It won’t be Warren because old and older is a bad idea. Most likely he picks someone 60 or younger.
That too.
And Warren was the last to endorse him.
My money is on Kamala Harris (even though I don’t bet). She has experience on the national stage and most importantly would not cost the Democrats a Senate seat either in 2020 or 2022. Let’s face it, it would be most extraordinary if a Republican won a statewide CA seat. Warren and Klobuchar could potentially cost a Senate seat. Whitmer and Abrams don’t have the national experience.
Last time Dem VP candidate was not in the Senate or House was 72. And we know how that worked out. Since then every pick was a Senator except Ferarro who was in the house.
Altho that is true, Harris gave Biden quite a hard time, and a Californian doesnt help win the race, like a southerner or rust belter could.
Quite honestly, a Biden/Obama ticket would be completely bizarre. Michelle is far too large a personality to play second fiddle to Joe. But I do not see a down side to it against Trump/Pence, except for Michelle.
Thing is, Biden doesn’t need help with the black vote. He’s demonstrated that he has it in spades. A progressive woman VP pick is essential to ensure the broadest Democratic and Independent voter coalitions. In the case of Warren, I don’t think age matters given her energetic disposition and confidence inspiring competence as a progressive thinker/leader.
In short, I think all Biden’s other choices floated thus far are worse. Even if it means a small risk to a senate seat.
Still say it’s gonna be Warren. He needs someone with strong economic chops to steer out of a recession/depression, he needs a progressive (imo), he needs someone with a strong online/social media presence.
Warren checks those boxes, and her age and location are less important than people think. She’s a very young 70, and there are legislative ways to ensure her replacement is a Democrat.
That’s more or less what the 538 folks decided in their recent chat.
Kamala Harris is AG/DOJ material at best, and only if Biden is in a very kind and forgiving mood. No way she gets VP.
He won the black vote in spades during the primary. So did Hillary. She ended up seeing a decline in black voter turn out in the general. Biden needs black voter turn out like when he was number two on the ticket under Obama.
Biden might well eat into Trump’s white support (52% of white women voting for Trump in 16 was a shock) but I don’t think enough to use that as the path to 270. The playbook is to replicate Obama 2012 in my opinion. Obama 2008 was a generational change candidacy and Biden cannot match that enthusiasm (no one can). Obama 2012 took a hit from 2008 but still a relatively comfortable win.
The VP slot is a figurehead. It requires a resume of national experience, only because they may become the POTUS. Most actual VP’s are handshakers, campaigners, eat with foreign dignitaries, etc. With the exception of Cheney*, most don’t really take on truly meaningful work.
*Cheney pretty much ran the show during W’s years, albeit behind the scenes.
My money’s on Stacey Abrams. An appealing, progressive black woman; younger than Joe; ran a pretty good campaign for Governor of Georgia; would maybe put Georgia in play, or at least force the Trumpinistas to spend time and money there; would motivate black voters nationally; and has stood by Biden in the recent controversy over a sexual assault allegation against him.
There’s no polite way to say this. I actually hate that I have to say it. But I have to say it. She does not appear to be physically fit for the job. With Biden being as old as he is, and with the coronavirus exponentially raising the bar for what should be considered a healthy running mate, I believe she is not qualified for the position under these circumstances.
What do you mean? She’s only 46, and I haven’t heard about any health issues.
I think it would be a mistake to pick Warren, and I still think it’s going to be Klobuchar.
I mean that she appears to be significantly overweight. I’m not saying this to be mean. I’m not trying to pick on her because of her appearance. Actually, before this pandemic, I probably wouldn’t have cared about it at all. But at a time when everyone is hyper-fixated on health and fitness, and the nominee is consistently described as looking like a walking corpse, the VP at least ought to radiate health and youth to make up for this.
She looks pretty healthy to me. At age 46, having a body that’s very average for women of her background does not strike me as remotely putting her on death’s door.
But I still think it’s going to be Klobuchar.
What physical issues do you see that lead you to think so? Serious question, because I’m unaware of any. Unless you count her weight, which I don’t think is that much an obstacle.
I just don’t think that Abrams has the experience necessary to take over if Biden dies. I wouldn’t be comfortable with her in the Oval Office.
I still say it’s Klobuchar/Whitmer/Harris. I think Harris is the most qualified, but I see her as an AG more than a VP. I think Whitmer or Klobuchar get the nod, and they both kinda help deliver the Great Lakes area.
ETA: you answered my Abrams question while I was typing my response.
This hasn’t been true in the last 25 years. Both Gore and especially Biden were heavily involved in policymaking. If Biden becomes President he will have a lot on his plate and possibly relatively less energy. It would be useful to have a VP who can do meaningful work from Day 1. The VP is a unique figure who can’t be fired and has been validated by voters. Plus any VP of Biden will automatically have the stature of being a likely future President. It would be a shame to waste that on ceremonial work.
As for who it should be, I think Tammy Duckworth is a pretty solid choice. I agree that Abrams has too little experience and Warren is too old.
I’d be okay with Duckworth as VP. It’d be great to see her debating the Republicans on military issues.
What are the chances that Biden is considering Hillary as his running mate? Sounds crazy but before you say 0%, was there 0% chance when Trump came down the escalator, that he’d be preparing for his inauguration 18 months later?
Just indulge me for a moment by forgetting that the 2016 Election happened. Let’s assume Trump defeated… hell, Cory Booker.
Wouldn’t Hillary be at the top of everyone’s short list in this thread? Ahead of Klobuchar / Whitmer / Harris / Warren? She fits the “woman” bill, and she’s got a hell of a resume. Yes maybe she’s considered “not young”, I’ll grant you that one.
Ok {snaps fingers} back to the real world of today. Yes, she lost 2016. But she did win the popular vote, and I can’t imagine anyone who voted for her in 2016 would turn and vote AGAINST a Biden / Clinton ticket. In fact, if you’re like me, you might be even MORE motivated to vote for Biden in 2020 if she were on the ticket (sort of a “pull for the underdog” redemption story).
I think she’s done a pretty good job of staying “under wraps” for four years and hasn’t done anything to tarnish her reputation. Sure, if you hated her then, you probably still do. But otherwise if there were a “Hillary Clinton approval rating” it can’t be lower now than four years ago, right?
That being said, would she still be considered too “toxic” even today? Would this just be too much red meat for the Dems to serve up to the shitheads on Fox? Would she even accept the nod if asked?
And finally if Biden wins, would there still be a place for her in the administration anywhere? Or in your opinion has she already hung up her hat and ridden off into the sunset?