Here’s my post: note the date
08-17-2005, 09:53 AM
OK, granted, the bad guys are militant Hezbollah militia, and the fighting is with Lebanon and not just Gaza, but the principle works: any cession of land that puts Israelis in missile range will be exploited sooner or later by Arab militants.
Easy as pie. What prize do I get? Will I be named the new Secretary of State?
Isn’t that sort of like predicting the tide, or the new moon? It was bound to happen sooner or later. I’m only 31, and woefully ignorant of current events, but it seems like I’ve been hearing about Israeli-Palestinian conflict for my entire life. I guess I took it for granted that it was a powder keg. The only question was when, not if, it would go off.
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But they haven’t shelled the West Bank from Gaza, have they?
When you predict a Democrat will be elected President and die in office, give us a shout.
I should have known better. You guys are seriously bow-down-before-me challenged.
You not only predicted something really obvious, you blew all the details. You’re better than Nostradamus, but still not very impressive.
If it was so freaking obvious that ceding land would just result in shelling from the closer borders, you have to wonder what the Israelis were thinking.
Details, details.
OK how about if I put it in this form:
And then in the time of the Chimp who Pretends
The Hitlerballerz will will lob the Cat-tushie bombards
Into the promised land and there will be much public wailing
While the Ham-men lob the Mo-retards and hold Gassy heights
The Arra-Nians will keep close counsel with the Sleazians
And the turtles with feet of catepillars will issue forth from the Ziz-Rally lands
While in distant Atlantis, wise men will gather around their far-seeing glasses
And hold counsel and be very glad that the Nim-Rodz across the sea are … across the sea.
Does that work better?
I predict John F. Kennedy will be elected president in 1960, and die in office!
We don’t really have a Forum for “Let me boast about the stuff I almost accomplished,” but GD ain’t it.
Maybe it will work in IMNSHO.
I remember in my grade 4 or 5 (maybe 6) social studies class (~35 years ago), the teacher wanted us to write a paper about how to solve the mid-east conflict. He emphasized that “put a big fence up around the whole area and let them fight it out” was not a suitable answer. I’m starting to believe it is the only answer.
I predicted (in a different thread) that we (or our missle-provided proxy, Israel) would be in Syria by now. Technically, since Syria is backing Hezbollah, we are. I win.
Not bad, but it does have a little bit of a John Edward “glaze over the discrepancies and make a big deal out of broad similarities” feel to it.
"I’m getting a country, or maybe a place. Maybe a place in a country. Is this making sense to any one? I want to say G- Gaza? Golan? Definitely a G. . . "
Yeah, right up there with predicting a Hogan victory at Wrestlemania III. Ray Charles could see that one coming.
I still say anyone skilled at prognostication would be far too busy purchasing lotto tickets to bother with message boards or other literary efforts.
What!? No Way??? There must be some kind of mistake!!! How can this be? Are you in league with Beelzebub? Are you some master of the Dark Arts?
Conflict between Israel and …anyone?
And you predicted it? In…advance?!
This cannot be!!!
hh
Was this set to Beck’s Loser because dang if’n it doesn’t fit well.
I’m a Jew Israeli, so why don’t you kill me…
Sadly, I’m afeared there’s not many predictions we mightn’t all see come to fruition here. Point and escalating counterpoint.
Predicting war in Israel is like predicting driving rain in monsoon season in Indonesia.
It ain’t especially insightful. :rolleyes:
It is worth noting that conflict in Israel does ebb and flow like the tide, and 10.5 years ago when I visited it many people were hopeful about a long-term peace. This was just after Rabin was assassinated, and just before people started suicide bombing buses, malls, etc.
Incidently, though I claim people were hopeful, I read at least one book about the conflict before I went to Israel, and got the distinct impression that people wanted to believe that there would be a peaceful, probably two-state solution, but no one was really sure how to get there from here.
Things have changed, and I’m really glad I went when I did, because I think it was safer then than at many points since then, Israel was much more at peace with its neighbors than it is now, and I think there is a lot less expectation that a peaceful two-state solution will ever occur than there was then.
My insight wasn’t so much that Israel was at war with someone. It was that whenever Israel ceded land, if the cession put Arabs within shelling range, some militant Arabs would take the opportunity to shell Israel. Israel would simply be too tempting a target for them, and even if the government of the new Arab turf were honestly opposed to the shelling, it would be very hard to stop it. So in most cases, giving up land=Israel getting shelled. If you read my post, it wasn’t a simple prediction of war, just nothign the cause and effect relationship between Israeli land cessions and Israelis getting shelled.