Interestingly, currently the survey in this thread is 89.3% Clinton, 10.7% Trump. That’s actually pretty consistent with betting markets. 538 is quite an outlier (but then so is Sam Wang, who is alternating between “Clinton 99%” and “Clinton way more than 99 percent”)
Interestingly - believe it or not - fewer polls are being conducted this year than in 2012. Why? Some people say it’s… well, it’s because of 538 and Sam Wang. After all, what’s the motivation to pay someone for a poll if you can look at 538 and see how all the polls are doing?