# Will the stock market tank when boomers retire en masse? **URL:** \ **Category:** In My Humble Opinion\ **Created:** [January 18, 2007, 8:21pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501 "2007-01-18T20:21:27Z")\ **Posts on this page:** 6\ **Page:** 2
**Author:** ![What\_Exit](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/what_exit/32/10652_2.png) [@What\_Exit](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/What_Exit)\ **Post date:** [January 19, 2007, 11:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/21 "2007-01-19T23:55:39Z")
[QUOTE=ratatoskK] They’re already retiring now. Do you see the stock market changing _because of this?_ And if so, do you think it’s going to _continue changing in the same manner for the next 20 years?_ I don’t think so. Not to say that the boomer generation won’t have any effect, just that it won’t be sustained over 20 years. [/QUOTE] I thought the oldest Boomers were only 60 or 61? Not very many of them are retiring yet, but many are moving to moderate and low risk investments already. Jim ---
**Author:** ![ratatoskK](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/ratatoskk/32/2987_2.png) [@ratatoskK](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ratatoskK)\ **Post date:** [January 19, 2007, 11:57pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/22 "2007-01-19T23:57:51Z")
They’re retiring already, believe me, I know some. ---
**Author:** ![Plan\_B](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Plan\_B](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Plan_B)\ **Post date:** [January 20, 2007, 2:59am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/23 "2007-01-20T02:59:21Z")
Harry Dent has written a few books on this and he says the market goes up until 2010, then goes down for 15 years. I think he’s right. He’s done very well in the past. Here’s a link to his most recent book. Take a look at the reviews: > **[Amazon.com: The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in...](https://www.amazon.com/Next-Great-Bubble-Boom-2006-2010/dp/0743288483)** > > Amazon.com: The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History: 2006-2010: 9780743288484: Dent Jr., Harry S. BTW, I’ve pretty much had all my savings and retirement money in US stocks because of Dent and I’m very happy to have followed his advice. I’m in no hurry to make any changes but I’d say there’s a good chance I sell half in 2009 and half in 2010. ---
**Author:** ![astorian](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/a/ad7895/32.png) [@astorian](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/astorian)\ **Post date:** [January 20, 2007, 6:18am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/24 "2007-01-20T06:18:21Z")
[QUOTE=Paul in Saudi] I have long worried about this. The way it was explained to me is that all that sold stuff has to go somewhere, and this time it is going to China. The expanding Asian economies will suck up the stuff my generation will be selling. This way we assure our own comfort and ensure Chinese will be the language of the future. Maybe. [/QUOTE] You think CHINA is going to benefit from OUR demographic problems? Guess again! China’s demographics are much more out of whack than ours. Their huge population skews very old, and before long, they’re going to have a sea of senior citizens and nowhere near enough young people to support them (all those years of a one-child only policy have had consequences). ---
**Author:** ![ParentalAdvisory](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/53a042/32.png) [@ParentalAdvisory](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ParentalAdvisory)\ **Post date:** [January 20, 2007, 7:33am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/25 "2007-01-20T07:33:45Z")
[QUOTE=Plan B] Harry Dent has written a few books on this and he says the market goes up until 2010, then goes down for 15 years. I think he’s right. He’s done very well in the past. Here’s a link to his most recent book. Take a look at the reviews: > **[The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History:...](https://www.amazon.com/Next-Great-Bubble-Boom-2006-2010/dp/0743288483)** > > The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History: 2006-2010 \[Dent Jr., Harry S.\] on Amazon.com. \*FREE\* shipping on qualifying offers. The Next Great Bubble Boom: How to Profit from the Greatest Boom in History: 2006-2010 BTW, I’ve pretty much had all my savings and retirement money in US stocks because of Dent and I’m very happy to have followed his advice. I’m in no hurry to make any changes but I’d say there’s a good chance I sell half in 2009 and half in 2010. [/QUOTE] I don’t know about this. What if you sell and the market goes up 20%? My plan is to buy and hold now, and if it tanks, buy a heck of a lot more. Sadly, no one can pridict the market, this includes Mr. Dent. ---
**Author:** ![Plan\_B](https://avatars.discourse-cdn.com/v4/letter/p/3ec8ea/32.png) [@Plan\_B](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Plan_B)\ **Post date:** [January 22, 2007, 12:31am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501/26 "2007-01-22T00:31:10Z")
[QUOTE=ParentalAdvisory] I don’t know about this. What if you sell and the market goes up 20%? My plan is to buy and hold now, and if it tanks, buy a heck of a lot more. Sadly, no one can pridict the market, this includes Mr. Dent. [/QUOTE] Well if that happens, then I guess I’d be pretty sad, but I’ve made so much by following his advice I’d still be ahead . I think Dent has done pretty well lately. As Yogi Berra says, You could look it up. [Previous page](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/will-the-stock-market-tank-when-boomers-retire-en-masse/388501.md?page=1)