I don’t doubt that you are right in this regard, but I think factors other than abstinence only education figure into it. For one thing, I would guess that kids who receive abstinence only education likely don’t get birth control pills and other forms of contraception as readily as kids who receive more liberal types of sex education. Many parents feel that sex education in the school environment actually serves to stimulate and encourage sex among its students, and so given this perceived increase in the likelihood of sexual activity , they are more apt to make sure their kids (daughters mostly) have access to, or are outfitted with, birth control.
I would also imagine that, for a variety of reasons, abortion is more prevalent among kids receiving more open sexual education.
And further, I’m always suspicious of these types of surveys. Given that in many places (if not all – I’m out of touch with the current legals) kids can get abortions without parental approval, HIPAA laws make it difficult to obtain medical information about anyone, and that kids themselves aren’t likely to be forthcoming with negative information, I’m dubious as to how accurate the results of these studies are.
And further, there is the question of agendas on the part of the people interpreting and promoting the studies. Here, in Der Trihs’ cite, we have a woman from the National Campaign to Prevent Teen Pregnancy – an organization that is clearly not a part of the anti-abstinence crowd – declaring that when it comes to abstinence and its effectiveness, the results are flat. This statement is backed up by “an official at the Sexuality Information and Education Council of the United States”, which is undoubtedly a pro sex ed organization also. So, how is a person to discern whether they’re getting the straight scoop or whether things are being interpreted so as to advance a particular agenda.
However, Der Trihs’ cite says that kids from abstinence only programs do not show any less usage when it comes to condoms, and that they actually showed slightly better awareness of how to prevent STDs, so it looks like in a couple of areas abstinence only holds its own with more open types of sex ed.
Which brings us to your next point:
Exactly. And it’s my belief that kids from neither group will do so responsibly, especially the younger ones. A multiplicity of desires are involved, as are peer pressure and pleadings or demands from the male side of the equation, and all of these make it extremely unlikely that, on the spur of the moment…which is often when things like this take place…kids are gonna behave responsibly. If they were behaving responsibly they wouldn’t be having sex in the first place.
This is all apart from the point I was going to make to Der Trihs, though. Basically his cite claims that abstinence only doesn’t work because kids still have sex. I have heard this same argument before, and on subjects like capital punishment as well. The argument claims that capital punishment doesn’t work as a deterrent because people still get murdered while it’s in effect, and that kids still get pregnant despite abstinence only education.
My response to both is to ask then if we should then do away with traffic fines because people still speed, tailgate each other and run traffic lights? Or when it comes to drugs, should we do away with prescriptions because people are still gonna obtain drugs illegally? Etc., etc., etc.
The question isn’t whether a particular effort stops the undesirable activity cold; it’s whether it reduces it significantly enough to be manageable and to prevent most people from doing it. And given that the rates of pregnancy, abortion and STDs among teenagers today are what they are, I don’t think anyone can argue that sex ed itself is any more successful than abstinence only, and that if anything it likely makes things worse by, in effect, sexualizing kids even more than they are already. It is also my opinion that it tends to give tacit approval to kids to engage in sex because they’re being told by adult authority figures, essentially, “Don’t do this, but if you do, be sure to use birth control.”