# Why was splitting Iraq into three countries not considered?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189>\
**Category:** Great Debates\
**Created:** [November 21, 2015, 4:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189 "2015-11-21T16:39:27Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 20\
**Page:** 1

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 4:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/1 "2015-11-21T16:39:27Z")

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During the Iraq war, it seemed to me that the obvious solution to the sectional infighting between the Sunnis, Shias, and Kurds in Iraq was to give each its own autonomous region with an agreement to split the oil royalties.

I’ll admit that I’m not a scholar on the relationship between these groups which hate each other, but a unified Iraq is merely a construction of past British colonialism. They have no inherent ties to one another.

If we had split the country in three, and before handing over sovereignty put safeguards in place to ensure that there was a functioning police state to punish any radicals, would that have worked better? Would there be less violence today? Would ISIS have not formed? Why was this idea not seriously considered?

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**Author:** ![Ramira](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ramira/32/344_2.png) [@Ramira](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ramira)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 4:43pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/2 "2015-11-21T16:43:53Z")

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> [@UltraVires](#):
>
> During the Iraq war, it seemed to me that the obvious solution to the sectional infighting between the Sunnis, Shias, and Kurds in Iraq was to give each its own autonomous region with an agreement to split the oil royalties.

Before you americans invaded Iraq the Arab populations were very mixed between the Sunni and the Shia - there is no single arab tribe in the Iraq that does not have both the Shia and the Sunni in them.

> [@](#):
>
> They have no inherent ties to one another.

that is nonsense. there are centuries of ties

> [@](#):
>
> If we had split the country in three,

since you demonstrated very little knowledge of the history or the relations of the communities, or the religion etc. etc. it is hard to think more competence would have occured…

why it becomes the americans choice…

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 4:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/3 "2015-11-21T16:53:23Z")

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Considered, _by whom_? If you mean the Americans, well… we were arrogant enough to invade, but not so arrogant as to think we could split the country up. If you mean the Iraqis, well, some of them probably did consider it. And if the US hadn’t interfered, it might have happened due to a Civil War. In fact, the jury is still out on that one!

The problem, of course, is where to draw the lines and what happens if your family ends up on the wrong side of one of the lines. And then, what do you do about the lack of oil in the Sunni Arab dominated areas? Messy. Very messy. Czechoslovakia was an anomaly in being able to split peacefully.

Even Biden, who sort of suggested it, was talking about a loose federation, not an actual split into different countries.

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**Author:** ![Damuri\_Ajashi](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/d/898d66/32.png) [@Damuri\_Ajashi](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Damuri_Ajashi)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 4:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/4 "2015-11-21T16:55:32Z")

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There was also the matter of where the oil fields were and where the various ethnicities were concentrated. IIRC there was more oil in the kurdish areas than sunni and shia were willing to give them.

And yes of course we could have divided them up along ethnic boundaries. We carved up the Ottoman empire and look at how well that turned out.

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**Author:** ![Stringbean](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/s/d6d6ee/32.png) [@Stringbean](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Stringbean)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 5:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/5 "2015-11-21T17:12:28Z")

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[It’s becoming an inevitability.](http://www.wsj.com/articles/iraq-inches-toward-3-way-split-1427359508)

Shoulda been done in 2003.

(Or, rather, Saddam Hussein should still be in power.)

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 5:37pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/6 "2015-11-21T17:37:21Z")

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**Ramira** would you let it go. They are not interested in your perspective, or making little things, they become experts on the region, by watching the nightly news. \*\*John Mace \*\*for instance.

It was only considered by exiles whom the U.S parachuted onto Iraq. The degree of intermarriage was quite high.

An [excellent article.](http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/8/iraq-sectarianismshiassunniskurdsnourialmalaki.html).

It was the Americans who encouraged sectarianism and ethnic profiling. Part of it was undoubtedly a hangover from a decade of encouraging fissures (an understandable act against an enemy, not a great idea in a country you wish to [remake in your image.](http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2007/05/15/AR2007051501322.html)

> [@](#):
>
> Time and again, he refers to “the formerly ruling Sunnis,” “rank-and-file Sunnis,” “the old Sunni regime,” “responsible Sunnis.” This obsession with sects informed the U.S. approach to Iraq from day one of the occupation, but it was not how Iraqis saw themselves – at least, not until very recently. Iraqis were not primarily Sunnis or Shiites; they were Iraqis first, and their sectarian identities did not become politicized until the Americans occupied their country, treating Sunnis as the bad guys and Shiites as the good guys. There were no blocs of “Sunni Iraqis” or “Shiite Iraqis” before the war, just like there was no “Sunni Triangle” or “Shiite South” until the Americans imposed ethnic and sectarian identities onto Iraq’s regions.

Even [more odiously](http://america.aljazeera.com/opinions/2014/8/iraq-sectarianismshiassunniskurdsnourialmalaki.html)

> [@](#):
>
> In Bremer’s Iraq, citizens were forced to declare a sect on all state-issued documents. Sectarian identity formed the basis of political organization: Each sect was allocated a quota in the governing council on the basis of this new social contract. Islamism became the primary (and nearly exclusive) mode of political expression.

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**Author:** ![UltraVires](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/u/ecccb3/32.png) [@UltraVires](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/UltraVires)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 5:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/7 "2015-11-21T17:38:29Z")

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> [@John\_Mace](#):
>
> Even Biden, who sort of suggested it, was talking about a loose federation, not an actual split into different countries.

That could work as well. Have an Iraqi national government similar to our previous Articles of Confederation. The only powers it has are to ensure that the oil revenues are equally distributed and to keep each faction from invading each other and the like. Otherwise make each region completely autonomous.

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**Author:** ![keeper0](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/k/b19c9b/32.png) [@keeper0](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/keeper0)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 5:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/8 "2015-11-21T17:44:45Z")

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IIRC, we were also concerned about the effect on our ally, Turkey, of having an independent Kurdistan. The Kurdish regions in Turkey would love to secede and possibly unite with the Iraqi Kurds. The Iraqi Kurdistan would be able to offer significant support to militant separatists\* in Turkey.

\*The Kurds have many legitimate grievances with the Turkish government, but the PKK are a terrorist organization. Everything is complicated, the Middle East doubly so.

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**Author:** ![Ibn\_Warraq](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/e19b73/32.png) [@Ibn\_Warraq](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ibn_Warraq)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/9 "2015-11-21T18:08:49Z")

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Thinking of Iraq as being divided into Sunnis, Shia, and Kurds is more than a little simplistic.

The Kurds after all, with exceptions are Sunni Muslims and have far more friction with Sunni Arabs than Shia Arabs. In fact Kurds and Shia Arabs have generally gotten along well.

Anyway, the idea that you could neatly divide up Iraq into an area with three ethnically homogenous areas was always a fantasy.

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**Author:** ![Ibn\_Warraq](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/i/e19b73/32.png) [@Ibn\_Warraq](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ibn_Warraq)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:11pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/10 "2015-11-21T18:11:36Z")

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> [@keeper0](#):
>
> IIRC, we were also concerned about the effect on our ally, Turkey, of having an independent Kurdistan. The Kurdish regions in Turkey would love to secede and possibly unite with the Iraqi Kurds. The Iraqi Kurdistan would be able to offer significant support to militant separatists\* in Turkey.
> 
> \*The Kurds have many legitimate grievances with the Turkish government, but the PKK are a terrorist organization. Everything is complicated, the Middle East doubly so.

AK might know better but your information is a little dated. The De Facto Kurdish state and the government of Turkey have actually gotten along and become trading partners since Turkey’s invasion and withdrawal.

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**Author:** ![Zakalwe](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/zakalwe/32/270_2.png) [@Zakalwe](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Zakalwe)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:12pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/11 "2015-11-21T18:12:13Z")

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Not to mention that we wanted to maintain a strong counter-balance to Iran and a unified Iraq was seen as a necessary part of that.

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:22pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/12 "2015-11-21T18:22:38Z")

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> [@Ibn\_Warraq](#):
>
> AK might know better but your information is a little dated. The De Facto Kurdish state and the government of Turkey have actually gotten along and become trading partners since Turkey’s invasion and withdrawal.

The 800lb gorilla in the room is Turkey’s not totally forgotten claim to Mosul.

If Iraq falls, then we will see a three way land grab between the powers in the region, Turkey and Iran.Syria would have been the third, but I hear they have been a little busy.

[QUOTE=Zakalwe]  
Not to mention that we wanted to maintain a strong counter-balance to Iran and a unified Iraq was seen as a necessary part of that.  
[/QUOTE]

No one has any idea what the United States wanted in Iraq in 2003, and certainly not the United States.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:35pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/13 "2015-11-21T18:35:04Z")

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> [@AK84](#):
>
> **Ramira** would you let it go. They are not interested in your perspective, or making little things, they become experts on the region, by watching the nightly news. \*\*John Mace \*\*for instance.

Which part of my post was factually incorrect?

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**Author:** ![marshmallow](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/m/df705f/32.png) [@marshmallow](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/marshmallow)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/14 "2015-11-21T18:38:06Z")

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Neat idea. Who gets Baghdad?

Generally partitioning isn’t looked on so favorably as a first resort. Ghosts of the partition of India. As it turned out, there ended up being a bunch of ethnic cleansing and mass population shifts anyway, but it was more organic instead of American directed.

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**Author:** ![septimus](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/septimus/32/410_2.png) [@septimus](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/septimus)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:44pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/15 "2015-11-21T18:44:35Z")

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> [@Ramira](#):
>
> Before you americans invaded Iraq the Arab populations were very mixed between the Sunni and the Shia - there is no single arab tribe in the Iraq that does not have both the Shia and the Sunni in them.  
> … there are centuries of ties

> [@AK84](#):
>
> … It was the Americans who encouraged sectarianism and ethnic profiling. Part of it was undoubtedly a hangover from a decade of encouraging fissures …  
> “In Bremer’s Iraq, citizens were forced to declare a sect on all state-issued documents.”

Thank you, **Ramira** and **AK84** for injecting notes of sanity here.

America’s neocons have reversed the old aphorism  
_If it ain’t broke, don’t fix it._  
into  
_If it ain’t broke, break it._

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**Author:** ![orcenio](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/orcenio/32/1036_2.png) [@orcenio](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/orcenio)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:46pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/16 "2015-11-21T18:46:56Z")

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> [@marshmallow](#):
>
> Neat idea. Who gets Baghdad?
> 
> Generally partitioning isn’t looked on so favorably as a first resort. Ghosts of the partition of India. As it turned out, there ended up being a bunch of ethnic cleansing and mass population shifts anyway, but it was more organic instead of American directed.

Equally, the Israeli/Palestine partition went off as swimmingly.

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**Author:** ![Northern\_Piper](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/northern_piper/32/5304_2.png) [@Northern\_Piper](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Northern_Piper)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:48pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/17 "2015-11-21T18:48:35Z")

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> [@AK84](#):
>
> No one has any idea what the United States wanted in Iraq in 2003, and certainly not the United States.

+1!

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**Author:** ![Ramira](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ramira/32/344_2.png) [@Ramira](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Ramira)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:49pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/18 "2015-11-21T18:49:40Z")

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> [@AK84](#):
>
> **Ramira** would you let it go. They are not interested in your perspective,

yes I know.  
but otherwise we get to read again and again gross distortion w/o any correction  
anyway my spouse insists on watching Barça so I distract myself.

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**Author:** ![John\_Mace](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_mace/32/185_2.png) [@John\_Mace](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Mace)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/19 "2015-11-21T18:51:50Z")

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Not buying it. The Americans may very well have exacerbated things, but we’ve seen over and over again what happens when a strong man is toppled-- either from without or from within. Ethnic tensions that were kept in check by the strongman bubble to the surface and become a reality that might have been unimaginable while the strongman was in power. Had the US toppled SH the way they helped topple Khadaffi, is anyone seriously going to propose that there wouldn’t have been a civil war not unlike what we saw after the US invasion? SERIOUSLY??? People said the same thing about Sarajevo-- how integrated and peaceful the society was when Tito was in power.

The Kurds were pretty much out of Iraq before we even invaded.

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**Author:** ![AK84](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/85e7bf/32.png) [@AK84](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/AK84)\
**Post date:** [November 21, 2015, 6:53pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/why-was-splitting-iraq-into-three-countries-not-considered/738189/20 "2015-11-21T18:53:30Z")

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> [@John\_Mace](#):
>
> Which part of my post was factually incorrect?

:smack:  
Board ate my post. I was going to say that you did infact know better then most. I owe you an apology it seems.☹

[QUOTE=John Mace]

Not buying it. The Americans may very well have exacerbated things, but we’ve seen over and over again what happens when a strong man is toppled-- either from without or from within. Ethnic tensions that were kept in check by the strongman bubble to the surface and become a reality that might have been unimaginable while the strongman was in power. Had the US toppled SH the way they helped topple Khadaffi, is anyone seriously going to propose that there wouldn’t have been a civil war not unlike what we saw after the US invasion? SERIOUSLY???

The Kurds were pretty much out of Iraq before we even invaded  
[/QUOTE]  
.

Suharto?. Zia? Musharraf? Ceausescu?. Franco?

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