Curses, that means I get no points for you in the death pool
Same here. It’s so worth it to see that smug, GOP poster boy Rodgers slink off the field after another playoff choke. Best Regular Season Quarterback Ever?
Still one game to go in the divisional round and only LoneRhino and Wilson remain perfect. Wow.
The only reason I picked the Rams is because I want to see Aaron Donald wreak havoc and I figured the Bengals weren’t going to be a popular choice.
There’s only 1 person left with the possibility of getting both teams.
Crazy games today!
I hope they win.
Still Perfect:
LoneRhino: Rams 34, Bengals 30
One Down:
dirtball: Chiefs 24, Buccaneers 20
PackerMan2: Chiefs 31, Buccaneers 27
Railer13: Chiefs 31, Packers 27
Frosted_Glass: Chiefs 31, Packers 28
Jasmine: Chiefs 37, Packers 33
Wilson: Rams 34, Bills 20
iiandyiiii: Bengals 31, Cardinals 24
Askance: 49ers 24, Patriots 18
Jahiegel2.0: Buccaneers 27, Chiefs 26
Precambrianmollusc: Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 27
suntanlotiontwo: Buccaneers 31, Chiefs 28
Hampshire: Packers 35, Bengals 23
ShadowFacts: Packers 30, Chiefs 27
Hamlet: Packers 30, Chiefs 28
FlikTheBlue: Packers 31, Chiefs 17
Jackknifed_Juggernaut: Packers 33, Chiefs 24
borshevsky: Packers 34, Chiefs 28
Procrustus: Titans 38, Rams 27
MadTheSwine: Cowboys 48, Chiefs 45
Out:
Justin_Bailey: Bills 34, Packers 20
pulykamell: Bills 81, Packers 3
AlsoNamedBort: Buccaneers 31, Bills 24
Zakalwe: Buccaneers 31, Titans 24
Telemark: Packers 33, Bills 17
Akaj: Packers 27, Titans 13
Bullitt: Packers 35, Titans 31
Velocity: Packers 36, Titans 27
muldoonthief: Titans 34, Buccaneers 24
Shoeless: Titans 24, Packers 21
eschereal: Bills 9, Cowboys 2
hajario: Buccaneers 34, Patriots 17
notfrommensa: Buccaneers 34, Patriots 27
Hal_Briston: Packers 23, Patriots 16
AncientHumanoid: Cardinals 30, Bills 28
zimaane: Cowboys 44, Titans 31
Ulf_the_Unwashed: Patriots 35, Buccaneers 24
peccavi: Raiders 34, Buccaneers 31
Mighty_Mouse: Patriots 23, Eagles 17
Hopefully the Chiefs get knocked out this weekend so I don’t have to worry about any tiebreakers.
I had the Buccaneers going to the Super Bowl, but I’m okay with the Rams beating them. I would be okay with them going all the way. I think it would be a pretty cool story for Stafford to win a Super Bowl after all those years with the Lions.
The cool story is that the AFC is the designated home team this time around: if the Rams win (which is likely, since the Niners have beaten them twice, and it is extremely difficult to beat the same team three times in one season) they would be the visiting team in their own stadium.
I had to read this far down (post 49) to read a result that’s even still possible now, with four teams remaining.
This is an oft-repeated, but not terribly accurate, statement.
From this link:
It is hard to beat a good team three times in a season, they say. Since the 1970 NFL Merger, there have been 21 instances where a team swept a team in the regular season and then had a third battle in the playoffs. The sweeping team has gone 14-7 in those games, which means it must not be that hard to beat a playoff team three times in a season.
So 2 out of 3 times when a 3-game sweep could happen, it did happen.
Edited, I jumped the gun.
Looks like we have a few people with the Bengals left, and a few with the Rams.
If the Rams win, then LoneRhino is the only perfect guess and wins.
If the 49ers win, then LoneRhino (Bengals lose), Hampshire (Bengals lose), and iiandyiiii (Bengals win) will fight it out based on score, each with one team.
Except, add Askance to the mix, for having picked the Niners.
I think this is a misunderstanding in the way people think about probabilities. Now, NFL football games are not independent trials, but for example, you could say “getting a coin flip right 5 times in a row is really hard” - which is true, if hard means improbable - it’s about 3% chance.
But if you’ve called 4 correctly, then calling the next one is 50/50. The fifth win is not harder because you called the first four right and we all know that calling a coin 5 times in a row is hard/rare, because we’ve already called 4 correctly and we’re only assessing whether we can call the fifth, which is an independent event. In other words, the fact that winning 5 in a row from the start is improbable doesn’t somehow influence the 5th event after the first 4 were correctly predicted. It seems obvious when you say it, but people intuitively. get this wrong all the time.
So you could say “it’s hard to win 3 games against one team in a season”, and that may be true if you’re making that prediction from the beginning, before any games are played. It may be just as true to say “it’s hard to win any particular set of 3 NFL games.” But once you have two wins under your belt, it’s not like the unlikeliness of winning any three particular games (from the start) influences the probability of outcome of the last game.
Now - NFL games aren’t independent events like a coin flip is, but that actually makes it more likely that the team that won the previous two games will win the third, because the first time has demonstrated that it can beat the other team twice.
OK, so if the Rams win, then it’s LoneRhino. Picked both teams trumps everything.
If the 49ers win, then only Askance (49ers win Superbowl) or iiiandyiiii (Bengals win Superbowl) can win. The other remaining players all have one team, but only these two left picked one of the remaining teams to win.
Is my analysis correct?
Congrats to LoneRhino
And once again, I don’t have to do any math for the finale.
Congrats LoneRhino with his lone pick