This thread is interweaving two very different questions.
- Is the demise of the agent-publisher model good for authors?
- Is the advent of the ebook good for authors?
As to question #1, I’d say it’s a very bad thing. This is coming from someone who self-published two books, and then had books published by a trade association press, a historical society, a small publishing company, and a very large publishing company.
Most authors, whether multi-talented or not, excel in one thing: writing. When self-publishing, time is taken from writing to handle all of the things that a publishing house traditionally handles, from layout to marketing. If you’re good, a publishing house with good editors, copyeditors, and proofreaders will make you better. In a traditional publishing environment, people can judge a book by the publisher. You have less competition, but the competition you have will be better, too. It raises the bar, and if you can still reach it, you will be rewarded accordingly. In a self-published (or vanity-published) world, there is far more crap for readers to wade through before they find your book; everybody with $600 and a copy of Microsoft Word can get their deathless prose in print.
As for question #2, I think ebooks can be a good thing for authors. A lot depends on the next few years. Amazon has hurt things badly, and I’m hoping that competing ereaders will diminish their near-monopoly power. Ebook versions of traditionally-published books help everybody (except distributors and brick & mortar bookstores). The models publishers want to use (which Amazon has fought) basically eliminate print costs and retailer profits and pass the savings on to the consumer. Authors and publishers make the same amount per book as they do for printed books, and publishers still have a marketing budget. Amazon’s model drives the prices down farther, provides more money for the middleman (Amazon), and reduces revenue to the publisher (who doesn’t have money to market the book anymore) and to the author.
I believe your numbers are very low. The last study I read said there are over 50,000 books per MONTH being published now.
Sure they do. My bookstore can buy PublishAmerica and iUniverse books from the same distributors as Penguin or Random House books – if I want to accept half the profit margin, non-returnable products, poor-quality printing, slower delivery, and books that haven’t been professionally edited. When I make decision about what books to stock on my shelves, there have to be some seriously compelling reasons before I’ll stock a book from PublishAmerica.