I’m guessing we’ll have an El Niño this year. We’ve got 4 fur seal pups in rehabilitation this year, and we always get fur seal pups before El Niños - we had 30 before the largest recent El Niño in 1997.
Are you ready? I’m making sure all my rain gear and boots are Nikwaxed.
True, for most people. For those of us who live on the coast, it’s a little more of a big deal. Storms in December 2002 knocked out my electricity for a week. Giant bulbs of kelp washed up 200 yards from the beachfront, and some poor kid lost his backpack because it was washed away by a wave. It’s not the end of the world, but I just want to make sure I’m ready for the rains and waves.
Is it just me, or does it seem like every year, almost, there’s either an el nino or la nina or ninocito? (OK, I made that last one up.) I thought these things were supposed to be relatively rare – are there more now than there used to be?
In Saskatchewan an el nino winter normally means a warmer than usual winter. Which is not a bad thing at all. A fairly common reaction here to the el nino, is more the “woohoo” response, rather than an “oh no” response.
There’s definitely not an El Nino every year, but last year was odd off the California coast for delayed upwelling and unusually warm water temperatures - typically signs of an El Nino, but one didn’t materialize. It was also odd for an unusually rainy spring, but not at the time one would expect El Nino rains to come.
Also, as we get better instrumentation, it’s easier to detect changes in temperature at the sea surface, and lots of speculation takes place as to whether these are parts of the El Nino/La Nina cycle.
Finally, there are some who think that the time between El Ninos has been shortened by increasing sea temperatures in the Pacific (one of the symptoms of global warming), so it’s possible that El Nino actually is becoming more common.