# WTF happened to improve Trump’s odds of re-election?

**URL:** <https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wtf-happened-to-improve-trump-s-odds-of-re-election/914869>\
**Category:** Politics & Elections\
**Created:** [July 9, 2020, 9:14pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wtf-happened-to-improve-trump-s-odds-of-re-election/914869 "2020-07-09T21:14:24Z")\
**Posts on this page:** 1\
**Showing post:** 142

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**Author:** ![John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://sea3.discourse-cdn.com/straightdope/user_avatar/boards.straightdope.com/john_stamos_left_ear/32/3198_2.png) [@John\_Stamos\_Left\_Ear](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/John_Stamos_Left_Ear)\
**Post date:** [July 15, 2020, 7:51am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/wtf-happened-to-improve-trump-s-odds-of-re-election/914869/142 "2020-07-15T07:51:22Z")

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> [@DrDeth](#):
>
> About eight people out of ten. That is decent numbers, 80% of the people I know that admitted voting for trump are now “never trumpers”.

This is a Biased Sample Fallacy - anecdotal and with confirmation bias.

However, Trump doesn’t have to lose 80% of his supporters to lose. Even even if Biden doesn’t pick up a single vote beyond the 66 million Hillary got and Trump gets 97% of his voters to come out for him again, that margin of just 3% don’t even have to vote for Biden, they just simply don’t vote or pick a third party candidate, and that alone will be enough to swing the results.

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