While some American pro basketball players may resent the large numbers of foreign players we’re seeing in the NBA today, you can bet David Stern loves it. In the long run, he’s always envisioned the "Naruonal " Basketball Association becoming an INTERNATIONAL Basketball Association.
Sure, right now, travel would be a nightmare. But I have no doubt Stern envisions an NBA team in Beijing, in Barcelona, in Rome, in many major cities around the world.
As we speak, Houston Rockets merchandise is flying off the shelves in Beijing and Shanghai, all because Yao Ming was drafted by the Houston Rockets. You think other teams aren’t eying the untapped China market, and hoping to get a piece of it? IF Yao Ming becomes a dominant NBA player, you can be sure other Chinese players will be following close behind.
David Stern has hoped for years to make basketball as big around the world as soccer. While he may not be able to pull THAT off, the fact remains, we’re seeing superb basketball players all over the world now.
Forty years ago, a squad of American collegians could dominate any team in the world. By 1988, of course, that had changed- teams in Russia, Yugoslavia and Brazil were more than a match for our best collegians. Then came the “Dream Team,” which dominated every other team on Earth. At the '92 Olympics, other players seemed too awed by the Americans (opponents seemed tickled pink to have Michael Jordan slam-dunk in their faces!). But a mere ten years later, foreign teams are now good enough to beat the NBA’s 3rd tier players.
A few years down the road, will foreign teams be able to match up with the BEST players in the U.S.? Probably not… but it’s hardly impossible.
To repeat my earlier comparison… 30 years ago, Brazil or Germany could have sent a team of benchwarmers, and still squashed the U.S. at soccer. Today, that’s not the case. Oh, Brazil’s best and Germany’s best soccer players are still much better than ours, but they actually have to TRY now! They can’t win just by showing up any more.
I think the U.S. will still dominate basketball at the highest levels, and Americans will remain the majority in the NBA… but only to the same extent that Canada still dominates the NHL. When I was a kid, 95% of the NHL’s players were Canadian. Today, maybe 55% are. I can foresee a day when a third of the NBA’s players are from outside the U.S.