I know very little on these subjects, so I don’t say much in these threads because I have nothing to contribute besides the odd lay question; nevertheless I read them with interest because I like to learn. And I’ve noticed that you, a professional in the field, haven’t provided any kind of speculation about this incident, in contrast to the media breathlessly chasing theories about flaps and birds and whatever else, and other posters dutifully reproducing them.
Is your position that, even if you might be starting to lean toward a hypothesis, as a professional it would be irresponsible to share it in public because of the undue weight your informed opinion carries? Or is it your position that, knowing how complex these incidents and the subsequent investigations can be, it’s simply disciplined thinking to resist early guesses and wait for legitimately concrete findings and data to emerge? A little of both? Neither?