Here’s the really critical part, with the really really critical part bolded:
“…these occasions [when only video could tell us something that would save lives in the future] are likely too rare to justify the added expense.”
I laid out the two all-important questions earlier in the thread:
How many lives would cockpit video be expected to save?
How much would it cost to develop, certify, install, and maintain those systems fleetwide?
If the dollars-spent-per-life-saved is higher than some arbitrarily chosen set point, then the measure is not justifiable.
It’s not that we don’t “need” cockpit video (whatever “need” means in this context), or that it wouldn’t be useful. It’s just that it needs to be useful enough in order to justify the costs involved.
Imagine, for the sake of argument, that a hypothetical crashworthy video recording system required each aircraft to sacrifice an entire row of seating. Now each aircraft loses $6000 worth of passenger revenue every day, or $2.2M per year. For the entire commercial aviation fleet, that’s…a shitload of money. Billions of dollars of lost every year, for the benefit of video footage from the cockpit. If the information gleaned from video of one crash results in policy or engineering changes that prevent one future crash, thereby saving 100 lives, the net cost per life saved is:
[billions of dollars] / [100 lives]
Is the cost of such a system justified? Depends on the value you assign to a human life. I suspect most would feel it’s not a good investment.
Clearly this hypothetical giant video recording system is unrealistic, but it serves to illustrate the decision-making process: you can’t just say “this system provides us with useful information, therefore it’s worthwhile” without considering the costs involved.