# Yikes! It's Ike!
**URL:** https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980
**Category:** Miscellaneous and Personal Stuff I Must Share
**Created:** [September 4, 2008, 1:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980 "2008-09-04T13:27:41Z")
**Posts on this page:** 20
**Page:** 1
### Author:  [@ivylass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ivylass)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 1:27pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/1 "2008-09-04T13:27:41Z")
Link below updates regularly.
[http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm\_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0908W5+gif/144313W\_sm.gif](http://www.nhc.noaa.gov/storm_graphics/AT09/refresh/AL0908W5+gif/144313W_sm.gif)
From what I heard on the radio, if a Great Lakes/Ohio Valley trough moves fast enough, it will deflect Ike away from Florida.
If it doesn’t, Florida will get hit…and it’s a Cat 4 now.
Yikes!
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### Author:  [@Caprese](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Caprese)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 1:55pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/2 "2008-09-04T13:55:13Z")
I’ve been watching Hanna and her sisters (please excuse the pun.)
Ike looks absolutely ferocious.
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### Author:  [@MacTech](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/MacTech)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 2:08pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/3 "2008-09-04T14:08:30Z")
Hopefully, Ike will burn himself out in the open ocean before he threatens any land masses, if he expends all his energy in the open ocean, he may be no more of a threat than a tropical depression by the time he makes landfall
I (don’t) like Ike!
Oops, just checked the linked NOAA graphic, Ike is a lot closer to land than I expected, this could be a bad one
Impeach Ike!!
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### Author:  [@RyJae](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/RyJae)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 2:09pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/4 "2008-09-04T14:09:17Z")
Yeah this 1-2-3 looks so dangerous. Are they all looking like East Coast hits?
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### Author:  [@Open\_Your\_Eyes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Open_Your_Eyes)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 10:20pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/5 "2008-09-04T22:20:36Z")
I know ☹
It’s looking horridly big and the perfect little destroy-everything-in-its-path hurricane. Some of the computer models says it’s coming directly towards me (southeastern Florida).
Nothing says ‘summer’ like lugging around shutters, no electricity for weeks, floods, long lines at the service stations, and that wonderful feeling of panic :smack:
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### Author:  [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 10:34pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/6 "2008-09-04T22:34:18Z")
hanna and ike at this time look like they are heading for eastern shore fronts.
josephine they are not sure of right now.
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### Author:  [@vix](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/vix)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 10:39pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/7 "2008-09-04T22:39:16Z")
Where are you (approximately), **Open Your Eyes**? We’re just south of West Palm Beach and east of Rt. 95. At the moment, next week is looking like evacuation time for us. If not north, then certainly west. Yikes.
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### Author:  [@Open\_Your\_Eyes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Open_Your_Eyes)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 10:51pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/8 "2008-09-04T22:51:57Z")
I’m at the most northern part of eastern Broward county. Sounds like we’re pretty close, **Vix**.
My mother was, in fact, saying something about going west if Ike decides to come. I’m totally going if it involves an awesome hotel and pool access 😃
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### Author:  [@ladybug](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ladybug)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 10:56pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/9 "2008-09-04T22:56:20Z")
> [@vix](#):
>
> Where are you (approximately), **Open Your Eyes**? We’re just south of West Palm Beach and east of Rt. 95. At the moment, next week is looking like evacuation time for us. If not north, then certainly west. Yikes.
I’m debating whether to evacuate. I was here for Jeanne and Wilma, but I think Ike is going to be worse.
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### Author:  [@Open\_Your\_Eyes](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Open_Your_Eyes)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 11:02pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/10 "2008-09-04T23:02:22Z")
Ugh, Wilma! That was one horrible week without electricity, water, food, or plumbing.
Luckily enough, a few days preceding the storm were oddly very very cold so a/c wasn’t necessary.
I will never forget the last meal I had before I got back electricity: a very stale pop-tart with room-temperature powdered milk from a thermos with water approximately seven days old.
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### Author:  [@ivylass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ivylass)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 11:13pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/11 "2008-09-04T23:13:55Z")
Luckily I anticipated at work, and got my team working ahead, so when official word came down, we were pretty much ready.
We’re caught in the middle between engineering “We Need to Bug Out Now” and sales “But We Need to Make Money” and at this point, all I can do is point the VPs at each other and let them fight it out.
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### Author:  [@Labtrash](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Labtrash)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 11:24pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/12 "2008-09-04T23:24:27Z")
At one time, I could look up from my house and see one of the “forecast paths” for Hanna directly above me, but now it looks like North Carolina may get it instead. I’ve been here for about 11 years, and they ALL moved into NC around Wilmington.
Apparently, God _HATES_ Wilmington, especially during hurricane season.
Bonnie in 1998
Floyd & Irene in 1999
Kyle in 2002
Bonnie & Charley in 2004
Ophelia in 2005 (didn’t hit, but got close enough)
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### Author:  [@ladybug](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ladybug)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 11:26pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/13 "2008-09-04T23:26:29Z")
> [@ivylass](#):
>
> We’re caught in the middle between engineering “We Need to Bug Out Now” and sales “But We Need to Make Money” and at this point, all I can do is point the VPs at each other and let them fight it out.
Just think of the VP Battle as free entertainment. 🙂
The managers in my company are taking this storm seriously. We’re expecting to miss at least one day next week, more if we lose power. Fortunately my coworkers and I met all of our deadlines at least a week in advance. We’ve gotten so good at this that it’s almost scary.
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### Author:  [@ivylass](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/ivylass)
#### Post date: [September 4, 2008, 11:38pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/14 "2008-09-04T23:38:17Z")
> [@ladybug](#):
>
> Just think of the VP Battle as free entertainment. 🙂
Are you kidding me? This will be fought out over phones behind closed doors, not in the middle of the hallways in front of us peons, more’s the pity. I’ve only overheard one knockdown-drag out fight and that VP is no longer with the company.
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### Author:  [@NinetyWt](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/NinetyWt)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 1:27am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/15 "2008-09-05T01:27:39Z")
I followed [this blog](http://www.wunderground.com/blog/JeffMasters) throughout Gustav and found it easy to understand and informative. User comments follow the main blog post; many of those users are weather folks who post details you won’t find in major media weather reports.
[QUOTE=JeffMasters, 4:38 PM EDT on September 04, 2008]
Ike’s long-term fate has two main possibilities:
1. Ike may hit eastern Cuba, as forecast by the latest (12Z, 8am EDT) runs of the GFDL and ECMWF models, and a number of ensemble members of the latest 12Z GFS model (Figure 2). A hit on Cuba would severely disrupt the storm, weakening it to a Category 1 or 2. Ike could then move on into the Gulf of Mexico and re-intensify, as forecast by the ECMWF model.
2. Ike may plow through the Bahamas and come very close to South Florida (the consensus of the HWRF, NOGAPS, and GFS models). A trough of low pressure may then pull Ike to north. This turn to the north might occur over Florida, or over the western Bahamas, within 200 miles of the Florida coast. In the latter case, North Carolina might be at risk. The recent model trend has been to depict a weaker trough, resulting in Ike getting stranded, like Fay and Gustav did. Ike would resume a slow motion to the west as ridge of pressure builds in, potentially crossing Florida into the Gulf of Mexico.
There is a third possibility–Ike may recurve before hitting the U.S., and move harmlessly out to sea. That possibility appears lower probability than cases 1 and 2 above, at this point.
[/QUOTE]
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### Author:  [@rocking\_chair](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/rocking_chair)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 1:28am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/16 "2008-09-05T01:28:25Z")
> [@labtrash](#):
>
> At one time, I could look up from my house and see one of the “forecast paths” for Hanna directly above me, but now it looks like North Carolina may get it instead. I’ve been here for about 11 years, and they ALL moved into NC around Wilmington.
>
> Apparently, God _HATES_ Wilmington, especially during hurricane season.
>
> Bonnie in 1998
> Floyd & Irene in 1999
> Kyle in 2002
> Bonnie & Charley in 2004
> Ophelia in 2005 (didn’t hit, but got close enough)
that’s what happens when you stick your nose out in the ocean. when you go further north, conn. and r.i. get the undercut on the new england jaw.
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### Author:  [@BiblioCat](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/BiblioCat)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 2:43am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/17 "2008-09-05T02:43:32Z")
I’m keeping my eye on Hanna and Josephine. Hanna’s on track towards the Mid-Atlantic, and if Josephine continues in a somewhat straight line, she’ll be right behind Hanna.
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### Author:  [@Duckster](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Duckster)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 3:23am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/18 "2008-09-05T03:23:27Z")
And folks are astonished I choose to live in volcano and earthquake country.
A sincere good luck to all you Coasties.
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### Author:  [@Labtrash](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Labtrash)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 9:45am UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/19 "2008-09-05T09:45:26Z")
Uh oh. :eek:
The landfall line this morning for Hanna has moved BACK over my house (OK, just to the right, but that’ll do)!!
My main concern, though, remains Ike. If it takes a Northerly turn, ouch. Two of the 5 computer models show a northerly turn BEFORE Florida.
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### Author:  [@Dung\_Beetle](https://boards.straightdope.com/u/Dung_Beetle)
#### Post date: [September 5, 2008, 1:29pm UTC](https://boards.straightdope.com/t/yikes-its-ike/461980/20 "2008-09-05T13:29:16Z")
I’m almost beginning to think I should possibly consider maybe asking my husband about buying some hurricane supplies. Sometime.
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