Al Qaqaa: where the roadside bombs come from

The military says they didn’t search for explosives.

Maybe the media is in the habit of spinning the military’s activities more positively than the military itself. I’m not up to date on that.

Daniel

Yes they were. Instead of fighting oil fires for a year like we did in kuwait the oil wells were disarmed. What’s your point? Do you think they shouldn’t have secured them?

As for the April 10 search, the one the NBC reported was embedded in, it was for chemical weapons

From other sites, I’ve gathered that this compound is immense, that it’s not like there’s one warehouse that you stand inside and can see everything. Does anyone have any reason to believe that a brigade searching for chemical weapons would necessarily have seen any high explosives if they’d been there?

Naturally, it’s too early to draw any conclusions. It doesn’t look good, though.

Daniel

This is denser than molybdenum on multiple levels.

YOU are defining the time period in which the explosives disapeared. Since it is YOU that are making the assertion (that it occured between April 9, and May 8th) it is up to YOU to prove it.

It is not up to me to prove that it happened at some other time and if I can’t, you are somehow automatically right in your arbitrary assertion. You are smarter and better than this. To assert to the contrary is a stupid, stupid argument.

Secondly, It is a similarly irrational and stupid argument to assert that we need to prove conclusively the status of these explosives before our troops were on cite.
It’s simple. S-I-M-P-O that spells “simple.”

Show that they were there on a date after Baghdad fell and we were responsible for them. Show that they were gone.

Do those two things and you win.

Fail to do them and you don’t have any argument whatsoever.

Why don’t you just say the place was full of giant firebreathing dragons and Bush lost them. That would make just as much sense as what you’re saying.

I believe there were 32 bunkers on the site. How big is 380 tons of explosives?

Read through this thread, for God’s sake. This has been comprehensively rebutted. The 101st was only there for less than a day, or a “pit-stop”, in the words of one embedded NBC reporter. No search was done, though a few people wandered through the facility. This is up all over the web, but here’s one cite.

They have said when it left the facility. See this AFP story.

What testimony is this? I have a cite from someone who was there talking of "some of the soldiers head off on their own, looked through the bunkers just to look at the vast amount of ordnance lying around. "

Pretty small in a complex spread across a few kilometres, when there’s no real search going on. For God’s sake, the information is in post #6! Did you not even read the first few posts in this thread?

The military says they didn’t search or secure the area. That means their failure is the same either way. Even if, hypothetically, the stuff was stolen in that covenient little three week window before the invasion, Bush’s failure to search or secure the area is still jut as egregious. An earlier date for the looting would just be a matter of luck for Bush, not a result of vigilence. Hs negligence is the same either way.

I’m glad to see that both you and Sam Stone have so far had the decency not to link to that ridiculous Washington Times story, currently being pimped with sirens on Drudge, about mysterious Russian agents spiriting the stuff away.

Damn! Monocracy, you beat me to the fun ones.

On the NBC crew with the 101st Cavalry, let’s roll tape:

On the basis of what evidence? The Iraqi government reported this to the IAEA, the IAEA notified the US government, and from there, the story got out. At first, the Bushies said this was the first they knew that the stuff was gone. Now they’re saying the stuff was gone all along. That’s a year and a half of discrepancy, for some pretty high-powered shit. Not a story?

The freakin’ SwiftLiars owned August in the media. Cry me a river. And every last allegation of theirs was a lie, other than that they concurred that Kerry had in fact been in Vietnam. While other than the Dan Rather forged documents, the Bush National Guard stories were based on actual evidence from Bush’s file.

Yeah, five times as well documented as the SwiftLiars, and got about one-fifth the play.

At least stick to this year, willya? You go back in time far enough, there’s always plenty of stuff to bitch about. Hear about the P.U.L.L. story? Probably not.

Yeah, and the contradiction is…?

Like I said, it’s the war plan, stupid. A very simple issue. What we already established, back in May of last year, was that despite the war being all about keeping Saddam’s WMDs out of the hands of terrorists, Bush’s war plan didn’t allow for enough troops to secure WMD sites, once our advancing armies chased Saddam’s troops away. And the sites were looted to the ground. And Bush didn’t seem particularly bothered about that. The moral I drew from this is that Bush knew all along that the WMD claim was bullshit; otherwise, how could he be so unconcerned about the looting?

But Bush knew there were these kick-ass conventional explosives; the IAEA had warned him. Could they be used against us by any leftover Saddam loyalists? Absolutely. Now, did Bush’s war plan allow for troops to secure the site once our first armies arrived at al Qaqaa on April 4, or did they have to continue on to Baghdad, leaving nobody behind?

Since I am nothing if not decent, I will not link to the Washington Times. I will, however, link to the Financial Times, which is carrying the same story it seems.

Well, it’s quite obvious that they are gone now and that the US would have been responsible for them had they been in that place at that time, right? Can we regard these two points as givens?

Going towards the “were they there after Baghdad fell?” point, here’s this from Talking Points Memo. I believe Josh Marshall says it better than I could:

24 hours is not less than a day. There was only one reporter there with the 101st. That was Dana who later left and went to Fox news. The other NBC person there was a producer, IIRC.

My point exactly. If no thorough search was done, than how can you assert that the explosives were there?

You’re joking right? Baghdad had not fallen as of April 4. This guy wasn’t there at this time and cannot testify as to what occured and what did not.

Your own talking point memo even makes the argument that this stuff couldn’t have left in the weeks preceeding the war because of the heavy surveilance we had going and the huge number of trucks it would take to move the stuff. Than how do you suppose it would have been any easier after the invasion when we were crawling over Iraq?

Breaking News: Russia Tied to Iraq’s Missing Arms

If this pans out, it’s a huge story.

Quite big. That was talked about in the beggining of the thread… trucks can carry 3+ tons apiece apparently… so at some point US surveillance missed dozens of trucks going back and forth to the site.

No matter how you spin this story… it reeks of incompetence… after all americans probably had acess to all IAEA info.

http://story.news.yahoo.com/news?tmpl=story&cid=578&e=3&u=/nm/20041027/ts_nm/iraq_explosives_pentagon_dc

Here’s what the actual commander who was there has to say:

Cite.

This is an underappreciated point. Colin Powell wanted to convince the world with some satellite images of a few bunkers that he claimed were related to weapons production. I find it hardly satisfying that Bush would like to claim that we have no idea if two dozen huge trucks carted nearly 400 tons of material away from a known weapons facility in the weeks before the invasion. Presumably they were keen on finding a little bioweapons RV or two, and were looking to smart-bomb restaurants that Hussein might have been dining in, yet we missed a huge convoy of WMD (as far as we might know) being carted off?

How anyone can argue that as an excuse is beyond me.

Ok, exactly a day, then, if you’d prefer. Yes, the other NBC person who was there was a producer. That’s her that I quoted. Care to address the issue rather than dancing around it?

I merely assert that this particular piece of information proved nothing either way. If you’re arguing that “the 101st went there, they didn’t see the stuff, so it wasn’t there”, that would be incorrect. If this isn’t what you’re trying to argue, I apologize. For the sake of the debate, let’s leave the 101st out of it then, shall we?

How silly of me to think that the head of the Iraqi Science Ministry’s site monitoring department would know anything about the sites in his area. Look at the quote again. He’s not claiming he was in the area, he’s claiming that his subordinates were in the area before the invasion and saw nothing leave at that point.

I was responding to your assertion that:

The Iraqi government has said when it went. The person in charge of this kind of thing has commented, and said his subordinates saw no movement of explosives pre-election. Call him a liar if you want, but the Iraqi government has said when it went.

Diogenes the Cynic said:

Aww, I missed this first time through, and now I’ve gone done and disappointed you.

Atticus Finch said:

The ‘information’ extrapolates the volume of this stuff by simply looking at the weight and density of the raw material. While that might be a good working ballpark estimate, it’s hardly definitive. If it was packaged in vials of powder as some are saying, it would have been MUCH bulkier. Round vials have a lot of air space around them when packed together - even more so if they are are packaged in foam or cardboard carriers. We’re just guessing, but I think it’s safe to assume that the actual volume was somewhat larger than the simple approximation in post #6.

Sure, all you need to prove for that one is the existence of large units of Russian forces inside Iraq at the time. It’s kinda suprising that noone commented on the streams of Ruski trucks laden with Saddam’s WMDs at the time…