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#1
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In 2011, nonwhite babies born in America outnumber white. Does this matter?
This WaPo story speculates on the future political effects.
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My view is that hard-right conservatism, as distinct from the GOP, is doomed by demographics, all right, but, it's not a race thing, really. It's a generational-culture thing. Look at the 2011 version of the Pew Political Typology: The "Staunch Conservatives" have the highest average age of any of the groups -- and, when they die off, they will not be replaced. Their children and grandchildren just don't think the same way they do. Anyone agree that a change in "racial" composition of the U.S. population necessarily translates to political realignment? |
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#2
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Mods, please edit title, I meant to say, "born in America," of course. Thanx. (Yes, yes, I know the human world as a whole has always had a nonwhite majority and always will.)
Last edited by BrainGlutton; 05-22-2012 at 10:02 PM. |
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#3
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Wealthy minorities need more poor people to be born than their own group to sustain their position within the power hierarchy. Whites should rejoice in all probability having more advantages than before in the US going forward.
Last edited by Untoward_Parable; 05-22-2012 at 10:04 PM. |
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#4
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#5
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Modding
Done.
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#6
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#7
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#8
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This is stupid hand wringing, there will be no shortage of conservative or right wing non-whites, they just won't be exactly the same as the current hard core republican base. They will just have to alter their campaign issues a little.
Archie Bunker copy cats are going extinct, oh no! Oh wait so what. |
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#9
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Recognition of it as a problem is a new situation.
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#10
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My first thought was "bet they're counting Latinos as not white, regardless of actual color".
Sometimes being right makes my eyes try to roll off... Last edited by Nava; 05-22-2012 at 11:21 PM. |
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#11
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Last edited by BrainGlutton; 05-22-2012 at 11:28 PM. |
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#12
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Yeah, but the whole notion of Latinos as a single political block is as stupid as the whole notion of Latinos as being all the same shade.
Last edited by Nava; 05-22-2012 at 11:28 PM. |
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#13
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Is the notion of their growth in numbers being a political threat to the GOP equally stupid, then?
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#14
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It's all stupid but we know what were talking about when we distinguish these things. Pretending we don't see blacks as black even when they're mostly mixed or latinos as latino even when they have Spanish or other european blood isn't going to change the way almost everyone understands race in America and for the purposes of discussing demographics we have to group people the way the majority groups them, just because some Mexicans don't want to be grouped with Guatemalans is not a reason to not be able to talk about race in it's American context.
Last edited by Untoward_Parable; 05-22-2012 at 11:34 PM. |
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#15
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As has been said before, the Republicans have put themselves in a trap. They've become dependent on a narrow, fanatical racist & religious demographic that is dying out, while at the same time alienating huge numbers of other people who might otherwise vote for them. If they want those alienated voters, they'd have to jettison the bigots & fanatics; but if they give up those fanatics & bigots they will lose the next few elections at least while they try to convince people that yes, they really have changed. And a party is highly unlikely to commit that kind of purge and condemn itself to years "in the wilderness" before it's forced to. And given how much power those fanatics have in the party it's entirely possible that the Republicans can't throw them out anymore. I wouldn't be too surprised if the fanatics controlling the Republicans ride their collapsing demographics down in flames, and some other party becomes the new major right wing party. Especially if the wealthy patrons of the Republicans decide they are a losing proposition that can't be saved and decide to back a new party as their front man. Last edited by Der Trihs; 05-23-2012 at 12:20 AM. |
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#16
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I don't see why this should be a problem. So what if the average American in the future has a darker skin tone? It's like worrying about the fact that the average American has grown taller in the last hundred years. Being an American has nothing to do with physical attributes.
Last edited by Little Nemo; 05-23-2012 at 02:08 AM. |
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#17
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#18
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If they're really good at it they'll learn to sell their own people down the river just as well!
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#19
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Bad idea to buy stock in Coppertone? Decrease in melanoma rates?
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#20
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Eventually, when enough of the Archie Bunkers have died out, either the Republicans will lose any race/ethnic factors in their platform and they'll focus on the other social and economic issues or the Democrats will continue to become more conservative to capture any minorities who, absent the race issue, would more naturally be Republicans. At the moment the latter is happening. I'd like to think that there would then emerge a new left-wing party to take over the space vacated by the Dems, but then I'd also like a billion dollars and a pony. |
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#21
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And quite racist as well. So is assuming that blacks are always liberal. Many are quite conservative on certain issues, such as law and order, and gay marriage.
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#22
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Nevertheless, the Dems can almost always count on their votes, because the Pubs persistently have nothing that appeals to them. That's just how it is, ever since the 1960s. Sad thing for the Party of Lincoln.
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#23
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The blacks are making a sad mistake by letting the Democrats take them for granted. Groups or states that are either taken for granted or written off get nothing from the government. Swing voting blocs and swing states do a lot better.
Last edited by JBGUSA; 05-23-2012 at 11:17 AM. |
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#24
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They would make a way bigger mistake voting GOP. At least the Dems actually care about them sometimes.
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#25
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The thing is, you're looking at it backwards. It isn't the blacks' (or Latinos') problem that they vote for Democrats rather than Republicans. They have their reasons, however misguided you think they are. If you are a Republican, you're the one with the problem because you have to figure out how to get their votes.
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#26
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#27
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Quite a few Hispanics would disagree. Besides, there was a time when people thought the same of Catholics and non-Northern Europeans. |
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#28
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And then there's the coverage of the Trayvon Martin case: how is George Zimmerman described? Well, it's -- kind of been all over the place. |
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#29
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As for Zimmerman, in my experience, when you have an anglo name and speak English without a trace of an accent, unless you're really, really dark-skinned, most people consider you and treat you as white. I think any white people terrified of this development are simply being ignorant. Besides, this isn't going to lead to any dramatic political realignments. Asian-Americans and Hispanic Americans tend to vote far more along class lines than either Black or "White" Americans do. |
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#30
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Also, remember how the interracial kiss on STAR TREK in the late '60s was a big deal? A they-were-mind-controlled-and-you-can't-even-see-their-lips-touch kiss?
How often did I LOVE LUCY draw nary a peep for having a Cuban dude spank his misbehaving white wife fifteen years earlier? |
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#31
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![]() Part of this was coding race. So, people would check 'other' under race and type in 'half black/half white' to which I would dutifully code as 'Black'. Hey, don't glare at me...those were my instructions. There was a Japanese woman who worked at the same place and, one day, was curious about what I was doing. She saw the example above and asked why I didn't code that person as White. I don't know, I said...I'm just following what I was told* She was very skeptical of this...saying in no uncertain terms that this was WRONG. Being the mischevious person I am, a few hours later I called her over. She did not know that I had typed this in..."Half Black/Half Japanese". I asked her that I didn't have instructions for this and should I code this person as Black or Asian? Without skipping a second...she immediately said "Black". * Despite nefarious racial theories...I found out the TRUE reason was that Blacks didn't answer surveys as frequently as Whites and so coding nebulous cases as Black made the sample look better. Last edited by BlinkingDuck; 05-23-2012 at 03:04 PM. |
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#32
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That is what will happen in the future. The Republicans will jettison their racist and nutjob part...will suffer for a few years and then be a true party of fiscal conservatives as their main platform. The jettisoned group of nutjobs will be vocal for some years but fade away to 3rd party status. It will happen IMO. It truely is a case of having to destroy their Party in order to save it. If they don't do it, they will fade to 3rd Party status. Last edited by BlinkingDuck; 05-23-2012 at 03:14 PM. |
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#33
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[quote=BlinkingDuck;1509418Part of this was coding race. So, people would check 'other' under race and type in 'half black/half white' to which I would dutifully code as 'Black'. Hey, don't glare at me...those were my instructions.
[/QUOTE]This made me remember instructions I was given to fill out forms as a volunteer intake worker at a partly state funded homeless shelter, years ago in California. "Always list the child as the same race as the mother", and this rule was cut and dry no matter what; and of course it gave me cause to chuckle on many occasions. Last edited by florez; 05-23-2012 at 03:34 PM. |
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#34
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Or simply, physically, die off.
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#35
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#36
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Nobody gave me any instructions, so I adopted a simple policy. I asked the guy what ethnic group he was and I wrote down whatever he said. If he said he was black, that's what I wrote down. If he said he was white, I wrote that down. If he said he was black and white or bi-racial or mulatto or mixed or American or human or negro or colored or bilalian, I wrote that down (and, yes, those were all actual answers I received). My only two objections were I didn't want any long and complicated answers, so if a guy told me "well, my mother was mostly white but her grandmother was from someplace in Asia - Korea or maybe Manchuria - and my father was part black and part Hispanic plus maybe a little bit American Indian but I'm not sure what tribe" I would tell him he had to summarize that down to a few words. And no changing your mind. If somebody told me something, I'd go ahead and write whatever down whatever it was. No take-backs when somebody said he was just joking. "Too late, Kowalski, you said you were Chinese and I wrote that down - in ink. So from now on, you're officially Chinese." |
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#37
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#38
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#39
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The official reason for this was because we had a certain finite number of "festivals" during the year. So we wanted to ensure the ones chosen were the ones most relevant to our population. No point in scheduling a Cinco de Mayo event if we only have five prisoners of Mexican ancestry. But if we have a hundred Dominicans and Jamaicans, we should schedule an Emancipation Day festival in August. The unofficial reason was simple intelligence gathering. Same reason we'd maintain records of how many prisoners ate meals every day, how many went out to the yard, how many went to sick call, how many packages were mailed to prisoners, etc. We spent a lot of time gathering data and watching for patterns. |
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#40
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So if you know otherwise, you apparently haven't succeeded in convincing the people involved. |
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#41
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The demographics may be changing, but the economics favor the whites. The political system has been deliberately skewed over the past 30 years to reflect the power of their dollars. Voters can vote all they like, but for a long time to come they'll be voting the issues and the candidates that the wealthy (mostly white) segment of the population chooses as relevant to their needs. My two bits, your mileage may vary.
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#42
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This isn't true just for blacks, of course. Everybody votes for the party that thinks serves them best, and would need convincing to change their minds. It's a little condescending to say that blacks don't know what's best for themselves. |
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#43
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I don't know about the rest of them, but Eva Longoria? Who considers her white?
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#44
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They're white AND Hispanic. Race and Hispanic/non-Hispanic are orthogonal. As the US Census Bureau says, a Hispanic person can be of any race.
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#45
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"All we need is a voluntary, free-spirited, open-ended program of procreative racial deconstruction. Everybody just gotta keep fuckin' everybody 'til they're all the same color." [/Obligatory Bulworth quote] |
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#46
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No, many vote for the party they think serves their ideas best.
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#47
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What reason?
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#48
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The Civil Rights Act and the Voting Rights Act, for starters. Neither could've happened without LBJ. Last edited by BrainGlutton; 05-23-2012 at 11:30 PM. |
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#49
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Finding hidden cyborgs?
Hmm prisoner#95440 hasn't eaten anything in three weeks, move in team! |
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#50
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Would you argue that Jennifer Esposito and Marisa Tomei aren't white? |
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