[QUOTE=Fear Itself]
If we leave now, the Mehdi Army (Shiite) will eviscerate Al Qaeda in Iraq (Sunni). The tendency to view all radical muslims as a block with the same goal is what is flawed in the post-9/11 Bush doctrine.
[/QUOTE]
I dont know all the details of the factions in Iraq. I understand that there are insurgents [the resistance] and A Q [the terrorists]. Maybe your assertion is right, that the terrorists will be annihilated. But they will still point to an American withdrawal as victory. I do not share your optimism that there are gains to be had in leaving Iraq. I expect things to get worse and settle into a power struggle between various factions.
In Afghanistan after the Russians left, there was a period of all round fighting after which the Taliban [aided with American money and Pakistani politics] came in to power. The main economy today in Afghanistan is drugs and the export of terror. Young men dont have other skills and entire generations dont know what it is to be a peaceful nation.
Afghanistan is an extreme case, but what are the odds that Iraq wont go that route ?? What is the advantage in American military leaving?? Again , i re-iterate that i do not speak of loss of lives - civilian and military. I mean gain in political terms.