Calories burned jogging

I’m 5’10", 180lbs. How many calories did I burn jogging 3.66 mi in 31 minutes at a 4% incline? I know there are thousands of tools online to get an estimation, but I used the first 4 tools that popped up on my google search. They don’t take into consideration the incline, however I ignore that. Running on the road is harder than running on a treadmill so I figure those two aspects negate each other. Anyway, the answers vary DRASTICALLY. I kind of want a consensus and see other people’s opinions.

My treadmill stated I burned 600 calories. (Ridiculous, I know)
The first tool on google stated: 450 calories
The second tool stated: 519 calories
The third tool stated: 414 calories
and the final tool stated somewhere in the upper 400’s.

Keep in mind, all these tools I used asked for weight. I double checked the tool that spit back 414 calories. If I get the time, I’ll go back on my phone and bring up the history so I can recall the sites.

One calculator didn’t ask for speed; just weight and duration.It spit back 295 calories. I mean, that’s crazy. Why have such a useless tool that it didn’t even ask for a speed? 295 is not correct. My best guess would have been roughly 500 calories, but now I’m thinking I’ve been overestimating my calories burned.

Input, please!! Thx!!

1% on a treadmill equates to running on the road.

Don’t worry about actual calorie burn, it’s all a rough estimate. Part of it is that two runners of equal weight can have very different running efficiencies.

Don’t ignore incline, that can make a big difference.

Effects of incline.
You were running an effective 3% incline. That’s about 580 ft climb in your distance. Run on the flat, you would have run it in 26:50.
Using this calculator.

Don’t have a cite, but I seem to recall being taught (and I could be mistaken or flat out wrong) that the speed is irrelevant as far as determining how much work was done (in other words-- calories burned). The only relevant data is your mass and the distance traveled. If you didn’t have the distance, of course you would have to calculate it from the speed and time elapsed.

In fact, you would have burned the same number of calories if you walked the distance (or so I’ve been led to believe), but it would have taken you a lot longer .

Working by memory, I’ll look up a cite in a few.

Walking burns fewer calories per mile. However, increasing walking speed increases calories burned to the point that walking at 12:30 mile pace burns the same as running 10:00 mile pace.

Here’s the article I was remembering.

This one indicates that runners tend to eat less than the amount they burn while walkers tend to eat more.
http://well.blogs.nytimes.com/2013/05/29/is-it-better-to-walk-or-run/

Thanks for the informative posts. Good information…I’m mainly asking because I need to eat back the calories I burned and I don’t want to be off by too much. I suppose using 475 would probably be accurate enough.