[QUOTE=mswas]
Nah, that’s totally untenable. You can’t police everywhere. Saddam trained his military to be an insurgent force between 91 and 03. If even half of them are playing the insurgency game that’s hundreds of thousands of trained troops building distributed networks working in cell structures. That’s not even counting the Shi’ites. We simply do not have the manpower to police all of the middle-east and no draft would change that.
I am of the opinion that the sociological implications of this are lost on most people, particularly the people who are giving orders. More troops policing the streets of Baghdad won’t do anything to stop a bomb from going off in a subway station in Berlin. The more we focus on Iraq, the less attention we have to give to other places. Having given attention to Iraq we’ve stretched our troops to thin to be watching Afghanistan, when the real trouble is within Afghanistan, Pakistan, and Saudi Arabia. Ethiopia just sent in troops with North Korean weapons and American money to toss out the Islamic courts from Somalia. What they have created now is an insurgency in Somalia.
I’m curious have year read anything about the close to 50,000 Lebanese operating out of Paraguay in an area that is not controlled by the Paraguayan government at all? The CIA has been moving American troops in there. They say it’s to fight Hizbollah in Ciudad de Este Paraguay, which is sort of like the pirate mecca of South America. The locals in that area claim it is to dominate the Guarani Acquifer, which is one of the largest fresh water acquifers in the world.
It is not at all about increased troop presence, it’s about elite troop mobility and better intel.
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How do you “produce” better intel? That’s outside the scope of what we’re talking about. We have elite troop mobility, the United States Army, Navy, and Marine Corps have been continuously restructured since the Cold War, with the focus being an ability to deploy a significant force anywhere in the world in only a few days time we have that capability.
Mobility has nothing to do with our problems in Iraq, it’s arguable we need to get more mobile if our goal is to deal with every hotspot the world over, from Paraguay to Indonesia. But I’ve seen absolutely no evidence that we aren’t the most mobile military force in history with reorganization towards smaller operating groups and greater mobility having been continuously focused upon over the past few years.
The problem in Iraq has little to nothing to do with mobility or intel. I’m not sure why you think we need to police the entire Middle East, I’m talking about Iraq and key locations in Iraq. Saying Iraq can’t be policed is like saying the United States can’t be policed. Iraq can be policed, can it be policed perfectly? No, of course not. But neither is the United States or any other country. We’d have less success in Iraq than we would in the United States, for example vis-a-vis policing the countryside, because Iraq is less stable. But the more security we provide, by pro actively having a continuous presence on the streets, the more stability “dividends” we reap.
You seem to be talking past me. Your bringing up stuff like Paraguay shows your interest is in deploying troops at random around the world wherever we locate a “hot spot” and then I guess leaving. Like some sort of SWAT team. The problem with that of course is, unlike a SWAT raid a military action taken against a “hot spot” can get you bogged down for months or years. There’s no guarantees, other than the fact we are in Iraq right now and our situation there has nothing to do with lack of mobility.
As for Iraq being unimportant, for better or worse it has become important now, to ignore that is folly.
You also vastly overstate “bureaucratic creep” as having a serious effect on military mobility in the United States Armed Forces. We already have significant portions of rapidly deployable troops, I’ve seen little to suggest that by upping our manpower we would reduce the mobility of those divisions.