Wasn’t Sam Wang and Princeton Election Consortium actually more accurate for electoral votes? However, Silver does a lot more than just predict the presidential election. Here is a discussion on intrade comparing the two. http://bb.intrade.com/intradeForum/posts/list/494002.page
And here is the PEC site itself. http://election.princeton.edu/
Some people haven’t looked it up or had it explained to them, others just don’t want to accept reality. Poor whites in the US have been sticking their heads in the sand for so long they’re starting to look like mole people. It’s not your church and business leaders holding the keys to your potential, it’s minorities working and people having a good time that’s causing it. You are totally a superior human being who would succeed exceptionally well if the government would just leave you alone, no matter how much of a failure you are in the actual world in the actual species where social adaptations are primary to all advantages we hold.
Yep, it’s a tossup, people aren’t embarrassed by people who think like you at all.