Well, domestically, sure. But JACK REACHER is getting a sequel is because it made $218 million worldwide, just like KNIGHT AND DAY made $261 million worldwide and OBLIVION made $286 million worldwide: like VALKYRIE, they all failed to make it out of the double digits hereabouts but all cleared hundreds of millions globally.
Well, like I’ve noted before, the weird thing about Cruise is – you said the last decade, right? If we go back to '06, Damon was top-billed in movies that failed to even break even, like GREEN ZONE and PROMISED LAND; and never mind the stuff that failed to double its budget, like THE GOOD SHEPHERD or THE INFORMANT.
And what did he star in during the decade before that? Again, leaving aside ones that failed to double their budgets, like THE BROTHERS GRIMM and STUCK ON YOU, he was top-billed in ALL THE PRETTY HORSES and TITAN AE, which failed to break even.
And we can’t go back a third decade, because Damon wasn’t top-billed in anything before '96; by contrast, every single thing that Cruise has been top-billed in has more than doubled its budget if you go back those ten years to '06 – and twenty years, to '96 – and thirty years, to '86, with TOP GUN.
Cruise has a three-decade hot streak as a leading man in films that more than double their budgets – but I can’t go back to '06 in Affleck’s filmography without first noting how THE COMPANY MEN failed to break even, and I can’t go back to '96 without first noting how GIGLI died on arrival likewise; and I can’t go back any further, because he wasn’t a top-billed movie star before '96; I can only mention how he failed to break even heading up REINDEER GAMES and SURVIVING CHRISTMAS.
(And, again, that’s leaving aside all the Affleck star vehicles that fail to double their budgets: BOUNCE and PAYCHECK and JERSEY GIRL and FORCES OF NATURE all fell short of that the way Cruise hasn’t, but at least they didn’t stink up the joint.)