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#1
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Obama will not have a Lewinsky scandal
What will be the effect of this hypothetical for the 2012 election?
Bill Clinton and Barack Obama are both Democrats, both are Presidents who contended with economic policy, both had political battles with Republicans; Clinton in 1994 onward, Obama in 2010 onward, Clinton had the post-World War II economic expansion; Obama had the post-9/11 economic crisis. What will it mean for the electorate in 2012 if they believe Obama will not have a Lewinsky scandal? And, as a corollary, what will it mean for the electorate in 2012 if they believe Obama will have a Lewinsky scandal? Assume that a 'Lewinsky scandal' shall only occur in a President's second term. Republicans, Tea Party members will admit that Clinton had an effective economic policy. Those same voters will claim that Obama has a failed economic policy. What is the difference ultimately between Clinton and Obama: Lewinsky. |
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#2
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I figure if the American public lets itself get mired in another vapid Lewisnki-ish circus (though I don't expect Obama will get embroiled in one), they deserve another lousy follow-up president.
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#3
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Look at Vietnam. In 1992 and 1996, we were told it was terrible how Clinton had avoided military service and it was unthinkable that anyone would vote for him against a veteran like Bush or Dole. It was a matter of principle not party. Now go ahead to 2000 and 2004. Were any of those same people saying that it was unthinkable to vote for Bush against a veteran like Gore or Kerry? No, suddenly that principle was not longer important. It's tough to take a claim of how important and timeless a principle is seriously when you constantly see them being raised and discarded as needed. It'd be a lot more believable if these people would just come out and say "We think you should elect a Republican because we think the Republican Party platform is better. That's what we thought last election and it's what we're going to think next election." |
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#4
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As a matter of voting, I don't think it makes a difference. Most Americans knew Clinton was a womanizer going in. The people who should have griped about it loudest didn't care as long as he was keeping abortion legal by appointing activists to the Supreme Court.
And you wonder why most women don't want to be called "Feminists" today? If Clinton had Obama's economy in 1998, he'd have been impeached, and his own party would have joined in the fun. Now, I don't think Obama will have a "Lewinsky Scandal". Every indication is that he's either a devoted family man, or if he does play around, he's pretty discreet. I do think there is other scandal potential out there for him. How long in prison before Blago or Tony Rezko decide to break bad on this guy? But his bad economy will probably do him in long before then... so those guys will probably get their pardons in January, 2013. |
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#5
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I'm not sure where this discussion is supposed to go. All administrations have scandals and controversies, but I don't think Obama is likely to have the kind of personal scandal Clinton did (he had a reputation for skirt-chasing that went back before he was nominated). I don't think people base their vote on the likelihood of a scandal. They base it on the scandals that have already happened.
[Electorate] Who? [/Electorate] |
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#6
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#7
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Right. There's never been a serious (non-hyper-partisan) reason to think Obama and Blagojevich were close. Obama always seemed to avoid the guy- perhaps because Blagojevich was an obvious sleaze or perhaps because Blagojevich thought he should be the one with a shot at becoming president, which made them competitors in his mind.
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#8
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Anyhoo, the way the American system is set up these days, impeachment rumblings will sound for any president, whether he screws up or not, because impeachment is now viewed as a ploy an opposition congress can use to try to look good to their constituents. |
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#9
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#10
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#11
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#12
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Buddy, you don't know IL politics very well. There are no clean politicians here. Obama started here, there's dirt on him, and eventually it'll turn up. To the point, though, feminists have hounded men out of jobs for leers, jokes, not promoting people, etc. Clinton was a serial harrasser and adulterer, and they have hounded Republican and Democrats out of office for far less- The short list. - Packwood, Wiener, Ensign, Sanford, Spitzer... I could google and find a whole list more of Republicans and Democrats who left office over something that should have been between them and their spouses. So why did Clinton get special treatment. 1) Impeaching a president is darned difficult. 2) He kept abortion legal. |
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#13
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Maybe Blago was framed by elves. Back in the real world, at some point someone in the cabinet or the White House will get in trouble for something. How it reflects on Obama depends on what happens and how he reacts. To this point, he hasn't hesitated to give people a shove when it looks like they will become a liability - we don't know that he was directly involved with the Shirley Sherrod farrago, but the result made the agriculture department look very stupid. Obama certainly wanted Daschle in his administration, but let him go when the tax thing came up. I'm blanking but I think there was at least one other example. He didn't stick up for Anthony Weiner, but that's a wash because nobody did.
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#14
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#15
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WTF does post-WWII economic expansion have to do with Clinton?
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#16
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I'm guessing that was supposed to say "the largest post-WWII economic expansion."
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#17
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I hope this isn't lazy analysis: Any talk of a hypothetical Lewinsky scandal is just a distraction; it's still the economy, stupid. Last edited by Kozmik; 07-12-2011 at 08:12 PM. |
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#18
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#19
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If I vote for Barack Obama and if Barack Obama wins then Barack Obama will be President for eight years. Barack Obama is the Democratic Party candidate for President of the United States. The last President who was a Democrat was President for eight years. Was the eight-year economic policy of Clinton effective? Yes. Will the eight-year economic policy of Obama be effective? Yes. Therefore, I will vote for Obama! |
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#20
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And if that's your opinion, it's a logical reason to vote for him. I think starting with a comparison to the Lewinsky scandal confused the issue a great deal.
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#21
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And didn't the whole investigation begin because Obama wasn't willing to make shady backroom deals with Blagojevich? |
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#22
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That was a big part of it, yes. Blagojevich said at one point that he tried to trade the Senate appointment in exchange for a spot in Obama's cabinet, among other things.
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#23
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Decriptivist theory of names: 1. the man who had an affair with Monica Lewinsky 2. the man who was a member of the Democratic Party 3. the man who was President of the United States for eight years Last edited by Kozmik; 07-12-2011 at 09:33 PM. |
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#24
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I think the majority of voters don't think this deeply. Most people vote based on an emotional reaction to what they perceive as the general zeitgeist.
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#25
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1. You're not my buddy. 2. It's clear from the posts you've made on this board you don't know a lot about politics. Certainly less than I do. All you do is repeat what you've heard from far too narrow a circle of sources. 3. It's clear that these same sources have nothing on Obama. If they did they'd use it. The fact that they resort to making up lies about his birth and religion shows that they have nothing real to pass along. Last edited by Little Nemo; 07-12-2011 at 10:05 PM. |
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#26
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Or both, why not? |
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#27
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Okay, not officially clean, but she was clean for a Republican in office. |
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#28
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There won't be a Lewinski scandal. Have you seen the arms on Michelle? And I'm pretty sure she could take him in a fair fight. Mind you, I thought Hillary could take Bill too...
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#29
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Back in the real world, that clown is out the door in 2012. Of course, the thing is, since Nixon, the policy has been to let the underling take the hit for the boss. Ollie North, Webb Hubbel, Scooter Libby. Find a sacrificial lamb, send him out to get mauled, everyone moves on. What made Lewinsky different is that Clinton couldn't blame his actions on anyone else there. He got the hummer in that case, and he lied about it in court. |
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#30
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Second, usually, it takes a political scandal quite a while to fester. Monica started servicing Clinton in 1995, and he had been fighting the Paula Jones lawsuit since 1994, but it wasn't until 1998 that it hit the fan. And again, I don't think this guy will be around long enough for one of these things that's under the radar now to emerge. |
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#31
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First, the guy was pretty much the accidental senator. The guy who SHOULD have won was Blair Hull. But the Chicago Media sandbagged him by rumaging around his divorce records. So Obama won the primary he should have lost. But then the media gooed all over this clown, so they decided to go digging through Jark Ryan's garbage, too. And old Judy, that cow, decided she needed to get Ryan out of the way so she could run for governor. I think there is a bit of cowing, too. No one really wants to go after this clown because they don't want to be called racist. I think he's played that card out, though. Marley- Quote:
Now consider that. A crime is committed, the potential other party, who is not corrupt, doesn't report it, but the investigator (who has a history of vindictive, long prosecutions) pulls the plug before anyone gets into trouble. Really? |
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#32
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We know you want it to be true. Unfortunately you have no evidence. Sorry.
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#33
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When Blago approached the Obama team about selling the Bamster's senate seat, why didn't they call someone at the justice department and report it? I mean, it was a pretty serious deal, right, selling a senate seat.... And why did Fitzfong move then, before he could catch Blago in the act? Why not wait to see if anyone was going to try to pay him for that seat? Why did the prosecution NOT call as witnesses people he had tried to sell the seat to? But you're right. I have no evidence... just what I see with my own eyes. |
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#34
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#35
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Guy, you seem to think the world works that you have to absolutely prove something in court to realize it's wrong. Hey, you know what, I still think O.J and Casey are guilty, despite what the courts said. And when the foxes are watching the henhouse of justice, I don't expect there to be many hens left. Fitzfong was protecting Obama because it would be a really embarassing thing if he got caught doing something impeachable before he was even sworn in. Unlike Scooter Libby, where he just kept questioning the guy until he didn't know what he was being asked anymore. Just keep telling yourself he's a great president and he's not corrupt and he swam through the sea of shit that is Chicago politics and didn't get a fleck on him. Because I know you guys really need to believe that. |
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#36
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I see flailing, but I don't see facts. Adding more sarcasm will not make your posts more substantial.
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#37
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Fitzfong ... Humiliating nickname to marginalize an otherwise respected public official without ever demonstrating malfeasance, misfeasance, or nonfeasance. Absolutely reeks of classic propaganda techniques. Good one.
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#38
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As far as the birth certificate goes, the alleged "delay" in producing birth certificate is bunk and shows nothing. The fact that the official certified Hawaii state short form birth certificate was unacceptable to the birthers shows only that the birthers are unreasonable and not that Obama had anything to hide. |
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#39
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I was a little disappointed during the 2008 campaign that Obama didn't make a bigger deal of his Illinois background, i.e. "The Republican Vice-Presidential candidate is fond of claiming I am inexperienced. I'd have to tell her that five years in Illinois politics grows you up a lot more than several lifetimes in the hinterlands of Alaska."
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#40
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#41
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#42
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'tweren't even that secret. Gennifer Flowers, and all.
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#43
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There was even a double-secret Sixty Minutes interview about it early in 1992, as I recall.
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#44
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Clinton didn't become president until January 1993, so they were obviously flying under the radar by running with that interview so early. I mean, who could possibly be paying attention to an interview of a nobody like Clinton nearly a year before he became president? It just goes to show you how devious the Clintons and the Liberal Media really are.
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#45
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#46
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Or when he voted for a bill to allow aborted babies to die in closets. The fact is, as a State Senator, the man was pretty much a non-entity. Hell, I pay about as much attention to State Politics here as a normal person can stand (It's really depressing) and I never heard of this tool before 2004. The only reason we're stuck with him now is the media created him. Otherwise, we'd have Blair Hull in his second term doing a respectable job as Senator. Oh, yeah, and he was running against McCain, a guy with Decades of accomplishment in Congress and the Military. Last edited by Recovering Republican; 07-14-2011 at 06:30 AM. |
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#47
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Second , Jeri Ryan didn't come forward. She fought to keep those records sealed, too. (Probably because she was lying her ass off and the judge didn't believe her.) The Chicago Media SUED to get access to those records. So they sued to get his divorce records, and dug up Blair Hull's dirt, but oddly, we never heard about Jeremiah Wright and his crazy anti-American BS, which Obama apparently never heard in church. Really. |
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#48
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But you jokers act like this was a plot hatched in the RNC or something. Quote:
It's a double standard. Why did it take until 1998 for this to boil to the surface. If it was an "open secret" he has an issue here, then why was every woman who came forward immediately savaged in the press? |
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#49
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Let's not forget, this is a guy who locked up reporters for not saying incriminating stuff about people he was after. Great day for freedom. |
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#50
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Prosecutors don't lock people up. A few reporters spent time in jail for contempt of court for refusing to divulge sources. Fitzgerald did support that, but reporters have done jail time for contempt before and it will happen as long as there are conflicts between prosecutors and members of the press. Anyway we're now drifting off the subject of scandals and Obama.
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