I don’t think it goes so far as to indicate how Kennedy would rule. It was Kennedy’s way to reassure everyone that this decision didn’t go far enough to require gay marriage.
I just got the impression that he lumped it in with Scalia’s parade of horribles and didn’t consider it on the radar. It went like this:
Scalia: If you allow sodomy, then you must allow child pornography, prostitution, adultery, bestiality, fornication, and gay marriage.
Kennedy: Of course not. We hold that homosexual sodomy is protected, but the constitution does not go so far as to disallow state regulation of those other things.
In fact, O’Connor specifically said in her concurrence that a state had a right to limit marriage to heterosexual couples. Does that have any precedential value?
I don’t think that sentence is enough to draw a conclusion. My interpretation is to read the sentence literally. All he said was that the present case didn’t deal with that particular issue.
Right. Scalia’s argument was that according to everything the Court said, there was nothing to keep them from mandating same sex marriage. He used the argument that SSM supporters are using in court and all over this message board!
However, when faced with Scalia’s argument (again, using the same set of facts as Plaintiffs use today) Kennedy said hogwash.
IMO, inferences here are not warranted. While I suspect from Kennedy’s jurisprudence regarding gay rights that he will uphold Perry, in Lawrence he was voiding a law that criminalized gay sexual contact under any circumstances. To keep the scope of his ruling as narrow as possible, he itemized four things it did not say:
[ul][li]The present case does not involve minors. []It does not involve persons who might be injured or coerced or who are situated in relationships where consent might not easily be refused. []It does not involve public conduct or prostitution. [*]It does not involve whether the government must give formal recognition to any relationship that homosexual persons seek to enter.[/ul][/li]
He then went on to tailor the right to private sexual conduct clearly:
In other words, “I’m dealing with the specific circumstances of the case before the court, not everything downhill on the slippery slope that Justice Scalia foresees.”