I guess we never worked through the possibility that two people could have the same score, because they picked the same score, with one team wrong. If people are happy with “latest elimination of wrong team” as the tiebreaker there, that’s fine. I suppose there could still be an issue with that if the wrong picks were eliminated in the same round, for example if Jahiegel had picked the Panthers instead of the Vikings.
There can still be a tie with the current rules, I think. If the Pats win 24-20, for example.
I do think depth of progress (how close a team got before elimination) is a good first tiebreaker. Because it kind of means something. But if the teams got as far as each other, it would have gone to you, based on the fact that your pick was earlier than his. Which is a bit arbitrary, but coins do not land on the edge.
Do you mean 1st tiebreaker after taking predicted/actual scores into account? Because that’s what the rules in place already say. I don’t think we can change the tiebreaker this late in the game. And I say that as someone who would benefit from a “how close a team got before elimination” tiebreaker.
Also, if the Pats win and score exactly 34, it doesn’t necessarily mean one of the people who picked Pats 34 wins. For example, if the Pats win 34-17 then Velocity’s pick of 35-17 is closest.
If a tie lands on the line between two picks, as you have shown, my feeling is that the lower score would prevail, based on the fact that the overall scoring got that far but no further. Does that sound right?
I’d just call it a tie after going through the 5 items listed earlier in the thread, and add more items for next year if people want to handle further tiebreakers. I guess that logic would mean not doing the “latest eliminated” tiebreaker as well, though.
My perspective is that for a fun contest like this, the score is already a pretty specific prediction, so if that still produces a tie then so be it.
Looking through the past challenges, I think this is the most people we’ve had alive going into the Super Bowl (mainly because no one expected the Eagles to succeed)
I guess it remains to be seen what will happen in two weeks. Hopefully the arguing and the throwing of the shoes and helmets and assistant coaches at each other will ultimately result in an outcome that is acceptable for everyone but #2.
Eagles Win[ul]
[li]phungi: Eagles 24 [del]Steelers[/del] 17[/ul][/li]
Obviously, if the Eagles win, phungi gets the big prize.
If the Patriots win, we first look at who got closest to the winning score. There are no even splits there, so if no one has the exact number of points from New England, there will be a clear winner.
However, there are a few possible cases where more than one player picked the same winning score, which means we look at MoV (same as o/u). Here, there are a few cases where there could be an even split between picks. As I see it, a split would go to the lower pick, because the teams did score as many points as needed to cover the lower pick but not enough to cover the higher pick.
I am currently seeing a handicap of NE -4.5 (48.5). Given their SB history, it would seem kind of foolish to put money on the Pats, but who knows.
