It may be that the benefits of a college education cannot be summed up by a single measure such as a future-earnings-multiplier. A person’s lifetime output of “useful stuff” may be measured in ways other than, “managed to figure out how to make LCD displays 3 mm thinner, saving company X $2.5 million over the course of Y years.”
Additionally, there are successful people who succeeded wildly in life without a college degree (or even a high school diploma). Maybe they’re geniuses, maybe they’re already able to prioritize things, maybe they’re already able to think critically and make decisions that are both efficient and groundbreaking. Maybe they faced and overcame complex problems that don’t fit neatly into a mutiple choice test. Maybe they have great communications skills and a strong work ethic.
But I had few of these qualities coming out of high school, and college is where I learned many things, including things that I hadn’t even known I needed to know.
If a prospective student thnks that history is an important subject or that it seems to encompass coursework that he or she thinks is valuable, why not major in history? They should be made aware of some objective statistics about the current or past earnings of history majors, but lifetime earnings may not be what they think is most important. Who am I to judge?
This doesn’t mean the student should expect support from their parents if their parents think that way, and it would probably benefit them to know that there will be some challenges if they choose to consider more than money in their list of priorities.
It may be that if a bunch of people are sitting around a table discussing a thorny issue involving their business or politics or anything else, the perspectives of people with degrees in history, english, African studies and poli-sci may enable the group to imagine a better way to address said issue.
If a student is paying their own way or if his or her parents can afford it and agree, they should study anything they want. Again, they make the decision with their eyes open, but they have a right to that decision.
As I’ve noted in other threads, one of the incredible benefits I received in college was due to my having to work part time for pretty much the entire duration. That allowed me to try out about a dozen jobs doing things in fields which I was considering; it also made me aware, through the entire time I was there, that college was costing me a lot of money, and that I should try to get as much out of it as I could. “Future earnings” were part of the equation, though since I chose to get a degree in physics, it obviously wasn’t the only consideration.
There’s also the issue of “degree inflation.” Sorry; many companies will exclude people from consideration if they don’t have a college degree. I didn’t make these rules and they’re not fair when applied Indiscriminately. However, in my job, I frequently feel like I’m running down the highway as fast as I can, and all sorts of things are hitting me and I have to make decisions very quickly, even if they’re somewhat sub-optimal. “First fit” tends to beat “best fit” in many circumstances, and if someone is looking for a way to discard the job applications of as many people as possible for the few openings they have and the small amount of time they have, their risk of overlooking a Bill Gates or Steve Jobs is not that high.
Also, I may be full of crap. When I took out student loans ($153K in today’s dollars), they were subsidized by the government, held at a low interest rate (some as small as 4%), and colleged hadn’t inflated their costs to currently-absurd levels. It was an incredibly easy decision for me to see that college was going to be worth the debt, but the decision in today’s environment might be more difficult.