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#1
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Re "50 things you are not supposed to know" has anyone fact checked these claims?
There is a book called "50 things you are not supposed to know" which I have not read but supposed contains these claims. Just in relying on general knowledge a fair portion are true, but are they ALL true? Which ones are false?
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#2
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Boy, you don't ask for much do you?
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#3
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I'm not looking for anyone to take the whole thing on, I'm really just interested in the ones that are demonstrably false or highly questionable. In scanning the list it appears that that the large majority are true, or could be true, in some form or fashion. Things like "The Auschwitz Tattoo Was Originally an IBM Code Number" is one thing I have a little trouble swallowing, and also "For Low-Risk People, a Positive Result from an HIV Test Is Wrong Half the Time" seems a pretty high false positive. Last edited by astro; 08-02-2009 at 11:04 AM. |
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#4
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38.The Suicide Rate Is Highest Among the Elderly
I will take this one on. Actual suicides are highest among teens and young adults due to the fact that this age group is more emotional and impulsive. Of course, short of a note, many accidents could be ruled as suicide. The trouble with this list is that a lot of the statements are not provable one way or the other. Exactly how do you almost start World War III, and what would World War III even be? Or how does the US plan to provoke terroristic attacks? By being in Iraq and Afghanistan? SSG Schwartz |
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#5
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On the HIV thing. Suppose the test is 99% accurate. 99% of the time if you have HIV, you'll test postive and 1% of the time you'll test negative. 99% of the time if you don't have HIV you'll test negative and 1% of the time you'll test positive.
It's easy to see that in a statistical universe where HIV is uncommon you'll get a lot more false positives than true positives. Say, if you test 10,000 people and of those people 100 actually have HIV. 9900 are HIV negative, the test is 99% accurate, so you get 9801 negative results from them, and 99 postive results. 100 are HIV positive, so you get 99 postive results and 1 negative result. So in this universe, half the people who test positive are actually negative, even though the test is 99% accurate. |
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#6
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#7
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No, the highest suicide rate is the age group between 75 and 84:
http://www.suicide.org/suicide-statistics.html I've read the book and mostly it's pretty accurate. Is there any particular claim that you're saying isn't true? |
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#8
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Well, some of them are sufficiently vague or untestable. For instance:
The HIV test thing: just look up the probability that the test will show an incorrect result, given a certain HIV status. If an individual's probability to be HIV positive is equal to this probability (prior to taking the test), and the test then shows positive, then the probability of the positive being false is one half. Carl Sagan is an avid pot smoker: we just need to define the word avid appropriately Most scientists don't read all the articles: does that include cases where they only read parts of it? World War one almost started in 1995: "almost" can be stretched quite a bit. I guess we'd need the full explanations from the book to be able to evaluate the claims. |
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#9
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O.K., you asked specifically about the Auschwitz tattoo being an IBM number. Try this: Google on "Auschwitz," "tattoo," and "IBM." You'll find a lot of pages talking about it. You know, astro, you ask a lot of questions, and you don't seem to do any Googling to find the answers yourself very much. You know, you can learn to be a good researcher yourself if you'd just try.
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#10
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#11
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Furthermore, why don't you read the book? Do you think that your time is too important to read a book?
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#12
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Here's the page that you would have found if you'd Googled on "Virginia," "colonists," "practiced," and "cannibalism"
http://50thingstonotknow.blogspot.co...practiced.html Really, you can answer most of your questions much faster by Googling on them rather than asking them on the SDMB. |
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#13
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#14
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I'll take on as many as I can say something intelligent about.
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Second: Crimes according to whose laws? Quote:
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__________________
"Ridicule is the only weapon that can be used against unintelligible propositions. Ideas must be distinct before reason can act upon them." If you don't stop to analyze the snot spray, you are missing that which is best in life. - Miller I'm not sure why this is, but I actually find this idea grosser than cannibalism. - Excalibre, after reading one of my surefire million-seller business plans. |
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#15
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In any case, Pasteur's principle theories have been shown to be correct - which experiments is he alledged to have suppressed? The best known allegation of scientific impropriety on Pasteur's behalf is to do with his preparation of the anthrax vaccine (discussed on his wikipedia page, where he claimed one method whilst secretly using a competitor's, possible for commercial reasons). That's not the same thing at all as suppressing an experiment. Thanks for posting the list in any case Astro- some interesting factoids. The one about the bombs falling on NC is a good one that I'd not heard of. |
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#16
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I have nothing substantive to add. But am I the only one who thought of the scene in History of the World: Part One where the empress is picking out escorts from the legion?
"Yes, no, no, no, no, no, no yes..." |
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#17
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#18
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A lot of these statements are misleading at best when condensed into a one-liner, but might make sense given a page or three of elaboration. Really, to fact-check them, we'd need the entire book, not just the table of contents.
__________________
Time travels in divers paces with divers persons. --As You Like It, III:ii:328 |
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#19
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Some of these definitely seem
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#20
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A lot of these seems to be written in a provacative or vague way designed to make you think one way when in fact the real story was much more mundane. For example the nuclear bomb headline was written to make one think they were purposefully dropped as in Hiroshima, but a more accurate (and boring) headline would be "Plane carrying nuclear bombs crashes"
Ok so it wouldn't be THAT boring, but still less vague and interesting than the original headline Quote:
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#21
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If the lists of "wacky laws" is any indication, no one checks. Most of those laws don't exist!
But back to the OP. I suspect that in many of these claims, they are actually true and not as strange once you see why. Take for example Quote:
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#22
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[quote=Derleth;11402719]I'll take on as many as I can say something intelligent about.
This is meaningless. The Roman Catholics and Lutherans, the Jews, the Orthodox Catholics, and the Anglicans and other Christian denominations each have their own version of the Ten Commandments. The only difference is which rule goes with which commandment. Wikipedia has a good overview. It is not meaningless. All the versions you site come from the ethical decalogue. However in the bible it is the ritual decalogue Exodus 34:10-26 that is written on the tablets. It is a very different list. |
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#23
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__________________
An American flodnak in Oslo. Do not open cover; no user serviceable parts inside. |
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#24
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#25
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#26
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Don't they do a lot of wire tapping? Maybe each tapped phone call is considered a separate crime or something like that.
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#27
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Some of these are just stupid:
24.The Government Can Take Your House and Land, Then Sell Them to Private Corporations Yes, it's called Eminent Domain. 32.Smoking Causes Problems Other Than Lung Cancer and Heart Disease No shit 37.Work Kills More People Than War This is not surprising to anyone with half a brain. 41.An FBI Expert Testified That Lie Detectors Are Worthless for Security Screening Which is why they are not generally used for security screening or in court. 44.Carl Sagan Was an Avid Pot-Smoker Get..the fuck...OUT 48.You Can Mail Letters for Little or No Cost Yes...$0.44 |
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#28
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#29
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Certain ones are easy to verify
11.The Korean War Never Ended Correct, althought hostilities ceased there was no formal peace. However there still is not formal peace between Japan and the Soviet Union or its successor state Russia. Big deal they are not fighting. Does this mean WWII isn't over. Well I guess technically. But for all intents and purposes it is. Some of them like The Bayer Company Made Heroin, are true but that was a long time back when heroin was not a controlled substance. Most drugs prior to the modern eras (1950s forward) at one time were not controlled substances. It's like when people say Joseph Kennedy made his money by doing illegal things. Well this isn't really true. While it's true things Joe Kennedy Sr did would be illegal today, when he did them, no one had thought to make them illegal yet. Then there are questions like 7.The US Is Planning to Provoke Terrorist Attacks This is so wide open it's true. In fact the September 11th attacks were provoked, at least in Osama's viewpoint. I think the point of these type of articles isn't to provide a factual answer it's to provoke a discussion of an issue, which is can be fun to talk about. |
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#30
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21.Electric Cars Have Been Around Since the 1880s
Yes, however only recently have they approached the speed, performance and cost of gasoline powered cars. |
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#31
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Margaret Sanger was in to eugenics, but felt that parents rather than the state should decide how to do this (unless they were "feebleminded" in which they were to be sterilized). She was much less radical than others of her time (for instance she opposed euthanasia of the "unfit".
__________________
No Gods, No Masters Last edited by alphaboi867; 08-02-2009 at 03:48 PM. |
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#32
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The Orangeburg massacre occurred two years before Kent State. Quote:
Last edited by Colibri; 08-02-2009 at 04:21 PM. |
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#33
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Knowing how much radiation their patients are being exposed to is certainly part of their job.
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#34
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#35
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Apart from the half-truths, fractional truths, unprovables and flat-out nitwittery, the major problem with the list is that favorite meme of the woo-prone and conspiracy-minded, i.e. "things you are not supposed to know". Virtually nothing on the list can honestly be viewed as such, or less how would the idiots who spout that stuff come across the information? We're supposed to believe they're so much more intelligent and perceptive than the rest of us?
Among the more ludicrous allegations: we're not supposed to know that smoking causes more problems than cancer and heart disease. What hole do they assume we're living in, not to have heard of conditions like chronic bronchitis and emphysema? Was the Surgeon General's announcement of the disorders caused by secondhand smoke made in secret, so that we wouldn't learn that secondhand smoke causes asthma, lower respiratory tract infections and premature death in children? Somebody better tell the national news media and Google that they're doing a lousy job suppressing this information. And "advertisers' influence on the news media is widespread". Nooooo! Say it isn't so!!! Those little movies they show between entertainment program segments aren't public service announcements to help us choose non-disintegrating toilet paper and cheap car insurance? They pay the media to let them say those things? My faith in mankind has been shattered. ![]() The "Louis Pasteur suppressed experiments" thing sounds like the blattings of those loon-tunes who also claim (falsely) that Pasteur confessed on his deathbed that the germ theory of disease was wrong. You'll have to excuse me now, I'm going to fill my gas tank with water, put in a little pill and go 500 miles on a single tank. I'd say more, but YOU'RE NOT SUPPOSED TO KNOW!!!! Last edited by Jackmannii; 08-02-2009 at 06:02 PM. |
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#36
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Now, that doesn't mean the *politics* of it aren't debatable/objectionable, but that's a whole 'nuther thread. . . |
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#37
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Let me address #27, which I have personal experience of. Of course, I haven't read all of any paper I cite (excepting, I guess, my own). Who could? Generally I cite a paper either because I need one fact from it or else because the referee believes that I should. I have several citations that say that what I have done is different from what X (often the referee, I am guessing) has done. This way, X gets a citation and I get a paper published.
I recently had the experience of helping translate a 100+ page paper from French that I had cited a number of times in my work. I discovered that I had not read the paper before in its entirety, had no real idea that what I had cited was a small part of a very large theory and there were large parts of it I was not able to follow. So I would agree with the claim, but so what? |
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#38
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"Not supposed to know" implies someone is or was actively covering them up. I'd say most of them are simply obscure trivia that are not common knowledge.
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#39
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That may be, but why is anyone interested in them? Adolf Hitler -- with an F -- was the infamous one. Adolph is just a lousy homophone.
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#40
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I take issue with this one:
0. "50 things you are not supposed to know." This is incorrect. Last edited by Chief Pedant; 08-02-2009 at 07:29 PM. |
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#41
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33.Herds of Milk-Producing Cows Are Rife With Bovine Leukemia Virus
This is true, but it's no real reason to be alarmed. Lymphoma only develops in a small proportion of infected cows. The virus is completely harmless to humans (assuming they're not dumb enough to inject billions of the viruses directly into their bloodstream or something like that). |
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#42
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This is an interesting thread. Don't crap on it. |
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#43
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50.The World’s Museums Contain Innumerable Fakes
IANAMuseum Expert, but I'll wager this one is right, in that perhaps many are hidden to thwart thieves or to be studied? |
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#44
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This claim comes from a paper investigating the propagation of citation errors (here's the New Scientist piece the blog refers to). Since very specific errors are repeated, the researchers conclude that scientists must be copy-pasting citations at a surprisingly high rate. From that, they conclude that the scientists don't actually read the papers they cite, but just copy-paste the citation. Which is plausible, I suppose, but it's a jump in logic. I know I find papers a lot through citations in other papers. Since I've already written or copied the citation from the first paper, its pretty easy to just use that, because it's already in the right format (presumably). Plus, maybe I made an actual paper copy of the paper I'm citing, and it doesn't have the volume number on it, or the editors of the proceedings, or whatever. Easier to copy-paste. Maybe the original authors (Mikhail Simkin and Vwani Roychowdhury ) discuss this in their research, but if not, I'm pretty skeptical that the data support their conclusion. |
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#45
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And even if the citation itself is copied, it doesn't mean the scientist didn't read the paper. Like zut, I have sometimes read a paper in a journal, so I know what it says; but then when I come to write my own paper I may look at the citation in another paper I have on hand rather than go back and check the original to make sure every detail is correct. Last edited by Colibri; 08-02-2009 at 08:26 PM. |
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#46
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First, why is almost every word in this list capitalized? I hate that.
"3.The CIA Commits Over 100,000 Serious Crimes Each Year" This comes from a 1996 report by the House of Representatives’ Permanent Select Committee on Intelligence titled “IC21: The Intelligence Community in the 21st Century.” It is used by conspiracy theorists to allude to murder, assassination, etc, but the report is obviously saying these guys are spying, and spying can get you in trouble with the people you're spying on. "Most of the operations of the CS are, by all accounts, the most tricky, politically sensitive, and troublesome of those in the IC and frequently require the DCI's close personal attention. The CS is the only part of the IC, indeed of the government, where hundreds of employees on a daily basis are directed to break extremely serious laws in counties around the world in the face of frequently sophisticated efforts by foreign governments to catch them. A safe estimate is that several hundred times every day (easily 100,000 times a year) DO officers engage in highly illegal activities (according to foreign law) that not only risk political embarrassment to the US but also endanger the freedom if not lives of the participating foreign nationals and, more than occasionally, of the clandestine officer himself. In other words, a typical 28 year old, GS-11 case officer has numerous opportunities every week, by poor tradecraft or inattention, to embarrass his country and President and to get agents imprisoned or executed. Considering these facts and recent history, which has shown that the DCI, whether he wants to or not, is held accountable for overseeing the CS, the DCI must work closely with the Director of the CS and hold him fully and directly responsible to him." "45.One of the Heroes of Black Hawk Down Is a Convicted Child Molester" Well, one of the characters in the movie (Grimes) is a fictional person believed to be based on a real person who was there and who was later convicted on child molestation. |
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#47
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With regard to #19, it is probably a reference to the alleged anti-abortion sentiments of Susan B. Anthony, which are contentious, to say the least.
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#48
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I would also submit that, in this case, the definition of "fake" is also being stretched to cover replicas or reproductions of things to- for example, there's only one Rosetta Stone, which the British Museum have, but there is also a replica in the Egyptian Museum in Cairo, and presumably elsewhere. Are these other Rosetta Stones "fake"? Well, in the sense they're not the Original One, yes. But they're also faithful replicas/reproductions of the original, and they're acknowledged as such, so they're not "fake" in the generally accepted sense of the word (ie a non-genuine article being passed off as genuine).
Last edited by Martini Enfield; 08-03-2009 at 02:23 AM. |
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#49
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#50
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The original resarchers state: "As a preliminary attempt, one can estimate an upper bound on the ratio of the number of readers to the number of citers, R, as the ratio of the number of distinct misprints, D, to the total number of misprints, T." In other words, as a first cut, they assume that the percentage of copiers in the non-misprints is the same as the number of copiers in the misprints, namely, (196-45)/196. Although there's no proof that the percentages of copiers are the same in the two populations, that seems like a reasonable conclusion, at least until more data are taken. However, where I disagree with the conclusion is where the paper explicitly handwaves away any alternative explanation of copied citations: Quote:
ETA: In any case, the original factoid 29 in the OP is based on actual research. Research with questionable conclusions, in my mind, but it's not made up from whole cloth. Last edited by zut; 08-03-2009 at 07:40 AM. |
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