Cecil’s presentation is pretty well grounded in fact, unlike many such articles I’ve seen over the years. In fact I used to work for a company whose expertise was centered in counterterrorism, specifically against biological, nuclear, and chemical weapons. Spent about 8 years there, working on projects related to the Chemical Weapons Convention, Russian demilitarization, Iraqi weapons inspections, and other fun things.
Most recently, before I left to pursue other interests, I was part of a government-sponsored training team whose job was to help emergency workers in major cities (and throughout the US) prepare for possible US incidents involving weapons of mass destruction. (Check out http://www.nbc-prepare.org.)
By far the scariest of the lot are the bio agents, but many chemical weapons are fairly easy to make in small quantities. They’re not too expensive in either case, and it is a little easier to handle chemical weapons than bio. Remember what terrorists want–they want media attention, they want to show the world that the government is bad, that authorities cannot stop them. To do that, they want big numbers and scary effects. It’s hard to generate either the numbers or the nasty effects without using large quantities of dangerous stuff in very public places, and logistics can be a nightmare. Ask a former Army Chemical Corps chemist sometime.
In Japan, they put low-grade sarin in baggies, threw the bags into paper lunchbags, and poked a hole in the side with an umbrella as they left the subway car. The value to the terrorist wasn’t the handful of folks they actually killed or even the larger amount who got sick–it was the thousands of panicking people who feared that their seasonal allergies were symptomatic of impending doom, and therefore flooded the hospitals and emergency centers.
We’ve done an awful lot to keep our cops, firemen, hazmat teams, EMTs, paramedics, doctors, and nurses informed. All the big-ticket cities are routinely training all emergency workers in what to look out for, and what to do. These folks are smart and brave, and the hardest part for them is to suppress their basic instinct to run in and save the victims long enough to don protective gear. Trust me, if anything were to happen, it would not be long before experts were there to help out, and I sincerely doubt that we’ll see any major incidents as long as we’re reasonably vigilant.
The average US citizen has far, far more to fear from SUV-driving, cel-phone talking soccer moms than from anthrax-bearing terrorists or lunatics chuckling behind tanks of bubbling green toxic gas.
I had the privilege to work with some really smart folks who know their stuff–one guy’s dad actually invented some of the nastier chemical agents, and he’s spent most of his life figuring out how protect us from them or get rid of them–and I trust their assessments. Yes, there is always a vague threat that a bad guy might figure it out, do it better than the cult did on the Tokyo subway, but it’s VERY unlikely to happen here. But the good guys who defend and protect us are busy, too. For fun and more info, check out http://www.sbccom.apgea.army.mil (home to the Army Soldier, Biological, and Chemical Command), the FBI’s home pages, and the many links you’ll find to official sources.
(Sorry I sound like an advertisement!)