I think Acsenray has had the best reply so far, though there have been many good points made.
I don’t agree, however, with posters who say, “Same as it ever was.” It’s not. We’ve seen huge technological and social change happen over the past 50 years, and a lot of it has been tough to absorb within a human lifetime.
One difference that everyone should take note of is cratering birth rates in every developed country. If things are just peachy, why would that be the case? (Short answer: people don’t feel they can afford to have kids and, in reality, it’s tough to do so. Longer answer includes things like easier birth control and a huge range of social reasons.)
A big example for me is Japan, where I lived for 8 years. I saw the country go from a still-happy post-bubble state in 1992 to a country that is genuinely depressed and dysfunctional these days. All this despite being one of the wealthiest countries in the world and most definitely the most socially cohesive, with nearly 100% literacy and incredibly low crime. You can watch 1950s and 1960s Japanese movies and the country was having an absolute blast, even though it had just been blasted to hell. Now, it has no real problems, but it’s pretty gray and bleak in mood.
I actually think that the reasons why things went south in Japan are the very things that lie behind the OP’s observations. See this great New Yorker article: The United States of Japan, which makes this point very well.
To wit:
- Capitalism requires growth to balance the books. It’s much easier to grow from a small base than a large base. E.g., in general, it’s much easier to grow a company 5% per year when you are starting at, say, $100,000 in sales (just $5,000 more!) than $1,000,000,000 in sales ($50,000,000–that’s like having to start a huge new company–every year).
We have grown our collective base of capital and now it’s much harder to grow in the traditional sense. We used to be able to depend on population growth alone to drive tremendous growth in the economy, plus we were plucking the low-hanging fruit of building up basic infrastructure, etc.
Every country eventually crashes into this wall. Every company does too.
- Human psychology thrives the most not when things are good but when things are getting better. Japan was really, really happy and booming in the 1950s despite having a fraction of what it does now because it was building from a very small base (a destroyed base, in fact–check out Marx’s comments on the destruction of capital as necessary to capitalism. I’m not a Marxist, but he still has many good observations…) and things were getting better all the time.
It’s a sad part of human nature, but it’s a big part of the explanation. Things are in many ways better than they were in 1965, but there was incredible progress happening in every field of human endeavor at that time. This was true in my lifetime as well (born 1971). My mother would talk about the incredible technologies that were coming, and we’d all be living to very old ages in great health because of the medical technologies coming down the pike. I mean, there would be flying cars, moon colonies, and all that.
Some will disagree, but I firmly believe that technological progress has flattened out, and…
- Progress is more “give-and-take” than “just give” these days.
Cell phones and the internet have been the big new technologies of my lifetime, IMO. I would not want to do without them, but they are both burdensome in their own way. Do I need to go into detail on that?
Any individual technology has always had its detractors, but I think we have simply forgotten the optimism that used to accompany most innovations and inventions.
- Everything has gotten sophisticated and commoditized in a very short period of time
This is similar to the “building from a smaller base,” but now expand that to qualitative matters.
For example, coffee was shit in the US until basically the 90s, with the rise of Starbucks and indie coffee joints. It was thrilling to learn about the good stuff, drink the good stuff, and continue to learn more and more. Other people get into it, so we’re sharing the fun. Fast forward a bit: Starbucks is soon everywhere (it now has more locations than McDonald’s and is second only to Subway). The Keurig cups come out roughly around 2008 (a coffee shop owner who recently shut down said his business took a very noticeable dive after the cups became common). Good coffee is everywhere, and now it’s no big deal.
And everything has been like that. Music, food, movies, you name it. There was room for sophistication and growth in every domain, and people were inventive and motivated and made tremendous progress in a tiny, tiny amount of time.
People crave the new, that excitement, just as much as they ever did–it’s part of human nature. But there just isn’t as much new to go around these days. Further, when you want to be creative and make your mark in any of these domains, it’s hard. Because everything feels as though it’s been done at this point, and largely it has.
That’s what I got. Tell me what you think!