naval weapons rating, a family friend who was visiting for christmas, and which sounds more like a marketing quote than a technical specification to me), the cost per launch would be so excessive that a few days defense would eat up the entire IDF budget without hitting the source.

Si

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