You’re apparently confused about the difference between Milankovitch cycles and anthropogenic carbon emissions. The long-term periodic changes in the earth’s orbit that ultimately drive the cycles of ice ages, glaciation and interglacial periods aren’t sufficient to account for the increasing warming observed in the last several decades.
It always astonishes me how cavalierly many people, who in other contexts seem to have a fairly good grasp of basic notions of cause and effect, take it for granted that when it comes to climate change, any old half-assed explanation will do even if it doesn’t cover the facts.
That’s kind of like saying that if your checking account balance suddenly starts decreasing by fifty dollars a day via a series of mysterious withdrawals that you didn’t authorize, you shouldn’t worry about it because your account balance periodically fluctuates over time anyway as you receive paychecks and pay bills.
If you were losing fifty dollars a day through withdrawals you weren’t responsible for, you wouldn’t just say “oh well, my account periodically loses money to bill payment anyway so never mind”, you’d investigate the anomaly. If anybody tried to persuade you that all balance decreases are essentially the same thing and must all be due to the same source so the anomaly is nothing to worry about, you’d call that person a willfully ignorant idiot. And you’d be right.
Yet many science deniers seem to have absolutely no qualms about being that kind of willfully ignorant idiot when they’re talking about observed climate data instead of observed bank balances. They see a phenomenon that needs explanation, and they blithely assume they can explain it by cherry-picking whatever proposed cause they find convenient, completely irrespective of whether it’s scientifically adequate to explain the phenomenon.
[QUOTE=doorhinge]
Your chosen method of trying to create an consensus among the voters seems to consist primarily of trying to bully, shout down, and name-call those who disagree with you or find the UN/IPCC projections to be unbelievable.
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It isn’t bullying, shouting down or name-calling to point out that people who rely on their personal gut instincts about “believability” when dealing with complex scientific topics that they don’t understand are acting out of ignorance and foolish complacency.
A lot of scientific facts seem “unbelievable” to the average ignorant layperson. That doesn’t mean that they’re not true. Nor does it mean that the average ignorant layperson’s opinion about them is comparable to that of a knowledgeable scientist.