Calling All Lawyers: Prop 8 Court Order

The US District Court of Northern California seems to have laid down quite a challenge to the anti-SSM crowd when it comes to SSM withthis latest court order in the Boies-Olsen Prop 8 Challenge Basically what the court is asking the Prop 8 proponents to do, it seems to me, …PROVE IT! Some highlights:

Number 2 is a big fat no. Number 3 is a who cares and a no.

Number 2 is laughable. Number 3 may be true, I am not expert, but the second part about it being a basis for deiscrimination is a big no.

I think the answer to numbers 2 and 3 are obvious, of course not. Number 4 would seem to be true, but IANAL so I am not sure how that would play out.

#2 is undeniably true.

These are my opinons, but the fact that the court actually wants to shine a bright light on the idiocy is staggering and heartwarming.

Lawyers, am I reading too much into this, or is this indeed a chance to put the bigotry on trial?

It sounds like this Court has made up its mind already. This may see the Supreme Court in the near future…

In favor of which side?

It does kind of seem that way but the questions they want answered are fair and relevant.

I guess it looks like bias because frankly there are no suitable answers to those questions that support the existence of Prop-8.

I expect this will reach the SCOTUS and I expect the SCOTUS will leave Prop-8 in place with a 5-4 vote.

I don’t know. INA-constituational-lawyer, but Kennedy wrote the majority opinion in Romer vs. Evans which struck down a Colorado law preventing legislation protecting gays from discrimination…

My WAG is this could go 5-4 except the other way, striking down Prop-8. I’d be more worried about the Catholic Sotomayor being on board than Kennedy.

My WAG is that this will take years to reach SCOTUS by which time Prop-8 will have been repealed and the case will then be dismissed for lact of standing.

Kennedy is also Catholic, if that matters.

I don’t think that there is 4 votes for nationwide recognition of gay marriage. I can’t see Stevens voting for it. Sotomayor would be up in the air as well. Breyer and Ginsberg would probably be in favor of it. 2 strong votes, 1 maybe, and 6 against.

You’re reading too much into it.

Although the Defendants can’t possibly be happy with this Order, since there’s no principled objection to SSM, they can’t really be surprised by it. But mostly the Court’s saying “Equal Protection claims rest on certain factors; in this case those factors will be best illustrated by answering the following questions:…”

Also, jtgain is wrong. I think Stevens is an easy vote for the good guys on this one. Breyer is not, because Breyer is almost always more concerned with practicalities than ideal statements of the law.

–Cliffy