Don’t tell me you really believe we would have gone into Iraq – or, for that matter, Kuwait – if there were no oilfields in the Middle East? Why else? To depose a dictator and free a people? There are dictators and dictatorships all over the world – Cuba would have been easier and closer. Myanmar has just as brutal a government as Hussein’s and would have been easier to pacify and rebuild post-conquest, even thought it is in Southeast Asia where we have so many bitter memories. To eliminate a threat to world peace, an aggressive regime armed with WMDs? North Korea is a real threat with real WMDs, and Bush knew it. To fight terrorism? That would be funny if it were funny. To protect Israel? I would think either Syria, Saudi Arabia or Iran poses a worse threat to Israel than Iraq ever did. No. It was for oil. The other points made the project easier to sell, but it would never have happened if not for the facts that we need oil, and the Middle East has oil, and OSP and PNAC seem to be of the opinion that our supply is not secure unless we have some real military presence in that turbulent and dangerous region.
You still dont get it. The threat to our national security isnt in the middle east halting the flow of oil, its in the threat of it being ~increased~. The propping up of US oil companies is seen as a national necessity. Any threat of overseas competition to US oil companies is framed in the language of national security.
You still haven’t explained how our supply of oil was in any way threatened in 1990 or in 2003.
Irrelevant. It would be a nonzero contribution. Do you support it? (I’m not looking for a treatise; “Yes” or “No” should suffice.)
Situation: Joe Blow owns a few acres about thirty miles outside of downtown. There’s no mass transit line in the area, and the plot is several orders of magitude too small to develop anything that would justify building one.
Ergo, a prohibition on “automobile dependent development” would prevent any economic use of his property.
Since you “know the law”, you know what that means – the guvmint has to either pay up or back off.
Now that’s a new one on me! Has anyone else speculated along those lines, that you know of?
You are (again) missing the point. Our oil supply was not directly threatened in 1990 or 2003 (and I said so at the time). The danger, in 1990, was that Hussein’s obvious megalomaniacal aggression would lead him to try to conquer Saudi Arabia and go on to try to conquer and unite all the Arab lands. If he failed, there would still be a protracted regional war – endangering the security of our oil supply. If he succeeded, we would be faced with the position of having to depend for most of our oil on a new Middle Eastern Stalin ruling all of Arabia east of Eqypt – who would simply want to sell the stuff most of the time, but who might, on occasion, have tried to use his control of oil as a weapon against the West. In 2003 that possibility no longer threatened, but the neocons persuaded the Admin that we needed a real, controlling military presence in the MENA just to forestall the possibility of our supply being threatened, in the future, by events spinning out of our control.
And you still haven’t explained: Do you believe we would have invaded Iraq – or liberated Kuwait – if there were no oil in the region? If so, please explain your thinking. What would have been our grounds for invading?
Actually, I do support it. We need the oil. But, as I said, we need it for a lot of things other than fuel.
Dunno – maybe we could have gotten the oil from Kosovo or Haiti instead…
What Steve MB said.
Exactly. The contrast between Kuwait/Iraq and Kosovo/Haiti points up the difference between what motivates a Republican administration to go to war and what motivates a Democratic administration to go to war.
I agree with much of what BrainGlutton is saying, except that i don’t think the solution to suburban sprawl is to discourage development of suburban areas. I think the solution is to create an efficient transportation system that deals with suburban sprawl effectively. Unfortunately, this will cost money, and money equals spending equals taxes. And people would rather have their $600 so they can afford to fill the tank of their Hummer.
Automobile travel is already highly subsidized, at the local, state, and federal level. Divert some of costs of the D.O.T. into subsidizing rail travel, and you could make trains a viable alternative for commuting. Many of the issues with trains in this thread have been about comfort, time, and money. If you put more trains on the rails, make them and their stations more comfortable, and reduce the costs for parking and riding, it could go a long way towards attracting more riders, and easing congestion on the highways.
The solution to the automobile problem and energy crisis is not to put fewer cars on the road, but to get people to use their cars less. Judging from gridlock during rush hour, much car use is for the commute to and from work. An effective public transportation system focused mainly on commuting could ease gridlock and substantially reduce the amount of car use. A good start would be a “park and ride” system in the suburbs, and a van line, mostly focused around train stations, in the urban areas.
If you make it worth the while for people to take trains, they will.
:rolleyes:
How much oil is there in Somalia, BTW?
Probably not. Maybe, but probably not. From Fla.Jur.2d, (Florida Jurisprudence, 2d), Volume 21, Eminent Domain, Section 199 – Regulatory takings distinguished:
This is how lawyers think. (We’re a bit like Tolkein’s elves. “Go not to the elves for counsel, for they will answer both yea and nay.”) If you’ve read all the way through the above you will see why I hesitated to answer with a plain “yes” or “no.” The answer to your hypothetical would probably depend on conditions you did not specify; but, in most such cases, the answer would be “no.”
But I repeat my earlier point: The modern American “property rights movement” in general is, indeed, braindead or worse. All its arguments depend on a set of radical economic-libertarian legal theories which are not supported by our history of common law, statutory law, or constitutional law – and the issue of landowners’ rights to develop their property profitably is plainly intended as just the thin end of a very ugly wedge. From http://www.publiceye.org/eyes/privprop.html:
Ok, I consider myself an environmentally aware guy. We recycle, especially paper products, we conserve electricity and a large point in favor of our last vehicle purchase was the gas mileage it got over similar vehicles. I don’t think urban sprawl is necessarially a problem. I live in one of the least dense large cities in the US. The D/FW area is the sixth largest metropolitan area when ranked by population in the US according to the 2000 census, but it is 69th when ranked by population density(19th if you only count urban areas with over a million residents instead of the smaller urban areas the census tracks). There are a lot of us and we take up a lot of space. We also love our trucks, SUVs, and single-passenger cars. Consequently pollution is a big factor here.
I still don’t support most of the “solutions” I’ve seen in this thread. I don’t think population density is a problem that can be adequately solved with mass transportation. Not enough of that “mass” is going to close enough places to get it used without causing people to shiver on train platforms. More efficient and environmentally friendly solutions like telecommuting or hybrid/alternative fuel cars would do a lot to clean it up. These are steps which we could take right now to improve the situation and give us more time to solve the ultimate problem or develop anti-smog technology like we have done with other environmental pollutants. Technology has led to dozens of new ways to fight oil spills, for instance, which make cleanup much more thorough and effective. Perhaps some giant HEPA filter, air-cleaner technology will be developed to fight urban air pollution. We need time to make this happen though, which is why I support aggressive moves to promote things like hybrid/alternative energy vehicles and telecommuting.
The larger picture of moving people where they need to go on a daily basis, to the store or to the office, is more complex. Clear preferences for individual transportation/habitation make the solution more difficult. Can’t centralize all the origins because people like their individual living space, can’t centralize all the destinations because people need to do different things and go different places. Distributing everything and having it all within walking distance seems prohibitive as well. Busses and trains are fine for some segments of travel, but the overhead in transfers and wait times make them less attractive than personal transportation. My solution would be something like a web of cable car tracks(ski lift style, not streetcars), each person having an individual “pod” or two which they can hop in and select a destination. Then they trundle down an overhead cable/track, parallel to existing streets, until they can join a main line, just like we do with roads today. This is essentially a version of the “electric road” that has been harped on for so long, except not earthbound. The advantages are individuals can hop on/off a line at any point and since the lines go everywhere there is no need to use cars. They can transport people and goods in relative safety and comfort. Automatic traffic controls of the grid make the decisions about which route is the fastest and merging. If at all possible it will run at least the speed of passenger cars. Traffic can be routed around damage and since it is essentially rail lines with power supplied through the support towers, sections can be repaired easily just like power lines are today. Centralized power allows for high-efficiency/low-pollution stations to produce the power and people could pay on a per-mile basis which would probably be cheaper than operating a motor vehicle per mile.
Still, I disagree that we should just wait and see what the market comes up with. Government regulation, even heavy-handed regulation, is necessary at some points. There needs to be a baseline above which the market should not be allowed to operate, even if it is profitable. A car with crappy emissions may be really cheap to produce and sell, but it shouldn’t be allowed. The governments came down on toilet manufacturers and even though there was much wailing and gnashing of teeth, we now have toilets which can handle every bit as much waste as the old three gallon per flush models and do it on 1.6 gallons per flush.
Enjoy,
Steven
Americans like the autonomy that an automobile provides which is one of the big obstacles to mass transit. Even when I lived in Germany and had access to decent trains we still owned an automobile. I moved away from D/FW not to long after DART set up their light rail from Plano to Dallas. I liked using the light rail to get from Plano to the West End area rather then driving all the way there.
Sure. I don’t think most of us believe that any regulation is a bad idea.
Marc
Or their Honda, or their Subaru, or whatever.
This is part of the problem; if you have 2 mill people in an area, who work in say 1 mil different places, who visit umpteen million relatives or friends in umpteen million different places, then you have 2 million different standards of efficiency. Its totally rediculous to state there needs to be a ‘more efficient’ transpo system, when noone has any way of knowing whats more or less efficient for each one of those 2 million people. There is no objective standard of efficiency to go by; its purely relative to the needs and desires of each and every one of those individuals as they go through their lives.
As one of the few, possibly only, Dopers who has worked on designs for new rail lines in the US, I want to throw out one opinionated point: IMO there will be no large-scale building and operation of new lines, high speed or low, in the US, without massive, sweeping, tort reform of Biblical proportions. I mean Old Testament-type tort reform, with fire and brimstone and Satan and little guys in red suits poking trial lawyers with pitchforks…
Of the three major rail projects I’ve worked on, and the dozen or so minor ones, 100% of them have been stopped cold by nuisance lawsuits from Environmental Groups, Indian nations, homes associations, competing rail companies, and various small towns, all barking for payouts like sea lions at the zoo. I do know of one expansion (no cite, sorry, I can’t legally do that but I’m sure threre are numerous other examples) which was successful which ended up costing $9M a mile, where the actual cost was $2M per mile, and the legal costs/payouts were $7M. Thank God this was only “a few” miles of track…
Regardless of the merits, major rail development will only succeed if legislation prevents frivilous lawsuits, and punishes those who bring them with serious penalties and jail time.
Well, there will be no private or state/county city ones, no. Which is why massive rail advocates pretty much always speak at the fed level, because the fed govt excludes itself from the vast majority of those regulations. Most arguments against the fed level resolve around consitutional arguments such as the takings clause, and not around arguments based on regulations such as you describe.
Its for reasons such as this that its hard to take seriously for example claims of ‘subsidy’ for instance by the existance of govt financed of roads claimed in other parts of this (and other) threads. Private roads, turnpikes etc could all be built, but private initiatives are hampered by many regulations that the govt is not. Govt regulates its competitors, excludes itself from those same regulations, and then some people use the result as proof of govt ‘subsidy’ that for some reason we are all supposed to be grateful for.
Basically, dont expect tort reform from the govt; the system is working exactly as planned.
But there are some objective measurements we can use, Voodoochile. E.g., the amount of gasoline a given metro area consumes per capita each year. If the factor of individual satisfaction holds more or less steady (that is, everybody appears to be able to get where they want to when they want to most of the time), then the lower the per-capita fuel consumption, the higher the efficiency – “efficiency” in a sense that is of paramount importance to the community. Also, the lower the per-capita rate of traffic accidents, injuries and fatalities, the higher the efficiency, on a different but likewise important axis.