I have some vague notions about a sort of philosophical God, but what has never made much sense to me is belief in miracles (i.e., events that defy any reasonable scientific explanation), especially the belief in specific miracles (like the resurrection) based on the generally weak evidence presented.
Even if you believe miracles are possible, surely they aren’t the most likely explanation for any given set of circumstances. Consider the following example:
Let’s say I were to tell you that last Wednesday I saw my friend Phil walk on water, and then he raised the dead, and then he died himself (including suffering some pretty severe wounds) only to come back to life.
Which of the following explanations would you consider most likely:
(A) It all happened just as I say it did
(B) I was fooled by a clever trickster
© I’m not being honest about what I saw
(D) I’m nuts
(E) Some other explanation
I doubt that even many of the Christians among you would consider (A) the most likely. But let’s say I told you I had dozens of witnesses who could attest to the same thing. Keep in mind that you haven’t met these witnesses. You don’t have signed statements from the witnesses. You have me and, let’s say, three of my friends telling you that this happened, and that there were other witnesses. Are you suddenly going to embrace (A) as the most likely possibility?
I’m not trying to be condescending – I’m really asking, would you find this claim credible today? (I’m guessing “no”, but maybe I’m wrong.) And if not, why is it more credible when it comes from some 2000-year-old documents written by people you’ve never met? Especially when there seems to be good reason to think the documents were written decades after Jesus’s death, by people who probably weren’t there themselves. That’s like if I said to you my friend Pete saw his friend Phil die and come back to life one time back in the '60s.
“But,” you might protest, “am I (or is Pete) willing to die for that belief?” But say I was? Suppose I swore to you that God had appeared before me, and he was 100 feet tall (or in some such way it was clear that it was God), and he said “Tim, I’m here to tell you that Jesus never came back from the dead.” Suppose you told me “recant, or I’ll kill you”, but I stuck to my story. Would this make you stop believing in the resurrection? What if I had a dozen friends who were also willing to die for the belief in the non-ressurection of Jesus? (That’s more than the number of eye-witnesses we have who have left written statements that they saw a risen Jesus – as noted above, it’s quite possible none of those written statements came from eye witnesses).
One of my Christian friends recently told me that it wasn’t reasonable to expect scientific evidence of the resurrection – it’s more like a trial, where you can’t know for sure what happened, but have to judge the credibility of the witnesses. But if that’s the case, it seems like all we have is hearsay evidence that would never be allowed in any court (at least here in the U.S.)
It just seems to me that Christians are choosing to accept a lower standard of evidence than they would require under any other circumstances, because they really want it to be true. And if that’s the case, they should be honest about it. If you wouldn’t be satisfied by that level of evidence when it comes to non-Biblical claims, don’t try to claim your beliefs are based on the evidence. (In fairness, many Christians don’t claim that, instead saying they “take it on faith.” Which I guess means they believe things for emotional rather than evidentiary reasons. Whether that’s a prudent way to determine your beliefs is another debate.)