# Why do weight loss studies use the mean and not the mode?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477>\
**Category:** Factual Questions\
**Created:** [April 17, 2016, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477 "2016-04-17T17:01:11Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![WhyNot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/c77e96/32.png) [@WhyNot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WhyNot)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:01pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/1 "2016-04-17T17:01:11Z")

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From a Facebook conversation:

> [@](#):
>
> Link to article: [Meta-analysis of 53 studies shows conclusively that low-carb beats low-fat.](http://news.meta.com/2016/04/17/meta-analysis-53-studies-shows-conclusively-low-carb-beats-low-fat/)
> 
> My comment: “Overall, study participants had a mean weight loss of 2.71kg, which improved (3.75kg) when focusing on studies tailored for weight loss.”
> 
> So…good news for those who have to lose 5 or 10 pounds. The rest of us are still SOL.
> 
> (I say this not to discourage anyone from eating better and moving more - those are good things to do for better health, regardless of weight status. But I think we need to be clear that even the BEST weight loss results, on average, produce very small changes in weight. Eat well and move well because you’ll be healthier, not because you’re likely to lose a ton of weight.)
> 
> Her comment: Well … I’ve lost 26 lbs on nutritional keto since January…There are lots of people on nutritional keto who have lost more. I would have done better, but I haven’t stayed away completely from vodka.
> 
> My reply: That’s awesome! Glad you’re an outlier. I’m sure there are [many people who have lost a lot]. There are also some who haven’t lost, and some who gain, because that’s just how the mean works. If the mean is 6 pounds and you lost 26, that tells us that a whole lot of people lost less than 6 pounds.
> 
> “Mean weight loss” means the number that you get when you add everyone’s loss up and divide by the number of people. So if we add your 26 to my 0 and divide by two, our mean weight loss is 13 pounds - even though neither of us lost 13 pounds. It understates what you lost and overstates what I lost.
> 
> It’s actually a pretty useless number, and I have no idea why it’s used for weight loss studies. A much more useful number would be the mode - the mode is the number of pounds (or kg) that the most people lost. So if you lost 26, and I lost 0, and Jane lost 2 and John lost 3 and Mary lost 2 and Simone gained 4 and Tim gained 1 and Lucy lost 2… the mode is 2. Of the 8 of us, more people lost 2 pounds on this hypothetical diet than any other result. Yet the mean weight loss would be reported as 3.75 pounds lost. Again, the mean is overstating what most people lost using this diet, leading to some unrealistic expectations and, too often, a spiral of shame and self-blame among those who didn’t meet that number.

So…why DON’T weight loss studies report the mode? I’ve only ever seen results written as mean. Is there a good reason for this I’m missing?

[insert standard, “I’m not sure where this should go, so let’s throw it in GQ and see what happens,” disclaimer]

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**Author:** ![Snarky\_Kong](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a183cd/32.png) [@Snarky\_Kong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snarky_Kong)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/2 "2016-04-17T17:11:29Z")

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That person doesn’t know what they’re talking about. Mode will also underestimate and overestimate for most people. Same with median, mean, or any other measure.

I’m unclear on why you’d use mode for a continuous variable too. If you have someone that reports 2 lbs of loss and someone that reports 2.01 lbs, then those are different and don’t count for mode calculation.

Sounds to me like someone didn’t hit their goal and just needs something to complain about.

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**Author:** ![WhyNot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/c77e96/32.png) [@WhyNot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WhyNot)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/3 "2016-04-17T17:21:25Z")

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You’re right, I don’t know what I’m talking about. Which is why I’m asking the question, so I can learn more. Thanks for living up to your username, though. That was very helpful.

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**Author:** ![TriPolar](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/tripolar/32/3008_2.png) [@TriPolar](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/TriPolar)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/4 "2016-04-17T17:26:15Z")

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Plenty of similar studies use the mode, I don’t recall a weight loss study doing so, but they probably do. As mentioned above neither is all that useful and the measurement selected is generally the one that makes the best point, and that point may or may not be misleading in itself. No one number is going to describe the set of data points well.

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**Author:** ![Snarky\_Kong](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/a183cd/32.png) [@Snarky\_Kong](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Snarky_Kong)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:32pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/5 "2016-04-17T17:32:21Z")

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> [@WhyNot](#):
>
> You’re right, I don’t know what I’m talking about. Which is why I’m asking the question, so I can learn more. Thanks for living up to your username, though. That was very helpful.

I wasn’t talking about your question, I was talking about the person that claimed mode is superior.

Plus, I did answer the question…

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**Author:** ![WhyNot](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/w/c77e96/32.png) [@WhyNot](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/WhyNot)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/6 "2016-04-17T17:39:20Z")

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> [@TriPolar](#):
>
> Plenty of similar studies use the mode, I don’t recall a weight loss study doing so, but they probably do. As mentioned above neither is all that useful and the measurement selected is generally the one that makes the best point, and that point may or may not be misleading in itself. No one number is going to describe the set of data points well.

True, and there are probably more complex statistical tools to try to account for outliers.

But when I’m trying to decide on an intervention for weight loss, whether for myself or when suggesting things to other people, what I want to know is how much weight most people lost using that intervention. Is that unusual?

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**Author:** ![lazybratsche](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/l/ba8739/32.png) [@lazybratsche](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/lazybratsche)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:40pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/7 "2016-04-17T17:40:08Z")

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As a practical matter, the statistical tools using the mean are a lot more widely taught and understood. (FWIW I’m the resident “guy who knows stats” in a bio lab, and I had to go look up whether there was a good way to construct a confidence interval for a median.) Tests for differences between means, construction of confidence intervals of the mean, etc. are all taught in intro stats classes, and easily understood by physicians.

And while the mean can be misleading whenever there are distributions skewed towards one extreme, that can be handled with appropriate data transformations and statistical techniques. Those techniques might have been used in the studies used by the meta-analyses, but the precise details will be lost from study to meta-analysis to abstract to press release…

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**Author:** ![Nava](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/da6949/32.png) [@Nava](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nava)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:47pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/8 "2016-04-17T17:47:07Z")

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Part of the problem is a tendency to always assume that any distribution is going to be a Gaussian, for which mean, median and mode are the same. A lot of people have no idea what to do when they have a skewed distribution, or even when measuring something which is going to be skewed by its very nature (think impurities, where the ideal value for the acceptable range is one of that range’s limits). Pet peeve of mine with regards to both medical practices and process-improvement techniques.

ETA: heck, a family of questions which keeps cropping up and which shows how little people understand skewed distributions is all those about life expectancy before modern medicine. “It’s skewed by the amount of infant deaths, stillbirths and women dead the first time they had a baby”… nowadays the biggest CoD is being alive, but not so long ago birth itself was pretty nasty.

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**Author:** ![Hector\_St\_Clare](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/b5ac83/32.png) [@Hector\_St\_Clare](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hector_St_Clare)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:50pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/9 "2016-04-17T17:50:20Z")

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The geometric mean (= back transformed mean of the log-transformed data) might actually be better than the mean, since weight is one of those things I would expect to be distributed lognormally.

Weight is continuous rather than discrete, but that doesn’t in itself make it impossible to use the mode. (You could convert a continuous variable into a discrete one by sorting it into bins, e.g. rounding off each person’s weight to the nearest pound). The bigger issue is, I think, that most ‘basic’ parametric statistical tests that the typical researcher would know are based on the mean. I guess you could use nonparametric approaches to compare modes, though.

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**Author:** ![Hector\_St\_Clare](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/b5ac83/32.png) [@Hector\_St\_Clare](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hector_St_Clare)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 5:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/10 "2016-04-17T17:53:18Z")

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> [@WhyNot](#):
>
> True, and there are probably more complex statistical tools to try to account for outliers.
> 
> But when I’m trying to decide on an intervention for weight loss, whether for myself or when suggesting things to other people, what I want to know is how much weight most people lost using that intervention. Is that unusual?

Honestly for this purpose, the confidence interval (e.g. "95% of people lost between 10% and 20% of their body weight) is probably more useful than either the mean or the mode.

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**Author:** ![Septima](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/dc4da7/32.png) [@Septima](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Septima)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 7:30pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/11 "2016-04-17T19:30:01Z")

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What I would like to know is how many people:

a) Lost an amount of weight they themselves felt made an impact on their quality of life.

and

b) Still experienced this improvement in quality of life after, say, 2 years or so.

I’m guessing the baseline is 5%, same as for giving up cigarettes or alcohol (number stolen from Penn and Tellers “Bullshit”, feel free to insert better numbers if you have them on hand), so anything above that would be interesting.

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**Author:** ![rbroome](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/r/838e76/32.png) [@rbroome](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rbroome)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 10:06pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/12 "2016-04-17T22:06:03Z")

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I am not an expert but I have processed a bunch of data in my time…  
All the summary statistics: mean, mode, median, etc. are basically shorthand ways of describing the distribution of the data. And the conventional interpretations of these statistics assume a Gaussian distribution. A given person may not know what they are talking about, but a mean is a perfectly valid calculation regardless of the distribution. And in the majority of cases, the summary statistics provide a good approximation of the data set. Certainly it is what people expect. It depends on the distribution and as the number of data points increases, all distributions of continuous numbers tend toward a Gaussian. For small data sets, this assumption can easily break down.

Really the proper result to report when reporting on a data set is the distribution. Everything else is an approximation. People don’t like going to the trouble of presenting a picture when a number is expected, but the distribution is always going to provide the best description of the data. Then the proper interpretation of the summary statistics, which also should be presented, will be easy.

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**Author:** ![monstro](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/ba9def/32.png) [@monstro](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/monstro)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 11:19pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/13 "2016-04-17T23:19:10Z")

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I know this isn’t what you’re asking, but I would think average percentage of body weight lost would be more meaningful than average pounds lost.

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**Author:** ![Maserschmidt](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/maserschmidt/32/18829_2.png) [@Maserschmidt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Maserschmidt)\
**Post date:** [April 17, 2016, 11:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/14 "2016-04-17T23:54:18Z")

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> [@Hector\_St\_Clare](#):
>
> The geometric mean (= back transformed mean of the log-transformed data) might actually be better than the mean, since weight is one of those things I would expect to be distributed lognormally.
> 
> Weight is continuous rather than discrete, but that doesn’t in itself make it impossible to use the mode. (You could convert a continuous variable into a discrete one by sorting it into bins, e.g. rounding off each person’s weight to the nearest pound). The bigger issue is, I think, that most ‘basic’ parametric statistical tests that the typical researcher would know are based on the mean. I guess you could use nonparametric approaches to compare modes, though.

I’ve parameterized data before to get to a mode, for example fitted a lognormal to it. Data isn’t always well enough behaved to do that, however.

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**Author:** ![spamforbrains](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/e274bd/32.png) [@spamforbrains](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/spamforbrains)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 4:05am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/15 "2016-04-18T04:05:47Z")

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> [@](#):
>
> So…why DON’T weight loss studies report the mode? I’ve only ever seen results written as mean. Is there a good reason for this I’m missing?

If and only if the data follow a normal distribution, mean is the best way to describe the data. If the data don’t follow a normal distribution, investigators usually report the median and the IQR distribution. They don’t usually report the mode for human studies on body weight because it doesn’t make any sense. Body weight only follows a linear distribution.

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**Author:** ![bomberswarm2](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/b/c37758/32.png) [@bomberswarm2](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/bomberswarm2)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 4:13am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/16 "2016-04-18T04:13:39Z")

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The mode is completely useless. If two people lost 50kg, and two other people lost 1kg and 2kg, then the mode is 50kg. Its worthless. What you want is the median.

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**Author:** ![Hector\_St\_Clare](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/h/b5ac83/32.png) [@Hector\_St\_Clare](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Hector_St_Clare)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 6:10am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/17 "2016-04-18T06:10:14Z")

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> [@rbroome](#):
>
> I It depends on the distribution and as the number of data points increases, all distributions of continuous numbers tend toward a Gaussian. For small data sets, this assumption can easily break down.

Are you referring to the central limit theorem? Apologies if you’re not. If you are, this is not quite what it says. The central limit theorem refers to the _sampling distribution_ not to the actual ‘true’ distribution of the data in reality, and it makes a statement about the distribution of your estimates over time, not about the actual distribution of the variable. It tells you that if you take enough samples, the sampling distribution will eventually resemble a normal and your estimate of the mean will converge on the true mean. This is true in most cases (not all), even in many cases when the actual distribution of the data is not normal.

I didn’t get it the first time they explained it in stats class either: I don’t think this one is often explained very well.

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**Author:** ![Nava](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/n/da6949/32.png) [@Nava](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Nava)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 6:20am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/18 "2016-04-18T06:20:53Z")

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Plus, not ALL distributions of continuous numbers tend toward a Gaussian.

I already gave an example in my previous post, and it’s one that’s very common one in chemistry, pharma and alimentary industries: impurities or other things we could call “contamination”.

Acceptable values: 0 to n.  
Most common value (mode): if your process is any good, 0.  
Mean and median: somewhat above 0, due to the occcasional positive result (that is, result above 0).

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**Author:** ![iljitsch](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/77aa72/32.png) [@iljitsch](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/iljitsch)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 1:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/19 "2016-04-18T13:48:39Z")

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I think the discussion above conclusively proves that reducing a large set of data points to a single number is a stupid idea. Just give us the original data points.

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**Author:** ![D18](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/c57346/32.png) [@D18](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/D18)\
**Post date:** [April 18, 2016, 1:54pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-do-weight-loss-studies-use-the-mean-and-not-the-mode/752477/20 "2016-04-18T13:54:43Z")

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I’ve read a fair share of research and don’t recall modes ever being presented as the primary measure. Is there a discipline or subdiscipline where this is common?

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