Excellent.
Alright, keep in mind, the situation I described, where it turns out the TVs match half the time… there’s nothing logically/mathematically incoherent about it. It’s something which could in fact happen. Indeed, experiment shows that it does in fact happen, for a certain kind of quantum mechanical “TV”.
But let’s get back to what’s interesting about it.
As we saw, it can’t be the case that every channel is independently randomly picking programming, since this would actually cause a 2/3 match rate. But that’s not so weird; perhaps the channels coordinate their schedules with each other in some way, or show biases towards certain genres. And certainly, one can achieve a lower match rate by doing so: if ABC and NBC always show comedies and CBS always shows dramas, then the match rate would actually be 5/9 (4/9 of the time you’d both see comedies and 1/9 of the time you’d both see dramas).
But 5/9 is still larger than 1/2. Indeed, as you came close to establishing yourself, this is the best one can “classically” do, in the following sense: as you noted, if we consider there to be a specific genre being shown on each channel in each timeslot, then at any moment, either two or all three channels are showing the same genre. If the viewers’ random channel selections are independent of the channels’ programming, then the viewers will match genres 5/9 of the times when just two channels show the same genre, and will match 100% of the time when all three channels show the same genre. Overall, therefore, the match rate must be between 5/9 and 100%; that is, at least 5/9.
But 1/2 is clearly less than 5/9. Therefore, any attempt to (even retrospectively) create a TV guide consistent with all viewers’ experiences will end up displaying some correlation between the viewers’ ostensibly random channel selections and the channels’ programming schedule.
This still isn’t so bad; why shouldn’t there be any correlation? For that matter, who’s to say there’s even any fact of the matter as to what’s being displayed on the unwatched channels; perhaps the TVs just make it all up as they go along in response to the viewers’ channel selections, the latter of course influencing the former.
But… there is still that business about how the TVs always agree whenever they’re tuned into the same channel. So now let’s explore its ramifications by introducing some new characters: the Broadcaster and the Nielsen Men (one on each coast).
I’ll make no starting assumptions about what information the Broadcaster has access to; for example, they may or may not be able to construct a consistent TV guide. As for the NY and LA Nielsen Men, each has access to precisely whatever information The Broadcaster has, plus the channel selection and displayed program at their location.
Now, the really interesting thing is, at least one of two things must hold:
A) The Broadcaster sometimes has information correlated with the viewers’ channel selections [so that, for example, there is a way for The Broadcaster to sometimes make predictions as to who will pick which channel, and be correct more than 1/9 of the time when he makes a prediction]
and/or
B) One of the Nielsen men on one coast sometimes has more knowledge about the other coast than The Broadcaster has [so that, for example, there is a way for the Nielsen man on one coast to sometimes confidently rule out a particular channel-genre combination on the other coast, even though The Broadcaster could not rule it out]
Why is this? Well, the negation of B) essentially states that whenever The Broadcaster can rule out “X happening in NY simultaneously with Y happening in LA”, The Broadcaster can in fact furthermore rule out at least one of “X happening in NY” or “Y happening in LA” period. Accordingly, since The Broadcaster can always rule out the possibility of “NY watches a comedy on Channel C and LA watches a drama and channel C” and similarly rule out “NY watches a drama on Channel C and LA watches a comedy on channel C”, one of four things must happen for B) to fail: either The Broadcaster can rule out that NY watches channel C at all, or can rule out that LA watches channel C at all, or can rule out that anyone watches a comedy on channel C, or can rule out that anyone watches a drama on channel C. In the first two cases, The Broadcaster has nontrivial knowledge about channel selections, and thus A) holds. If the first two cases never happen, then one of the latter two cases always happens, for each channel, which is enough for The Broadcaster to construct a TV guide guaranteed to be consistent with each viewers’ experience. But as we saw above, any TV guide exhibits correlation with the viewers’ channel selections, and thus in this case, A) holds as well. So, no matter what, either A) or B) holds.
Well, fine, either A) or B) holds, no matter who The Broadcaster is or what information they have access to. But now, the final punchline: let’s suppose The Broadcaster is in a position to know all and only those facts about the world dealing with events in spacetime which both the NY and LA viewer would have had time to be affected by by light-speed transmission when making their channel selection.
Then what we’ve just shown is this: Either The Broadcaster has the ability to predict the future to some degree [this is case A)] or one coast has access to knowledge about the other coast beyond simply what it can deduce from those events both coasts have time to be affected by by light-speed transmission [this is case B)]. Either one of these is a kind of non-local correlation; that, in a nutshell, is quantum entanglement.
Incidentally, though either of these can be viewed as some sort of faster-than-light correlation, B) cannot be used to actually communicate messages faster than light. For the correlation in B) is simply between what viewers see on their TV; but the viewers themselves needn’t (and indeed presumably don’t) have any influence over what’s displayed on the TV. It’s as though they have coordinated random number generators; they can ensure they get the same message, but they can’t pick what the message is. This is interesting, but it can’t be used to communicate anything from the one to the other.