http://dailycaller.com/2012/08/23/university-of-colorado-prediction-model-points-to-big-romney-win/
Forcasting model developed by to CU Boulder professors has accurately predicted the winner of every POTUS election back to 1980.
Updated model still predicts Romney win: http://www.colorado.edu/news/releases/2012/10/04/updated-election-forecasting-model-still-points-romney-win-university
Everybody, please don’t…you know…
You can’t predict something that already happened- saying a model would have predicted something in the past is meaningless- anyone can come up with a prediction “model” that would have accurately predicted any number of things.
Ok, they used an admittedly fictional model to make a ludicrous prediction that absolutely nobody this side of Dick Morris would find plausible. Go Buffaloes!
Ah, a retort to Colorado State’s hurricane prediction center but with isobars around their own anus.
Didn’t we already do this thread? I feel like I’m having deja vu all over again.
Quote:
*According to their updated analysis, Romney is projected to receive 330 of the total 538 Electoral College votes. President Barack Obama is expected to receive 208 votes – down five votes from their initial prediction – and short of the 270 needed to win. *
I’ve been watching the polls and playing with the electoral calculator on THIS cite for a long time.
Romney might very well win but I can’t see any way he is going to take 330 electoral votes. Even if he takes states Obama won like Indiana, Iowa, Ohio, N. Carolina, Virginia, New Hampshire, Colorado, and Florida, and even if he won Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to boot, he’d still only have 320. The polls aren’t even close in New Mexico, Minnesota, or Michigan. I don’t know where they’re coming up with those additional 10 electoral votes.
What is going on with all these predictions so close to Election Day?
I know, let’s jail the scientists responsible!
How far in advance of each election were the predictions published?
Meanwhile, Reuters predicts an Obama landslide.
Earlier Thread – merging this one in will save the trouble of having to rebut the same basic logical and mathematical errors yet again.
Yeah, whatever your politics may be, and whoever you think will/want to win, there’s just no way this prediction makes any sense whatsoever.
Uh, because that’s when they think people will be interested in the predictions.
I predict that this thread was made before, going back to 1980.
See, there’s the thing. The quoted links say they’re specifically ignoring the polls, so they may very well be giving Romney some of those states.
I started to merge them, but they’re pretty different. There is some discussion of the University of Colorado’s model, though.
I created a model that correctly predicts every election going back to 1980. The candidate whose first name is closer to A alphabetically wins, unless the Vice Presidential candidate is from Minnesota.
Which proves that Al Gore did actually beat George W. Bush.
Polls and surveys are not the same as newspaper endorsements, Marley.