I look at it very simply. You compare how much you eat (calories consumed) vs. how much you exercise (calories burned)
More calories consumed = more weight gained
Fewer calories consumed = less weight gained
More calories burned = more weight loss
Fewer calories burned = more weight loss
If you consume more than you burn you will gain weight. If you want to lose weight you either consume fewer calories or burn more, or both. That’s it.
Of course, that’s not an absolutely complete picture. What foods you eat, when you eat them, how many meals you have over the course of a day, etc…all these things factor in to the equation, but they serve only to shift the equation slightly one way or the other.
The question “are all calories equal” is an interesting one, and worthy of discussion, but for most people I think it’s ultimately irrelevant. 1500 calories split 50% carbs, 30% protein and 20% fat is going to be close enough to 1500 calories split 60% protein, 30% fat, and 10% carbs for the vast majority of people. As has been noted above, 1500 calories comprised of 90% Twinkies and 10% ‘other’ will still allow you to lose weight, provided you burn more than 1500 calories a day.
If you’re trying to lose weight, the most important thing about your ‘diet plan’ (other than “it must be medically sound”) is that it is one that you can stick with for a long time…basically for the rest of your life. And the problem with most plans is that they are too complex, too time consuming, too tedious for people to stick with long term. Something simple like ‘count your calories and don’t worry about anything else’ is ultimately much more sustainable, because it’s much less work. Maybe it’s not quite as efficient as maintaining the optimal mix of carbs/fat/protein, or making sure you eat 12 meals a day to optimize your metabolic processes, but if you can stick with it for years, rather than months, then it’s going to be ‘better’ long term.
And of course, the other side of the equation is exercise. Again, it’s pretty simple: more is better. If that means going to the gym for an hour every day, that’s great. But it can also mean walking up the stairs instead of taking the elevator, or parking at the far end of the parking lot so you have to walk farther. Buying an old-fashioned push mower (also better for the environment :)). Anything that makes you move your body more than you were moving it before.
Eat less, exercise more, and you will lose weight. The concept really is that simple. The execution unfortunately is a but harder, which is why people spend millions of dollars on weight loss plans, but if any of those were a ‘sure thing’ then everyone would be doing it by now. The reality is, it takes discipline and some hard work, but it’s not complicated. Eat less, exercise more.